White smoke in Berlin: The new coalition seems to have agreed with the Greens on a massive debt brake change for defense, infrastructure and climate investments and the states. Structural space will more than triple from ~0,9 to 3+, exact number depending on how much defense spending will increase.
Posts by Federico
We are thrilled to anounce the release of the 2024 CHES-Europe at chesdata.eu/2024-chapel-.... As always, the data are freely available on the website.
Thank you to the hundreds of experts who share their expertise to make these data possible!
Group of protesters holding signs in front of tesla. The signs say things like "no kings, no fascists" and "elon has a tiny penis" and "musk is stealing from you"
I went to the tesla protest for a thing I'm working on and I talked to several onlookers - not protesters - and asked them what they knew about Elon and Doge and I'm telling you people don't know
Whining as feats of strength
🤡 La puñalada de Milei a Zelensky se escuchó hasta en Madagascar 🔪
Just days after being elected, Germany's incoming Chancellor Friedrich Merz promises to undermine the #ICC and welcome Netanyahu to the country: www.ft.com/content/99ab...
The parallels to the Swiss social democrats in 2023 are evident:
1) Appeals to young (female) voters with a credible progressive agenda and heavy emphasis on housing
2) Strong results in urban centers
3) Rather young co-leadership
4) Targeted campaigning with clear appeals
NEW: updated long-run gap in voting between young men and women in Germany:
Gender divide continues to widen, but contrary to what is often assumed, young men continue to vote roughly in line with the overall population, while young women have swung sharply left.
www.ft.com/content/29fd...
Why does 25% AfD among young men spark a thousand "what is going on with young men?" posts yet Die Linke 34% among young women generates...nothing at all?
Yes, young men voting for the radical right is an important phenomenon. But so is young women going rad left *at even higher rates*.
This seems like cherry-picking. “We selected a portion of the population based on their political views, look how unique their political views are!”
I’m sure you could do more or less the same with each of the groups
That makes sense, although I’m curious at how many people who like Trump really wanted to oust the Tories just to get Starmer in
Oof. You’re right, that makes total sense.
I wonder who the 8% of Labour voters and 7% of Lib Dems who support Trump are
Goldman: "My Republican colleagues are so weak and afraid of Donald Trump that they're willing to undermine their own constitutional authority just to please them. You're giving away your own power in fealty to Donald Trump."
Photograph of a warehouse in Kinshasa where unboxed tuberculosis medications are going undistributed due to the stop work order by the Trump Administration.
Just received this photo from a friend of a warehouse in Kinshasa. These are tuberculosis medications--ALREADY PAID FOR--that aren't being distributed due to the Trump Administration's stop work order.
TB treatment is being interrupted in SO many patients around the world. What does that mean? (1/2)
Requiring passports and birth certificates to register to vote is a gendered administrative burden. As detailed in my article on gendered administrative burden, formal identification is often used to coercively control women and transgendered individuals academic.oup.com/jpart/articl...
Un podcast británico entrevistó a Helle Thorning-Schmidt (la ex PM de Dinamarca) y me parece tan raro escucharla tener tan claro que es la inspiración de Brigitte Nyborg en Borgen
Como que ella lo SABE
I remember Benghazi, the "emails", and the horror of Bill Clinton meeting Loretta Lynch on a tarmac. The media cared a lot about all of those things. Where are screaming headlines and non stop horror coverage over this?
La verdad si yo fuera Keir Starmer, haría el esfuerzo para que en el próximo presupuesto del Reino Unido duplicaran la plata que gastan en apoyo internacional. Gastaría lo mismo porcentualmente que Suecia y podría cubrir como la mitad de los compromisos de USAID. Sería tremendo golpe de soft poweer
🔎 What Do Populist Voters Really Want?
A new research note by @vinarceneaux.bsky.social
@cevipof.bsky.social sheds light on the political preferences of populist voters in France, Germany, and Italy during the 2024 European elections.
#Democracy #Populism
Read the note👇
tinyurl.com/2s3e5v4n
Ustedes creen que el gabinete ministerial fue agresivo porque no han visto legisladores turcos mechoneandose
Quite the marmalade-dropper, this: 3 weeks before Germany's election, Angela Merkel has issued a statement criticising her own party for enabling ("with open eyes") a majority with the AfD. Effectively accuses Merz of breaking his pledge not to do so.
www.buero-bundeskanzlerin-ad.de/erklaerungen...
Passes 348:344 with votes of CDU, AfD & FDP (BSW abstains). Only 1 CDU MP votes no and 8 abstain (? unclear- the official website appears to be down, but it’s a shockingly small number). Shameful day for the German “centre”-right. The beginning of the end of the last(?) cordon sanitaire in Europe.
“Birth tourism: you’ve got to hand it to the fascists, they have a point”
“Lebensraum: how could we cut a deal on this good fiscal policy?”
“Pete Hegseth: he may be an alcoholic abusive Nazi, but his ties are on point”
“Canada: sovereignty is for losers, eh?”
What a couple of weeks for the NYT 🤦♂️
Siempre he estado muy orgulloso de mis curries pero desde que conseguí galangal siento que la calidad se ha disparado
Last week, our research team launched The Dataset of World Refugee and Asylum Policies (DRWAP).
Video introducing the data: www.youtube.com/watch?v=J330...
Public dashboard to play with the data: datanalytics.worldbank.org/dwrap/
The dataset itself is hosted at: shorturl.at/NGr7v
Gracias!!!! :)