Good catch, thanks! Fixed.
Posts by Maxim Raginsky
New post: history of ideas from control, decision theory, cybernetics, and psychology, with some Stalin-era academic politics in the USSR thrown in for good measure. realizable.substack.com/p/feeding-ev...
"I am free only when I feel that I am free; but I feel that I am free only when I imagine some restraint, when I begin to think of some state in contrast to my present state." (Paul Valéry, _The Outlook for Intelligence_)
One fish, two fish.
The more important question is whether glass catfish are one- or two-boxers.
Error correction by majority vote.
archive.ph/2026.04.13-1...
Abortions for some, miniature copies of the Koran for others.
Ivan Krastev is always worth reading, and this is characteristically good:
www.equator.org/articles/the...
I see what you did there
Whoa. Wishing you speedy recovery.
white negroni: Roku gin, Luxardo Bitter Bianco, Dolin Blanc vermouth
bsky.app/profile/mrag...
Discussing important matters with students:
I could go for a slice of Esterházy torte right about now.
bsky.app/profile/mrag...
Expert systems are alive and well. In fact, since the expert systems in question are humans, we better keep them alive and well so we can keep mining them for automatable expertise.
In AI technology, the development and the growth phases are superimposed on each other, and the paradox is that the talk of "scaling laws" is firmly grounded in assuming sustained growth, but this growth is inconceivable without development discontinuities.
Two things you are bringing up here in the context of failure to anticipate are interesting if one views them through Schumpeterian lens: the first one is an instance of economic development (a point of discontinuity), the second one is about growth. bsky.app/profile/vcar...
Marcus' concern is with burnishing his reputation and maintaining his grip on the audience. He will retcon with wild abandon to make it seem like he was right all along (ironically, Yann does exactly the same, just about different things).
As far as I am concerned, the entire forecasting framing is misguided, both on Marcus' part and on the part of the x-risk crowd with their talk about "timelines." Jessica Dai and Saffron Huang hit the right note here -- the future is constructed, not predicted. joinreboot.org/p/the-future...
Very tempted to link to the Family Guy Debussy gag here.
It’s truly a sad fate to be a Salieri in a Mozart-less world.