We study the role of victim reporting in the production of public safety. We examine the Secure Communities program, a crime-reduction policy that involved police in detecting unauthorized immigrants and increased deportation fears in immigrant communities. We find that the policy reduced the likelihood that Hispanic victims report crimes to police and increased offending against Hispanics. The number of reported crimes is unchanged, masking these opposing effects. We show that reduced reporting drives the offending increase and provide the first elasticity of offending to victim reporting in the literature, calculating that a 10% decline in reporting increases offending by 7.9%.

Figure2: Impacts of Secure Communities (SC) by Hispanic Ethnicity

Increased immigration enforcement can deter victim reporting, leading to more crime against vulnerable groups; a 10% drop in reporting raises offending by 7.9%.

The propsective Fed Chair refuses to say whether cutting interest rates 250bps would stimulate the economy and boost inflation

everyone with real American manliness and a basic knowledge of military history knows that serious war efforts have never been derailed by such trifling matters as "communicable diseases"

Trump did this 👇🏽

looks like buys mostly in the $.6-.7 range. not a lotto ticket but good money

looks like all of these transactions happened 90 days ago, does that line up? id never heard the guy's name until a couple weeks ago

It is an excellent question that should be asked of Trump and every Republican.

Collins will be "grilling" six people she has devoted her career to supporting, over budgets she has blindly rubber-stamped. This condescension shows her bottomless contempt for the state she has failed time and time again. Help Maine expel this parasite.

secure.actblue.com/donate/jrsli...

According to reports, Corey Lewandowski took kickbacks to secure DHS contracts for paying contractors.

Fired Secretary Kristi Noem handed $220M in taxpayer funds to her allies for self-promotion. This is blatant corruption.

These partners in crime need to be fully investigated.

Iowa went all-in on school choice. It's hurting this city's public schools With school choice programs ascendant not just in Iowa but across the U.S., Cedar Rapids offers a preview of who wins and who loses when education meets the free market.

With school choice programs ascendant not just in Iowa but across the U.S., Cedar Rapids offers a preview of who wins and who loses when education meets the free market.

The latest from YouGov (n ~ 2.4k).

Iran war "Worth it" - "Not worth it:" -35
Iran war will make America "Better off" - "Worse off:" -32
Net approval of Trump's social media statements on the subject: -17

yougov.com/en-us/search...

The Newest Pseudo-Intellectual Hit with Young Men Meet "Professor Jiang," the predictive history guru

The latest from @ymriofficial.bsky.social : Meet "Professor Jiang"

How the latest form of pseudo-history is taking over social media, with a false veneer of academic legitimacy plus lots and lots of gloss

youngmenresearchinitiative.substack.com/p/the-newest...

Learn whatever you want about "law," it doesn't matter because GOP Justices blew up the entire process of deciding cases based on chats with rich friends and stuff they watched on TV. That was the entire basis on which SCOTUS switched to the shadow docket.

Lutnick also called the USMCA a "bad deal."
If true, whoever negotiated it for the US must be a real dope

Cuban man dies by suicide in ICE detention in Miami — the second in Florida in a month Aled Carbonell-Betancourt, a 27-year-old man from Cuba, died from a presumed suicide in April 2026 while in Immigration and Customs enforcement detention

Cuban man dies by suicide in ICE detention in Miami — the second in Florida in a month

Aled Damien Carbonell-Betancourt was found in his cell “in what appeared to be a suicide attempt” on April 12, ICE said in a press release. The official cause of death is under investigation.

put this in ads against every R senator who's running this year and voted for this monster

Labeled for Life: Ending the Era of Gang Enhancements Across 37 states, you can spend decades in prison for who police say you are.

In 37 states + DC, you can face arbitrary surveillance, mandatory minimums, and other legal overreach just because police officer says you are "gang affiliated" - based on something as minimal as wearing clothing with a certain color on it, or less.

campaignzero.substack.com/p/labeled-fo...

A little extra data on this from www.ymrp.org/polling . The differences aren't as large as The Discourse might suggest but I find it interesting that white Protestants are less church-going than Black or Hispanic Protestants, but white Catholics say they're quite a bit more church-going than others.

Labeled for Life Labeled for Life is fighting for the full repeal of gang enhancement laws—not reform. Because no one should face decades behind bars for a label that never should have existed in the first place.

Do you have any tattoos? Do you have a unique handshake for anyone? Have you ever congregated in public with one or more people? Congratulations, in some parts of the country, law enforcement can mark you as a "gang member" - without telling you, with no chance to challenge.

labeledforlife.org#quiz

Labeled for Life: Ending the Era of Gang Enhancements Across 37 states, you can spend decades in prison for who police say you are.

In 37 states + DC, you can face arbitrary surveillance, mandatory minimums, and other legal overreach just because police officer says you are "gang affiliated" - based on something as minimal as wearing clothing with a certain color on it, or less.

campaignzero.substack.com/p/labeled-fo...

Yeah that's right. If we penciled out the numbers, the share of Americans who actually lived out the "hippie experience" by which we stereotype that era it'd probably be like 1 percent, I think?

The Newest Pseudo-Intellectual Hit with Young Men Meet "Professor Jiang," the predictive history guru

The latest from @ymriofficial.bsky.social : Meet "Professor Jiang"

How the latest form of pseudo-history is taking over social media, with a false veneer of academic legitimacy plus lots and lots of gloss

youngmenresearchinitiative.substack.com/p/the-newest...

( the above is US men aged 18-29, fielded Oct 2025, via static1.squarespace.com/static/68262... at www.ymrp.org/polling )

A little extra data on this from www.ymrp.org/polling . The differences aren't as large as The Discourse might suggest but I find it interesting that white Protestants are less church-going than Black or Hispanic Protestants, but white Catholics say they're quite a bit more church-going than others.

Sen. Cynthia Lummis (R-WY): We had record distributions in my county in Wyoming of Meals on Wheels, which is an indication that more and more people are turning to subsidized food opportunities.

So I’m worried, and I admit that. But for now, I have patience.

A split bar chart of YouGov polling data with the headline: "Americans are most likely to say T. Rex is their favorite dinosaur, but many don't have a favorite." The chart has the sub-headline: "Which of the following is your favorite dinosaur? (%)." The chart has the note: "Note: "Other" includes responses of archaeopteryx, spinosaurus, plesiosaur, ankylosaurus, allosaurus, parasaurolophus, dilophosaurus, diplodocus, iguanadon, and pachycephalosaurus, as well as responses of "other." We know pterodactyls and plesiosaurs aren't dinosaurs. Opinion about dinosaurs comes from the question, "How much do you like or dislike dinosaurs?""

A shocking new poll result: Many Americans somehow don't have a favorite dinosaur.

And only 6% give the correct answer (triceratops).

Check out YouGov's new polling on Americans and dinosaurs: yougovamerica.substack.com/p/whats-your...

UNDERGROUND (1976) is on Criterion and I recommend it. We forget America did in fact did have an "engaging in electoralism pales in comparison to my strategy, firebombing a Wal-Mart" generation that actually firebombed the Wal-Mart. Listening to them self-aggrandize for 2hrs is pretty illuminating.

Former Trump Attorney John Eastman Disbarred in California - States United Democracy Center

Lol

statesunited.org/eastman-ca-d...