NZ's progress in squeezing out the last bit of fossil electricity is undone by the transport sector, which uses far more fossil energy than electricity (12x as much in 2025) and is also prone to increase rapidly.
In New Zealand we already have 100% new e-bus sales, by policy, and will have 100% e-bus fleet by 2035, also by policy. Clean tech + regulation = win.
This fits. In New Zealand cars & cows are 71% of gross emissions (and our cows don't even eat corn).
This chart appears to be sourced from kpler.com, a reputable freight analytics firm, but the original is proprietary. If correct is suggests that mass flight cancellations are imminent, initially in Europe.
Electricity demand growth: buildings 350 TWh (though heat pump sales fell), industry 350 TWh, EVs 70 TWh, data centres 70 TWh.
Oil up 0.7%, gas up 1%, coal up 0.4%. Not a single fossil fuel has peaked.
Or to put in another way, in 2025 energy emissions rose by 145 MtCO2 to a new high of 38.4 Gt, 5% above 2019 levels. "The increase coincided with record atmospheric CO2 concentrations of about 427 ppm, roughly 2.4 ppm higher than in 2024 and around 50% above pre-industrial levels."
Another way to slice the past decade:
2014-2019:
CO2 ⬆️ in 145 countries, by 2.48 Gt,
CO2 ⬇️ in 64 countries, by 0.98 Gt
2019-2024:
CO2 ⬆️ in 117 countries, by 3.00 Gt
CO2 ⬇️ 96 countries, by 1.44 Gt
Have a great time!
MC, I would love to see your own article in the Herald!
From this valley they say you are going,
We will miss your bright eyes and sweet smile.
For they say you are taking the sunshine
That has brightened our pathway a while.
Your 'moment of doom' for Apr. 3, 2026 ~ Strangers on a strange planet.
"Since climate change is also fundamentally disrupting atmospheric circulation patterns, we now have mega-unprecedented extreme events occurring with regularity."
yaleclimateconnections.org/2026/04/the-...
New article by AUT's Matt Halliday: How much is climate misinformation shaping NZ Government policy?
blog.planetaryecology.org/2026/04/17/h...
White text on black background reads "The facts were not new to me. But what it did do was highlight the true scale of the problems - and just how bad it will be for my daughters, and their generation.”
White text on black background reads, "You’re going to have to act. It’s just whether you act in response to the crisis, or you try to prevent it. Both options are going to have to involve systemic change.”
White text on black background reads "Yes, there are the deniers and the delayers and ignorers - the Trump people and the Reform voters and the rest - but there’s a chunk of people in the middle who, if they understood, would act more. we need to try to engage those people.”
Yesterday, we hosted a live screening of the People's Emergency Briefing. Throughout the film, UK scientists issued stark warnings about the climate crisis.
Here are just a few responses made by our audience members following the film.
@nebriefing.bsky.social @sheffielduni.bsky.social
In a fuel crisis, why is Wellington back pedalling on bike lanes? Take action on Monday to save our bike lanes. @cyclewgtn.bsky.social
I initially thought the New Zealand Transport Agency's fuel dashboard was an AI imposter – no links, incomplete sources, low-res graphics, dodgy URL – but it turned out to be actually created by NZTA. hormuz-458b0b.gitlab.io
Bike vs Car Calculator: Find out how much you save cycling instead of driving. Based on real NZ fuel prices, IRD mileage rates, and your actual commute distance.
Well worth sharing with a friend who's struggling with fuel prices.
https://rideandsave.co.nz/
#fuelcrisis
#choosebike
The Bicycle as Rebellion: Inside the new film 'A Simple Machine' and the Radical Case for Wanting Less.
momentummag.com/the-bicycle-...
Climate and the energy transition are two of this century’s biggest stories – so why are they so hard to understand?
Introducing Climate Trunk: a visual guide to climate & energy. 100+ infographics delivered over two years, once a week.
Grow your understanding, visually. Sign up to Climate Trunk 📮
Adelaide City Council is launching pop-up bike lanes as bike sales soar by 136% amid the fuel crisis.
“With fuel supplies squeezed and prices through the roof, South Australians need alternatives to cars to get to work, school and the shops,” said Greens leader Robert Simms.
France first did this in the first oil crisis in the 70s by going Nuclear Power
Now in 2026 it is finishing to job by going EV, heat pumps, and industry
All able to use French Reactors, French Wind, and French Solar
You are invited to sign this open letter from Cycling Action Network calling on the government to build emergency bike networks.
www.can.org.nz/open-letter-...
As the months roll on definitely bookmark @robbieandrew.bsky.social's EV registration page, to play spot-the-fuel-crisis-effect
robbieandrew.github.io/carsales/?la...
"Vingroup JSC has asked the Vietnamese government to replace a large LNG power project with renewable energy due to surging fuel prices linked to the Middle East conflict."
hmm
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
Here is also a blog summarising the talk and pointing to interesting related research from New Zealand / Aotearoa livingstreets.org.nz/car-dependen...
My talk on car dependence research for the Otago Transport Research Network & Living Streets Aotearoa Webinar Series is now on YouTube www.youtube.com/watch?v=nUu-...
