NBC Sunday Night Baseball

I thought baseball was perfect until I saw this. Every team should have a dog that retrieves the bats.

😆

In grad school I worked really hard to train my brain that "data" = plural, and now this is what's become of us.

Full article available at this link: kwnsfk27.r.eu-west-1.awstrack.me/L0/https:%2F...

Bottom line? Chinese bailouts have a polarizing effect on publics in recipient countries. Crisis lending may boost support for closer ties w/ China if you like the incumbent gov't, but they decrease support for cooperation with Beijing among supporters of the opposition. (7/7)

There is some evidence that citizens who are incumbent/regime supporters react positively to Chinese bailouts, though the findings here are less robust, as we only find this in the case of Argentina. (6/7)

Our interpretation is that for these individuals, China's generosity is seen as a self-serving tool designed to prop up a government/regime that benefits Beijing, but that they oppose. (5/7)

The effect of info about Chinese bailouts depends on citizens' political views. Specifically, individuals who oppose the incumbent government/regime exhibit more *negative* views about economic cooperation with China when informed about past bailouts. (4/7)

The results? Among the full national samples: a big fat nothingburger. Info about Chinese bailouts has no effect on views toward cooperation with China, suggesting bailouts aren't an effective tool of statecraft from a public opinion perspective. But that's not all. (3/7)

We use survey experiments on representative samples in Argentina, Turkey, & Russia to answer the question. Respondents were asked about their level of support for econ cooperation with China. Half were first reminded that China had previously bailed out their government (2/7)

(AI generated image)

New research on Chinese economic statecraft, with David Steinberg (@johnshopkinssais.bsky.social) & @seaytac.bsky.social now out in World Development.

We consider the question: do Chinese foreign bailouts increase public support for closer economic ties to China in recipient countries?

A 🧵 (1/7)

There was once nothing cooler than rolling up to your elementary school library and walking out with one of these in your backpack.

Very happy to hear this! Thank you.

Very impressive memesmanship, Iñaki! 😆

Great article by @dsquareddigest.bsky.social today, inspiring this meme as a unified theory of payment geopolitics (with cameos of @danielmcdowell.bsky.social, Nicholas Mulder & @edwardfishman.bsky.social

Is Iran Ending the Petrodollar Era? | DW News YouTube video by DW News

“If we look at oil markets today, the dollar is still far and away the dominant currency that's used. But there has been some erosion and most of that erosion has taken place with countries that have been sanctioned by the US,” says Professor @danielmcdowell.bsky.social. @supolisci.bsky.social

Of course the TACOing was infinitely better than the alternative! But the point remains: how about crafting a foreign policy that's not based on making wild, unhinged threats that are constantly walked back. That is all.

Taco Tuesday

The MPSA of presidents.

You're not kidding, Mark. He looks the same as he did when I was 12! He couldn't have been kinder, either.

Sure was! I was speechless :D

Tickets for the home opener: $80 a pop

Meeting your childhood baseball hero on the walk to the stadium: priceless.

#PutKennyInCooperstown

Shine Again

The world is just a little brighter today because: new Weezer.
open.spotify.com/album/6Hqfvc...

"The official soundtrack of US negotiations with Iran."

👍🍻

Lord Woodbine - Wikipedia

??? en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lord_Wo...

US recession odds spike as Iran war explodes Recession odds rose in prediction markets as the Iran conflict added new pressure to the United States economy.

Professor @danielmcdowell.bsky.social says he's concerned the conflict could “result in renewed attacks from the White House on the independence of the Federal Reserve. @supolisci.bsky.social