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Posts by Jonathan Wille

Three decades of simulating global temperature patterns with coupled global climate models - Communications Earth & Environment Increasing spatial resolution of climate models has the potential to improve the performance of simulating global surface temperature patterns, based on comparisons between kilometer-scale models, est...

🚨 New paper: Three decades of simulating global temperature patterns with coupled global climate models
💡 Some of the latest km-scale models perform similarly to obs
💡 Reference choice starts to dominate for the latest models
💡 Resolution matters but is not everything
www.nature.com/articles/s43...

1 day ago 18 2 2 2
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🌐 NEW | Analysis: Global fossil power generation fell in March after Hormuz closure due to solar & wind growth

⚠️ Fall in gas-fired generation offset by large increases in solar & wind power, not coal

w/CREA's @laurimyllyvirta.bsky.social

energyandcleanair.org/fossil-power...

1 week ago 234 92 2 16
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'Le glacier inférieur de Grindelwald'
Aimé Civiale
1859

In these times of unseasonal heat (that everyone confuses with spring!), let's feel the fresh breeze of the lowest ice in the Alps, that reached 980 m asl! 🧊🤍
(today more than 3.5 km behind 📈 )

Pictured here 3 yrs after the last LIA max.! 📷

1 week ago 22 4 0 0
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The 2026 International Atmospheric River Conference (𝗜𝗔𝗥𝗖𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟲) is coming to Porto, Portugal!

📅 19–23 October 2026 | 📍 Alfândega Congress Centre + virtual option

Join the conversation on atmospheric rivers and their impact on water, weather extremes, and climate resilience.

2 months ago 3 3 1 1

I’m curious if this percent change is for submitted or accepted proposals

3 weeks ago 0 0 1 0
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As the first reanalysis data become available, I think I can say with a fairly high degree of confidence that the March 2026 heatwave will go down as the most anomalously extreme heat event ever observed at any time of year in the southwestern U.S.

4 weeks ago 508 212 12 38
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The trailer for ‘Pressure’ is here, the film which tells the story of the most important weather forecast; the D-Day forecast

Andrew Scott stars as Group Captain James Stagg – the Met Office meteorologist tasked with delivering the weather forecast and helping shape D-Day's plans

In cinemas 9 Sept

4 weeks ago 319 73 31 100
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Moderate global warming does not rule out extreme global climate outcomes - Nature Extreme global climate outcomes may occur even under moderate 2 °C warming and may turn out to be more extreme than model-averaged projections at 3 °C or 4 °C warming.

Extreme global climate outcomes are possible even at 2°C of warming

In our new Nature study led by @bevacquae.bsky.social with Jakob Zscheischler and @janasillmann.bsky.social, we show that even moderate warming of 2°C could lead to extreme outcomes.

www.nature.com/articles/s41...

4 weeks ago 48 22 3 3
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Antarctica has been losing ice for years, but the rate has been slowing down/reversing recently, despite more ice discharge! Our new study shows the extra precipitation is driven by wind dynamics, atmospheric rivers and winter sea ice loss. Huge thanks to my co authors @ruthmottram.bsky.social &co!!

1 month ago 5 1 2 1
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Atmospheric rivers and winter sea ice drive recent reversal in Antarctic ice mass loss - Communications Earth & Environment The recent increase in Antarctic Ice Sheet mass is driven by enhanced precipitation from frequent atmospheric rivers, stronger westerlies, and reduced sea ice, which together offset ice loss from outl...

🚨 new paper alert🚨

Antarctica, after net losing ice through the noughts and teens started to level off and gain ice in spite of increasing discharge

The brilliant @marlenkolbe.bsky.social led this paper showing atmospheric rivers, winds + sea ice explain how + why - but will it continue?

1 month ago 21 10 0 1
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I remember seeing a graph of how enrollment in the Meteorology program at the Univ. of Oklahoma increased substantially after Twister came out

1 month ago 3 0 0 0
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White House plan to break up iconic U.S. climate lab moves forward Bidders have lined up to take over pieces of the National Center for Atmospheric Research

My latest for @science.org on the fraught future of NCAR as NSF's deadline nears. It can still go so many ways.

1 month ago 114 89 4 7
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Humanity heating planet faster than ever before, study finds Researchers identify sharp rise to about 0.35C every decade, after excluding natural fluctuations such as El Niño

Humanity heating planet faster than ever before, study finds

After removing natural effects (El Niño etc), warming rose from ~0.2°C/decade (1970–2015) to ~0.35°C/decade in the last 10 years; fastest since 1880.

At this pace, 1.5°C could be crossed before 2030.

www.theguardian.com/environment/...

1 month ago 24 16 1 3
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🛸 Ambiance interplanétaire sur les pentes de Savoie ce matin.
Des poussières désertiques en provenance du Sahara ont survolé l’Hexagone cette semaine ! Un phénomène connu des régions méditerranéennes.

🔎 Décryptage 👉 meteofrance.com/actualites-e...

📹 Merci à @anthonyroobert sur Instagram

1 month ago 141 29 8 3
Two researchers in colorful winter gear work on snow-covered Antarctic terrain next to a red twin-propeller aircraft under a clear blue sky. Footprints lead through the snow toward a small equipment stand in the foreground.

Two researchers in colorful winter gear work on snow-covered Antarctic terrain next to a red twin-propeller aircraft under a clear blue sky. Footprints lead through the snow toward a small equipment stand in the foreground.

Job alert! @northumbriauni.bsky.social is hiring a researcher to investigate tipping points in Antarctica's ice sheets – funded by ESA's Climate Change Initiative 🧊🌍

📍 Newcastle, UK | 14-month position
📅 Apply by 13 March 2026
🔗 work4.northumbria.ac.uk#en/sites/CX_...

1 month ago 4 7 0 0
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This persistent ridging/blocking will continue pushing subtropical/midlatitude moisture deep into East Antarctica throughout the week. A large expanse of +20C anomalies are expected. Not as extreme as March 2022, but noteworthy in the longevity of this heat event.

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The result is a prolonged period of extreme temperatures and melting along coastal areas. For instance, Cape Denison on the coast has been at 2-3C the past couple days

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And finally another atmospheric river forecasted for March 1st.

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And today on the 23rd

1 month ago 0 1 1 0
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And Feb. 20

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Then another on Feb. 18.

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The first atmospheric river was Feb. 12

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East Antarctica has been the epicenter for unusually persistent blocking and atmospheric river landfalls that have resulted in some extreme high temperatures. From February 12-March 1, I've noted 5 distinct atmospheric river events observed/forecasted over Wilkes Land.

1 month ago 7 5 1 1

This is one of the bigger disaster amplifications I’ve seen from climate change. Putting this more bluntly, many more people had their livelihoods and homes destroyed because we can’t stop burning fossil fuels. I hope they sue the oil companies for damages

2 months ago 0 0 0 0
Photo showing a tall, jagged ice front of the Ronne Ice Shelf in West Antarctica rising above the calm surface of the Weddell Sea. Credit: Torsten Albrecht / PIK.

Photo showing a tall, jagged ice front of the Ronne Ice Shelf in West Antarctica rising above the calm surface of the Weddell Sea. Credit: Torsten Albrecht / PIK.

🔔🚨 New Publication Alert!

Research has shown that the Antarctic Ice Sheet is a climate tipping element.

We found: it’s not one — it’s many.

📄 Paper (open access): www.nature.com/articles/s41...

📢 Press release: www.pik-potsdam.de/en/news/late...

Tread below 🧵👇

2 months ago 140 64 4 10

Always good to keep things in perspectives despite the headline news from the Trump administration about keeping coal alive.

2 months ago 0 0 0 0

I am impeaching Secretary Kristi Noem, who is an incompetent leader and a disgrace to our democracy.

She wreaked havoc in the Chicagoland area and has brought her reign of terror to Minneapolis. One of her rogue ICE agents shot and killed an innocent woman today. It must come to an end.

3 months ago 63582 14293 2226 1287
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Antarctica had its warmest year on record. That seems fucking bad. 🔥🔥🔥

3 months ago 118 49 3 1
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Protect the National Center for Atmospheric Research Write today and urge your members of Congress to oppose the Trump administration's plans to dismantle the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR.) Your message to Congress will help protect NC...

@ucs.org has released a letter you can write to your Congressperson to save @ncar-ucar.bsky.social

Share your voice on the significant value of this bedrock climate and weather insitution. Your story matters!

secure.ucs.org/a/2025-prote...

4 months ago 95 62 3 1
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If you are spending the holidays with family and would like to talk to some climate skeptics, then I would show them this chart. Few things hit harder than the disappearance of the white Christmas they experienced in their childhoods.

4 months ago 2 0 0 0