🚨 New paper: Three decades of simulating global temperature patterns with coupled global climate models
💡 Some of the latest km-scale models perform similarly to obs
💡 Reference choice starts to dominate for the latest models
💡 Resolution matters but is not everything
www.nature.com/articles/s43...
Posts by Jonathan Wille
🌐 NEW | Analysis: Global fossil power generation fell in March after Hormuz closure due to solar & wind growth
⚠️ Fall in gas-fired generation offset by large increases in solar & wind power, not coal
w/CREA's @laurimyllyvirta.bsky.social
energyandcleanair.org/fossil-power...
'Le glacier inférieur de Grindelwald'
Aimé Civiale
1859
In these times of unseasonal heat (that everyone confuses with spring!), let's feel the fresh breeze of the lowest ice in the Alps, that reached 980 m asl! 🧊🤍
(today more than 3.5 km behind 📈 )
Pictured here 3 yrs after the last LIA max.! 📷
The 2026 International Atmospheric River Conference (𝗜𝗔𝗥𝗖𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟲) is coming to Porto, Portugal!
📅 19–23 October 2026 | 📍 Alfândega Congress Centre + virtual option
Join the conversation on atmospheric rivers and their impact on water, weather extremes, and climate resilience.
I’m curious if this percent change is for submitted or accepted proposals
As the first reanalysis data become available, I think I can say with a fairly high degree of confidence that the March 2026 heatwave will go down as the most anomalously extreme heat event ever observed at any time of year in the southwestern U.S.
The trailer for ‘Pressure’ is here, the film which tells the story of the most important weather forecast; the D-Day forecast
Andrew Scott stars as Group Captain James Stagg – the Met Office meteorologist tasked with delivering the weather forecast and helping shape D-Day's plans
In cinemas 9 Sept
Extreme global climate outcomes are possible even at 2°C of warming
In our new Nature study led by @bevacquae.bsky.social with Jakob Zscheischler and @janasillmann.bsky.social, we show that even moderate warming of 2°C could lead to extreme outcomes.
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Antarctica has been losing ice for years, but the rate has been slowing down/reversing recently, despite more ice discharge! Our new study shows the extra precipitation is driven by wind dynamics, atmospheric rivers and winter sea ice loss. Huge thanks to my co authors @ruthmottram.bsky.social &co!!
🚨 new paper alert🚨
Antarctica, after net losing ice through the noughts and teens started to level off and gain ice in spite of increasing discharge
The brilliant @marlenkolbe.bsky.social led this paper showing atmospheric rivers, winds + sea ice explain how + why - but will it continue?
I remember seeing a graph of how enrollment in the Meteorology program at the Univ. of Oklahoma increased substantially after Twister came out
My latest for @science.org on the fraught future of NCAR as NSF's deadline nears. It can still go so many ways.
Humanity heating planet faster than ever before, study finds
After removing natural effects (El Niño etc), warming rose from ~0.2°C/decade (1970–2015) to ~0.35°C/decade in the last 10 years; fastest since 1880.
At this pace, 1.5°C could be crossed before 2030.
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
🛸 Ambiance interplanétaire sur les pentes de Savoie ce matin.
Des poussières désertiques en provenance du Sahara ont survolé l’Hexagone cette semaine ! Un phénomène connu des régions méditerranéennes.
🔎 Décryptage 👉 meteofrance.com/actualites-e...
📹 Merci à @anthonyroobert sur Instagram
Two researchers in colorful winter gear work on snow-covered Antarctic terrain next to a red twin-propeller aircraft under a clear blue sky. Footprints lead through the snow toward a small equipment stand in the foreground.
Job alert! @northumbriauni.bsky.social is hiring a researcher to investigate tipping points in Antarctica's ice sheets – funded by ESA's Climate Change Initiative 🧊🌍
📍 Newcastle, UK | 14-month position
📅 Apply by 13 March 2026
🔗 work4.northumbria.ac.uk#en/sites/CX_...
This persistent ridging/blocking will continue pushing subtropical/midlatitude moisture deep into East Antarctica throughout the week. A large expanse of +20C anomalies are expected. Not as extreme as March 2022, but noteworthy in the longevity of this heat event.
The result is a prolonged period of extreme temperatures and melting along coastal areas. For instance, Cape Denison on the coast has been at 2-3C the past couple days
And finally another atmospheric river forecasted for March 1st.
And today on the 23rd
And Feb. 20
Then another on Feb. 18.
The first atmospheric river was Feb. 12
East Antarctica has been the epicenter for unusually persistent blocking and atmospheric river landfalls that have resulted in some extreme high temperatures. From February 12-March 1, I've noted 5 distinct atmospheric river events observed/forecasted over Wilkes Land.
This is one of the bigger disaster amplifications I’ve seen from climate change. Putting this more bluntly, many more people had their livelihoods and homes destroyed because we can’t stop burning fossil fuels. I hope they sue the oil companies for damages
Photo showing a tall, jagged ice front of the Ronne Ice Shelf in West Antarctica rising above the calm surface of the Weddell Sea. Credit: Torsten Albrecht / PIK.
🔔🚨 New Publication Alert!
Research has shown that the Antarctic Ice Sheet is a climate tipping element.
We found: it’s not one — it’s many.
📄 Paper (open access): www.nature.com/articles/s41...
📢 Press release: www.pik-potsdam.de/en/news/late...
Tread below 🧵👇
Always good to keep things in perspectives despite the headline news from the Trump administration about keeping coal alive.
I am impeaching Secretary Kristi Noem, who is an incompetent leader and a disgrace to our democracy.
She wreaked havoc in the Chicagoland area and has brought her reign of terror to Minneapolis. One of her rogue ICE agents shot and killed an innocent woman today. It must come to an end.
Antarctica had its warmest year on record. That seems fucking bad. 🔥🔥🔥
@ucs.org has released a letter you can write to your Congressperson to save @ncar-ucar.bsky.social
Share your voice on the significant value of this bedrock climate and weather insitution. Your story matters!
secure.ucs.org/a/2025-prote...
If you are spending the holidays with family and would like to talk to some climate skeptics, then I would show them this chart. Few things hit harder than the disappearance of the white Christmas they experienced in their childhoods.