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Posts by X Zhang

Excited to share a work-in-progress on how revenge and deterrence motives can lead to divergent designs for automated nuclear command-and-control systems; inspired by the Soviet Union's Dead Hand system during the Cold War.

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interactive heat map of data available from Roper iPoll

interactive heat map of data available from Roper iPoll

Our collection of over 25,000 full datasets of public opinion spans the globe! Our interactive map makes it easy to find quality data with representation from more than 120 countries. https://bit.ly/3gfZYQ1

1 month ago 2 1 0 0
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New START ends. But a one-year extension could bring many benefits Rose Gottemoeller, the former chief US negotiator for New START, explains that a one-year extension of the treaty limits would not prejudice any of the vital steps Washington is taking to respond to C...

Rose Gottemoeller, the former chief US negotiator for New START, explains that a one-year extension of the treaty limits would not prejudice any of the vital steps Washington is taking to respond to China's nuclear build-up.

- 9/n

#NewSTART #armscontrol #nukesky @stanfordcisac.bsky.social

2 months ago 3 3 1 0
Erik Lin-Greenberg, "The Remote Revolution: Drones and Modern Statecraft" (Cornell UP, 2025) - New Books Network

Great new book on the strategic implications of drones, including some interesting Cold War history of drone use along side interesting experiments newbooksnetwork.com/the-remote-r...

3 months ago 1 0 0 0
Iraq: Eras of Rupture & the Illusions of Nostalgia | Zainab Saleh
Iraq: Eras of Rupture & the Illusions of Nostalgia | Zainab Saleh YouTube video by afikra - عفكرة

Zainab Saleh discusses how the Iraq she grew up in—during the Ba'ath Party reign and under Saddam Hussein and explores the concept of nostalgia for the Saddam era, which exists even among those who suffered under the regime, because of the basic services that were provided.
youtu.be/p5bjV3N0Zrw?...

3 months ago 0 0 0 0
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Why Israel Wants to Strike Again: Inside Iran's Expanding Missile Threat Israeli officials are preparing to brief U.S.

New post on Iranian thinking after the June 2025 war and why missiles, not nuclear latency, are now at the center of Tehran's strategy. axesandatoms.substack.com/p/why-israel...

4 months ago 21 6 1 0
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Helen DeWitt and Ilya Gridneff’s Sweeping Anti-War Novel Your Name Here dramatizes the tensions and possibilities of political art.

Your Name Here is a fascinating bridge between literary fiction and foreign policy well worth reading. It warns that when a culture rewards ignorance and mendacity, politics is rarely far behind.
www.thenation.com/article/cult...

4 months ago 1 0 0 0
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An Audit of Social Science Survey Experiments Abstract. Survey experiments have become a popular methodology for causal inference across the social sciences. We study the efficacy of survey experiment

doi.org/10.1093/poq/...

4 months ago 0 0 0 0
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The paper by Rauf et al. (2025) shows faculty-led experiments succeed more often, likely because of both resources (sample size) and design experiences.
If you’re a grad student, collaborate! Bringing an experienced experimentalist into the design stage raises your odds of success.

4 months ago 0 0 1 0
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A House of Dynamite (2025) w/ Scott Sagan | Ep. 54 Van and Lyle are joined by nuclear weapons and disarmament expert Scott Sagan to discuss A House of Dynamite, the 2025 political thriller that imagines nuclear catastrophe not as spectacle or obvious ...

🎧 What if nuclear war didn’t look like chaos, but competence?
CISAC Co-Director Scott Sagan discusses A House of Dynamite and the real risks of nuclear decision-making on the Bang Bang Podcast. ⤵️
www.bangbangpod.com/p/a-house-of...

4 months ago 5 2 0 0
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Play the scramble, avoid the backlash? Partisan dynamics in the negotiation of bilateral investment treaties Sparked by a proliferation of bilateral investment treaties (BITs) at the turn of the century, the modern international investment regime now faces a backlash from dissatisfied states. We examine t...

📢 New paper w/ @mcward.bsky.social in @ripejournal.bsky.social
: We show that left- and right-led governments negotiate fundamentally different bilateral investment treaties, with lasting consequences for treaty formation, design, and exit.

doi.org/10.1080/09692290.2025.2589412

4 months ago 5 1 0 0
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The Generalizability of IR Experiments beyond the United States The Generalizability of IR Experiments beyond the United States By Lotem Bassan-Nygate, Harvard University, Jonathan Renshon, University of Wisconsin–Madison, Jessica L. P. Weeks, University of Wisconsin–Madison and Chagai M. Weiss, Stanford University Theories of international relations (IR) typically make predictions intended to hold across many countries, yet existing experimental evidence testing their micro-foundations relies overwhelmingly on studies fielded in the United States.

The Generalizability of IR Experiments beyond the United States

The Generalizability of IR Experiments beyond the United States By Lotem Bassan-Nygate, Harvard University, Jonathan Renshon, University of Wisconsin–Madison, Jessica L. P. Weeks, University of Wisconsin–Madison and Chagai M. Weiss,…

4 months ago 2 1 0 0
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A house of mistakes: what Kathryn Bigelow’s 'A House of Dynamite' gets radically right—and dangerously wrong—about nuclear war A House of Dynamite gets so many details wrong that the lessons viewers take from the film will likely be counterproductive, even dangerous. If it is a wake-up call, the audience will wake up on the w...

Hollywood meets nuclear strategy, and it’s messier than you think. CISAC Co-director Scott Sagan and Research Assistant Shreya Lad unpack what A House of Dynamite gets right about nuclear risk, and where it goes dangerously wrong.
thebulletin.org/2025/12/a-ho...

4 months ago 2 2 0 0
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So cool -> Quebec researchers tracked eye dilation + sweat when showing respondents political issues to see if they aligned with results from standard poll questions on issue importance. They did! And suggest asking people to choose their top issue is most reliable academic.oup.com/poq/article/...

4 months ago 26 9 2 2
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"Hallo"? 🤣

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Cycle of Suffering: Why Military Retaliation Provokes Rather Than Deters
Cycle of Suffering: Why Military Retaliation Provokes Rather Than Deters YouTube video by CISAC Stanford (CISACStanford)

Conventional wisdom suggests that states, when challenged, can demonstrate their resolve by retaliating militarily, thereby deterring future challenges. I argue that rather than deterring, retaliation provokes cyclical revenge.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=LuBM...

5 months ago 0 0 0 0
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Grateful to have been in DC for the Stanton conference meeting fellows, scholars, alumni, and policy practitioners who are working on deterrence and nonproliferation from both social science and technical angles.

5 months ago 0 0 0 0
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Explaining the Proliferation of Nuclear Delivery Vehicles How and why do nuclear delivery vehicles proliferate? This article identifies a permissive environment in the nonproliferation regime shaped by three drivers for proliferation: First, the multipurp...

🚨 How & why do nuclear delivery vehicles proliferate? My article on the spread of delivery vehicles is out at Security Studies! #OpenAccess

It explains:
- Why the NPT allows nuclear delivery vehicles to spread
- How did India acquire its #nuclear delivery technology
tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

7 months ago 30 11 2 1
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CISAC Names 2025-2026 Fellows The Center for International Security and Cooperation (CISAC) is pleased to welcome the fellows who will be joining us for the 2025-26 academic year. These scholars will spend the academic year genera...

Please join us in welcoming our 2025-2026 fellows! These scholars will spend the academic year generating new knowledge across a range of topics that can help all of us build a safer world.
cisac.fsi.stanford.edu/news/cisac-n...

10 months ago 3 3 0 0
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One understudied phenomenon in political science: how leaders (and publics) draw connections between seemingly unrelated events—across domestic and foreign arenas—simply because they happen concurrently, enabling unexpected cross-domain policy influence.

1 year ago 0 0 0 0
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Strategic Stability Dialogue between the United States and China in

Next week: "Strategic Stability Dialogue between the United States and China in Historical Perspective" with Alexandre Debs

RSVP here⤵️
cisac.fsi.stanford.edu/events/strat...

1 year ago 2 1 0 0