Some incredibly important findings here for housing policy. The demand-side policies adopting the last couple of decades mostly helped relatively high earners
Posts by Peter Levell
The new "sugar tax" in 2018 cut average sugar consumed by about 20kcal a day.
The latest reforms are best seen as a tidying up exercise.
Read @gautamvyas.bsky.social and Martin Brogaard's new analysis of the reforms below. And follow @gautamvyas.bsky.social for more analysis of nutrition policy!
Key context to talk about the cost of any potential energy support package: an energy price shock is already bad news in itself for the public finances.
Higher inflation and interest rates would push up debt interest spending, welfare spending, and put pressure on public services.
New: War in the Middle East has pushed up energy prices, which if sustained, could put pressure on households and the public finances.
How might the government choose to respond?
📈 @peterlevell.bsky.social, @nickridpath.bsky.social and Bobbie Upton’s new briefing explores the options:
NEW PODCAST: Did inflation cause the cost of living crisis?
🎧 @helenmiller.bsky.social, @peterlevell.bsky.social and former Bank of England MPC member David Miles investigate inflation: what it is, why it's been high recently, who it hits hardest and more.
Listen here: ifs.org.uk/articles/did...
Are you an outstanding communicator who knows loads about the UK public finances? Are you attracted by the prospect of a public voice, and the chance to work alongside brilliant economists at the country's finest think tank?
We'd like to hear from you: app.beapplied.com/apply/4t6eys...
Here's a starter pack of IFS economists posting on BlueSky. Make sure you're following them all for the top-quality economic analysis on labour markets, inequality, public finances, healthcare, education and more! go.bsky.app/NYPwMB
Excited about discussing regional inequalities at the Fiscal Studies symposium event next week!
We've got a star-studded lineup of @andyburnham.bsky.social, Paul Collier, Philip McCann, @lindseymacmillan.bsky.social, @amcanning.bsky.social and more.
Summary of new papers below 🧵👇
How have rising house prices in the mid-1990s to the mid-2000s affected young people's social mobility?
Sign up for our event with @helenmiller.bsky.social and @peterlevell.bsky.social at 10am on Monday on new research on how rising house prices affected inequalities ⬇️ ifs.org.uk/events/what-...
Absolutely delighted our research has won the ONS' Research Excellence prize for impact!
I always say to people that the ideal @theifs.bsky.social work is rigorous enough to publish in top journals, and relevant enough to be on the front page. I think we've ticked that box here!
Late to this but really excellent news.
And for those interested in economic measurement, the call for the @escoeorg.bsky.social annual conference (19-21 May, KCL London) is now open.
Keynotes by Carol Corrado, Xavier Jaravel and Canada's Chief Statistician. Submit by 12 January.
Congratulations to Christine and her collaborators - great to see this fine body of work get the recognition it deserves!
There will be lots of speculation about tax over the next 6 weeks, for better or worse. This chapter is a plea for the government to think about how to make the system work better, rather than just raise the taxes which pose fewest short-term political hurdles.
Some highlights:
Next seminar: @peterlevell.bsky.social (Institute for Fiscal Studies) joint work with Martin O'Connell and Kate Smith will be presenting "The welfare effects of price shocks and household relief packages: evidence from an energy crisis" on Oct 15, 12.00 CET. www.bde.es/wbe/en/areas... #bdeResearch
New at JIE: "Household responses to trade shocks" by Aitor Irastorza-Fadrique (@aitor-if.bsky.social), Peter Levell (@peterlevell.bsky.social), Matthias Parey
doi.org/10.1016/j.ji...
Chart shows defence spending out-turn and plans. Title states: "Meeting the NATO defence spending commitment would be equivalent to spending an extra £36 billion, or £500 per person, a year in current terms."
NEW: Honouring the NATO commitment to increase defence spending to 3.5% of GDP by 2035 would reshape the British state.
@maxwarner.bsky.social & @beeboileau.bsky.social's new IFS Green Budget chapter, funded by @nuffieldfoundation.org, examines the past and future of UK defence spending:
[THREAD:]
Do join us for this!
Had a good chat on
@moneybox.bsky.social with @paullewismoney.bsky.social
about our Pensions Review work and what we should do about the triple lock and automatic enrolment – you can listen to it here:
bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/...
Really looking forward to this - it's going to be great!
A nice write up of our research as part of @escoeorg.bsky.social on local consumption spending. More info (and interactive graphics!) here! ifs.org.uk/articles/whi...
Gautam Vyas, Research Economist at the IFS, ESCoE Research Associate, and an author of the paper, said: “People care deeply about regional inequalities, but rankings of living standards across areas depend greatly on how you measure them. Our findings challenge the conventional wisdom that the typical London household enjoys higher living standards than their counterparts across the country. Rather, it seems that a combination of higher housing costs and differences in saving behaviour implies that high incomes do not translate into higher consumption spending for Londoners.”
How much do living standards vary across the country?
ESCoE/ @theifs.bsky.social work finds that measuring living standards using average household spending gives a starkly different picture of regional inequalities than using average household income tinyurl.com/bfzajkr5
@peterlevell.bsky.social
Congratulations to @helenmiller.bsky.social on her appointment as the next director of the IFS!
Give her a follow!
ifs.org.uk/news/helen-m...
NEW PODCAST: Do tariffs work?
@pjtheeconomist.bsky.social and @peterlevell.bsky.social discuss the economic consequences of tariffs, why governments use them, and whether they actually achieve their intended goals.
➡️ Listen to the podcast here: ifs.org.uk/articles/do-...
Our IFS report on air pollution is out! Good news first: air pollution (PM2.5) has HALVED in England since 2003, with a big drop during Covid. There's no rebound post Covid, somewhat puzzlingly. We use DEFRA data, monitoring station data shows the same thing. (1/7)
ifs.org.uk/publications...
Our paper on cheapflation is now an ESCoE discussion paper
Check at our tool to see how house prices, and the housing stock, has changed in your local area
Don't forget to tune in to Abdoulaye's seminar today at 15:30 London time! #EconSky
My colleague @maxwarner.bsky.social is new to BlueSky- follow him for excellent research on the evolving state of the NHS!