✍️Paper co-authored by @jonnekamphorst.bsky.social @alexanderdavenport.bsky.social @marcushagley.bsky.social @eliasdinas.bsky.social & @arnoutvanderijt.bsky.social
Posts by Political Science Research and Methods
🗳️ Do early wins in US presidential primaries create momentum?
➡️ @jonnekamphorst.bsky.social et al. show that winning early contests like Iowa or New Hampshire has no lasting effect on later outcomes, challenging the idea of momentum in primaries www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
#FirstView
💍 Do interethnic marriages measure social cohesion?
➡️ Using census data from Zambia, @danielposnermd.bsky.social introduces a new approach showing intermarriage estimates change once local exposure to outgroup members is considered www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
#FirstView
✍️Article co-authored by M. Baum, @adamberinsky.bsky.social @jdbk.bsky.social, J. Jeong, Z. Markovich & T Yamamoto www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
📰 Do the effects of partisan media fade quickly or accumulate over time?
➡️ Using multiwave experiments, M Baum et al. show a single exposure can have effects lasting up to a week, while cumulative effects are hard to detect www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
Logo of Political Science Research and Methods featuring the initials "PSRM" in a stylized grey font on a black background.
NEW ISSUE from @psrm.bsky.social -
Political Science Research and Methods
Volume 14 - Issue 2 - April 2026 - https://cup.org/4uMWbkh
#OpenAccess
🌍 Why do not all immigrant groups support progressive parties?
➡️ @korinlind.bsky.social & @antvalentim.bsky.social show immigrants from established democracies are more likely to back green parties than those from (post-)authoritarian regimes www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
🏙️ Do district-based elections change who gets elected locally?
➡️ Studying California's recent shift, M Cushing-Daniels, D Jones & @brookenshannon.bsky.social show they increased representation from lower-income areas and reduced business influence www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
🖋️Article co-authored by @annather-nerd.bsky.social @okuspokus.bsky.social Thomas Gschwend @lenamariahuber.bsky.social Simone Paolo Ponzetto, Ines Rehbein & @lstoetze.bsky.social .
💬 How can we measure inter party communication?
➡️ Using a transformer based approach, @annather-nerd.bsky.social et al. classify how parties talk about rivals (positive-negative), studying coalition signals in Germany and campaigning in Austria www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
🏛️ Why would an authoritarian state not enforce its own policies?
➡️ Studying China’s social insurance system, H Zhang & @yezhang.bsky.social find that promotion incentives and competition lead local officials to tolerate firm payroll tax evasion www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
📞 What motivates participation in consultative events?
➡️ In a field trial with Australian voters, W Minozzi, M A Neblo & @aleighmp.bsky.social show that generic invites increased uptake, while some framed messages kept participants on the call longer www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
🤖 Can LLMs replicate expert text coding?
➡️ Using interest group documents, @dahyunchoi.bsky.social D. Peskoff & B. M. Stewart show that fine tuned LLMs outperform trained coders and zero shot models in identifying informative vs associative signals www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
🧐 Can we trust estimates of political trust when preferences are hidden?
➡D Li, @xiaobolu.bsky.social S Ma & W Yang show social desirability can bias regressions, question the link between welfare and trust, and offer ways to reduce bias www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
🗳️ How can we better study the impact of major events with surveys?
➡A bertoli, L Jakli & H Pascoe clarify the strengths and weaknesses of pre and post survey designs and introduce a dual randomised survey to reduce bias www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
🏛️ Do anti elitist parties behave differently in parliament?
➡️ @simonotjes.bsky.social & L Vorsteveld use a new voting model to show that anti elitist parties vote alike and differently from others, but only on legislative votes www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
🏘️ Why is restrictive zoning linked to racial segregation?
➡️ Using agent based models and parcel level zoning data, @trounstine.bsky.social shows that restrictive rules cluster housing costs and, with unequal wealth & homophily, foster racial segregation www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
🧠 Do politicians misread their constituents' preferences?
➡️Using a new method where politicians draw preference distributions, N Dias, @jacklucas.bsky.social & @liorsheffer.bsky.social show that conservative overestimation is smaller than assumed www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
🧑🤝🧑Do politicians consider the gender of leaders when selecting coalition partners?
➡️Using a conjoint on 979 Spanish mayors, @albahuidobro.bsky.social finds that mayors, especially those on the center and left, prefer coalitions with parties led by women www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
🚺 How does femonationalism affect public opinion?
➡️Using a US survey experiment, @sophiemainz.bsky.social shows that femonationalist rhetoric boosts opposition to pluralist policies by invoking progressive gender achievements www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
📈 How should scholars model conditional relationships in time series data?
➡️ @zachmwarner.bsky.social G N Vande Kamp & S Jordan provide guidance on interaction terms in dynamic models, showing how to flexibly model and interpret moderation over time www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
🗣️ Does official rhetoric predict military escalation in autocracies?
➡️ Using word embeddings on China’s rhetoric toward Taiwan, J S.H. Wong finds that harsher language predicts a higher risk of military escalation, suggesting rhetoric is not cheap talk www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
Logo of Political Science Research and Methods featuring the initials "PSRM" in a stylized grey font on a black background.
NEW ISSUE from @psrm.bsky.social -
Political Science Research and Methods - Volume 14 - Issue 1 - January 2026 - https://cup.org/3NE1AsW
#OpenAccess
🗳️ How can we better measure party loyalty?
➡️ Using US congressional party leader speeches, @adamramey.bsky.social introduce a new model that disentangles legislator ideology from party loyalty and allows party influence to vary across members & over time www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
📨 Whether subjects open a message is a crucial step in experiments.
➡️ T Leavitt & V Rivera-Burgos show how mismeasurement of opens biases estimates and offer practical guidance and sensitivity analyses for message-based experiments www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
📋 How can we improve estimates from list experiments?
➡️X. Lu & R Traunmüller introduce a Bayesian approach that uses informative priors to increase efficiency and reshape substantive conclusions www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
📊How did partisan divides in mass behavior vary during COVID-19?
➡ Using panel data, B Canes-Wrone, J T Rothwell & C Makridis show that partisan gaps persist across apolitical behaviors, but narrow as personal costs rise and symbolism falls www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
🗳️ How can we identify voting blocs when individual votes are not observed?
➡ Using a Bayesian mixture model, J O’Brien recovers geographically structured voting blocs from aggregated municipal referendum data in the US (Maine 2008–2019) www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
🏛️Do party leaders influence roll call voting in the US Congress?
➡A Fowler shows that when parties switch from moderate to more extreme leaders, rank and file members cast more extreme roll call votes and are less partisan when no leader is in place www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
💰Do voters punish local politicians for raising taxes?
➡ Using close local ballot votes in California, J Courbe & @jpayson.bsky.social find little backlash after tax hikes, except for business taxes, where organized interests mobilize www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView