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Posts by Charin Modchang

Without gravity, virus-laden particles don't settle. They float indefinitely. Our modeling shows:

286ร— higher viral concentration in air vs Earth

~78% infection probability in 1 week (nearly 2ร— Earth)

HEPA filtration cuts airborne virus by 99.79%

1 week ago 0 0 0 0
Modeling the risk of airborne transmission of respiratory viruses in microgravity - npj Microgravity npj Microgravity - Modeling the risk of airborne transmission of respiratory viruses in microgravity

Modeling the risk of airborne transmission of respiratory viruses in microgravity

www.nature.com/articles/s41...

2 weeks ago 1 0 0 0

Thank you!

2 weeks ago 1 0 0 0
Modeling the risk of airborne transmission of respiratory viruses in microgravity - npj Microgravity npj Microgravity - Modeling the risk of airborne transmission of respiratory viruses in microgravity

๐Ÿš€ As Artemis II astronauts journey around the Moon right now, our new paper asks a critical question:

What if a respiratory virus spreads inside a spacecraft?

๐Ÿ“„ doi.org/10.1038/s415...

#ArtemisII #NASA

2 weeks ago 2 0 2 0

Our study on tracking Plasmodium knowlesi through fecal DNA

4 weeks ago 0 0 0 0
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Our new paper just accepted in The Journal of Infectious Diseases! ๐ŸŽ‰

We tracked Plasmodium knowlesi in wild macaque faeces across 9 countries in Southeast & South Asia โ€” 4,752 samples, 8.2% positivity.

Great multinational collaboration led by Dr. Leshan ๐ŸฆŸ๐Ÿ’

๐Ÿ”—: doi.org/10.1093/infd...

1 month ago 3 1 1 0
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Unraveling the drivers of leptospirosis risk in Thailand using machine learning The research team built an artificial intelligence model using a technique called XGBoost to analyze 16 years of disease surveillance data alongside information about rainfall, temperature, rice farmi...

link.growkudos.com/1e4i5naqx34

5 months ago 0 0 0 0
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Modeling the effectiveness of RT-PCR, RT-LAMP, and antigen testing strategies for COVID-19 control - BMC Infectious Diseases The COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted the crucial role of testing in mitigating disease transmission. This study evaluates the effectiveness and cost-efficiency of various testing strategies, includin...

Modeling the effectiveness of RT-PCR, RT-LAMP, and antigen testing strategies for COVID-19 control

link.springer.com/article/10.1...

5 months ago 2 0 0 0
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Unraveling the drivers of leptospirosis risk in Thailand using machine learning Author summary Leptospirosis, a disease caused by Leptospira bacteria, poses a significant public health challenge in Thailand. The bacteria thrive in contaminated environments, particularly those ass...

Now published: journals.plos.org/plosntds/art...

5 months ago 2 0 0 0
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Unraveling the drivers of leptospirosis risk in Thailand using machine learning Author summary Leptospirosis, a disease caused by Leptospira bacteria, poses a significant public health challenge in Thailand. The bacteria thrive in contaminated environments, particularly those ass...

Unraveling the drivers of leptospirosis risk in Thailand using machine learning

Our new study: journals.plos.org/plosntds/art...

5 months ago 2 0 1 0
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Please share!

Amazing opportunity at @mcgill.ca

We are looking to recruit an internationally recognized, interdisciplinary scientist with a strong track record in innovation and research to direct a new program in climate, environment, and health

mcgill.wd3.myworkdayjobs.com/en-US/McGill...

9 months ago 84 72 1 1

Just few days left to apply to one of these postdoc positions in my infectious disease modelling Unit at @pasteur.fr in Paris!

9 months ago 25 22 1 0
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Surveillance of avian influenza through bird guano in remote regions of the global south to uncover transmission dynamics - Nature Communications Highly pathogenic avian influenza is an increasing global concern but its distribution in remote regions is not known. Here, the authors conduct an environmental influenza surveillance study in remote...

๐Ÿšจ Our latest paper is out today in @natcomms.nature.com

Surveillance of avian influenza through bird guano in remote regions of the global south to uncover transmission dynamics

www.nature.com/articles/s41...

10 months ago 11 8 0 0
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Surveillance of avian influenza through bird guano in remote regions of the global south to uncover transmission dynamics - Nature Communications Highly pathogenic avian influenza is an increasing global concern but its distribution in remote regions is not known. Here, the authors conduct an environmental influenza surveillance study in remote...

๐Ÿฆœ๐Ÿ’ฉ Bird poo surveillance reveals global flu hotspots

A new study tracked avian influenza by analysing bird guano in 10 countries. It uncovered high H5N1 diversity, signs of antiviral resistance, & early circulation of strains later found in humans.

๐Ÿ”— doi.org/10.1038/s414...

#SciComm #BirdFlu ๐Ÿงช

10 months ago 8 4 0 1
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Surveillance of avian influenza through bird guano in remote regions of the global south to uncover transmission dynamics - Nature Communications Highly pathogenic avian influenza is an increasing global concern but its distribution in remote regions is not known. Here, the authors conduct an environmental influenza surveillance study in remote...

๐Ÿšจ Our latest paper is out today in @natcomms.nature.com

Surveillance of avian influenza through bird guano in remote regions of the global south to uncover transmission dynamics

www.nature.com/articles/s41...

10 months ago 11 8 0 0
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๐Ÿงต NEW PREPRINT: Our team has developed a machine learning model to predict leptospirosis outbreaks in Thailand by identifying key environmental and socioeconomic risk factors. This could lead to better early warning systems for this neglected tropical disease.

11 months ago 3 1 1 0

Well done! Thanks @drleshan.bsky.social

11 months ago 1 0 0 0

Our new report on streptococcal toxic shock syndrome in Japan.

11 months ago 1 0 0 0
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Streptococcus pyogenes surveillance through surface swab samples to track the emergence of streptococcal toxic shock syndrome in rural Japan Japan recently experienced a record surge in streptococcal toxic shock syndrome (STSS). Our environmental surveillance study shows seasonal S. pyogenes pea

Our new study reveals streptococcus pyogenes persists seasonally in public environments across rural Japan, with peak concentrations in autumn/winter.

Environmental surveillance could be key to predicting outbreaks ๐Ÿ‘‡

doi.org/10.1093/infd...

11 months ago 2 0 0 0
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Unraveling the drivers of leptospirosis risk in Thailand using machine learning

๐Ÿ“ Read our full preprint for comprehensive insights into leptospirosis risk prediction and the complex interplay of environmental and socioeconomic factors driving outbreaks in Thailand: โคต๏ธ doi.org/10.1101/2025...

11 months ago 1 0 1 0

Our approach demonstrates how machine learning can help unravel complex disease drivers when traditional modeling approaches struggle with highly correlated factors and limited data resolution.

11 months ago 1 0 1 0
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๐Ÿ˜ท We also documented how COVID-19 disrupted leptospirosis surveillance in Thailand, with model performance declining during the pandemic (2020-2021) but recovering in 2022. This suggests significant underreporting during the pandemic years.

11 months ago 1 0 1 0

๐ŸŒง๏ธ While previous studies focused heavily on rainfall, our analysis revealed more complex climate interactions. Vapor pressure, maximum temperature, and precipitation during the driest month all influence outbreak patterns in different ways.

11 months ago 1 0 1 0

๐Ÿ‘จโ€๐Ÿ‘ฉโ€๐Ÿ‘งโ€๐Ÿ‘ฆ Beyond agriculture, larger household size emerged as a critical risk factor, indicating leptospirosis disproportionately affects rural communities. Understanding these socioeconomic dimensions is crucial for targeted interventions.

11 months ago 1 0 1 0
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๐ŸŒพ Surprisingly, we found that rice production factors were the strongest predictors of leptospirosis risk. Traditional farming practices appear more conducive to disease transmission compared to mechanized methods, highlighting agriculture's role in outbreak dynamics.

11 months ago 1 0 1 0
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๐Ÿฆ  Leptospirosis poses a significant public health challenge in Thailand, with complex transmission patterns influenced by rice farming, climate, and socioeconomic conditions. Our XGBoost model achieved high predictive accuracy (AUC>0.93) in identifying high-risk provinces.

11 months ago 1 0 1 0
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๐Ÿงต NEW PREPRINT: Our team has developed a machine learning model to predict leptospirosis outbreaks in Thailand by identifying key environmental and socioeconomic risk factors. This could lead to better early warning systems for this neglected tropical disease.

11 months ago 3 1 1 0

Unraveling the drivers of leptospirosis risk in Thailand using machine learning www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2025.03....

1 year ago 1 1 0 0