Well, this aged exactly how I was afraid it would

The other student heavy swing districts are CA-45, CA-47, AZ-1, and NY-19

By my back of napkin math, VA6 now has at least 2x as many students as the next competitive district in the country.

TN07 is a story about gerrymandering: the GOP cracked Nashville into 3 districts when it redrew the 2022 map, destroying the Dem seat there.

Fast-forward: a section of Nashville, which just 5 years ago had a Dem representative, is now voting Dem by huge margins but it's been designed to not matter.

Border Patrol is monitoring US drivers and detaining those with 'suspicious' travel patterns The U.S. Border Patrol is monitoring millions of American drivers nationwide in a secretive program to identify and detain people whose travel patterns it deems suspicious.

A blockbuster investigation by the AP, out today.

So much in it, give it a read, but starts with: "The U.S. Border Patrol is monitoring millions of American drivers nationwide in a secretive program to identify and detain people whose travel patterns it deems suspicious."

North Carolina GOP Is Cracking Down on the Black Sheriffs Who Stood Up to ICE - Bolts Editor’s note: The GOP-run legislature passed this bill in September 2024, sending it to Democratic Governor Roy Cooper’s desk. After Cooper vetoed the bill, Republican lawmakers overrode his veto in....

“When the eight African American sheriffs took over the largest counties in North Carolina, it became a threat to the good ol’ boy system," the Charlotte sheriff told Bolts in 2023 to explain why the GOP was targeting him.

This weekend, DHS announced the deployment of federal agents in Charlotte.

White House Scraps Cash Payments for Delayed or Canceled Flights

When travelers are stranded by canceled flights and long delays, the airline should compensate those impacted.

The Trump administration just changed the rules to let airlines off the hook. I'm leading the fight in Congress to get the Department of Transportation to restore these vital protections.

With all ballots now counted for the 2025 #Virginia general election, here are the final numbers for statewide offices:

Governor-elect Abigail Spanberger: 57.58% (D+15.36%)

Lieutenant Governor-elect Ghazala Hashmi: 55.65% (D+11.56%)

Attorney General-elect Jay Jones: 53.14% (D+6.68%)

The difference between conservatives crafting 'Project 2025' at the Heritage Foundation, and CAP thinking of going with Larry Summers (even before the disclosures), is very striking.

Dems are going to come pretty close to flipping an R+7 seat after seeing very high youth turnout. This was a seat that came on the radar late. Similar to HD 41 with Lily Franklin in 2023.

Students are allowed to vote where they live, including on and off campus. They technically have a choice where they can vote, but if a student lives on campus they can vote there

HD-41 voted for Trump by around 3% in 2024

Lily Franklin ran a textbook campaign on how to turn out young voters

But she also persuaded them to back Dems after it was close last year

A lot Dems can learn from her campaign about organizing on campus

Still counting based off my update 5 minutes ago

Montgomery has been releasing its provisionals in bits, but got most of them just now

Spanberger 1628-270
Franklin 1522-266

Franklin’s margin in HD41 is above 6.5% now

In HD 41, Franklin won provisionals(including a ton of SDRs) 1522(85%)- 266(15%) with a roughly 70 point margin!!!

Waiting on Montgomery, Harrisonburg City, Rockingham, and Williamsburg 👀

One of biggest red flags for Dems in 2024 was barley winning provisionals in Virginia

These are mainly same-day registrations from younger and less engaged voters

Basically lowest propensity voters

Spanberger winning them big this year

Warning sign for Republicans now

Organizers on the ground registered a ton of students, did class raps talking about the election, did events about issues and candidates, knocked on a ton of doors, educated students about SDR, and ultimately turned a lot of people that most campaigns never talk too.

Today election boards will meet in a lot of Virginia. @nextgenamerica.bsky.social three targeted house seats were 34, 41, and 71. Campus turnout in these districts is already sky high (higher than 2024 turnout in 34 and 41), but today SDR provisionals will be counted and that turnout will go way up!

Waiting for the final numbers on VA HD 34. Payton has to hit a high margin of the provisionals and mail, but technically possible. Will be the closest race in the state for sure

Episode 37: How Dems Flipped 13 Seats in House of Delegates Podcast Episode · Federal Fallout: The 2025 Virginia Elections · 11/08/2025 · 29m

Federal Fallout on how Dems flipped 13 seats in Virginia House of Delegates

In NOVA, RVA, Hampton Roads, and SWVA

Including suburbs, exurbs, rural, wealthier, working class, and diverse

Candidates ran district specific campaigns which Dems can learn from

podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/f...

The Dem nominee Andrew Payton trails by 4.66% (1,282 votes) after PE votes from Harrisonburg. There are still PEs for Rockingham and provisionals for Harrisonburg and Rockingham.

The Harrisonburg ones are key because of same-day voter registration at JMU.
enr.elections.virginia.gov/results/publ...

Federal Fallout: The 2025 Virginia Elections Politics Podcast · Updated Weekly · A podcast exploring the 2025 elections in Virginia and how the changes to the Federal government will influence them. Views expressed are those of the host person...

Federal Fallout pod with lessons from Virginia elections

Dems stayed focused on the economy

GOP was a little too online and lost the plot

Dems also organized to get out less engaged voters

GOP had issue party in power often with lower turnout

podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/f...

They’re going to fire a US attorney because they couldn’t find evidence for a crime that was manufactured by the administration?

Banana republic shit

Young voters critical in at least 2 House of Delegates seats in Virginia this year

HD-41 with Virginia Tech and HD-71 with William and Mary

Dems narrowly lost both in 2023

But if they get students out this year, good opportunity for pickups

We did some polling… And young voters are feeling extremely fed up with politics (and politicians) right now.

So, we did some polling...

nextgenamerica.substack.com/p/we-did-som...

California Sen. Alex Padilla was just forcibly removed from a DHS press conference and handcuffed.

"I am Senator Alex Padilla. I have questions for the secretary."

Video from @Elex_Michaelson on X via Padilla's staff.

We feed you.
They hunt us.