Varie testate scrivono che la vittoria del NO sia stata "trascinata" dai giovani ma, dati alla mano, il contributo più ampio è arrivato dagli anziani. E se i giovani non avessero votato affatto, avrebbe comunque vinto il NO.
lauraserra.co.uk/il-no-e-stat...
Il divario generazionale presente in molti altri paesi, in Italia non esiste. Gli anziani tendono a collocarsi più a sinistra dei giovani. E chi pensa che i giovani voteranno in massa per la sx l'anno prossimo farebbe bene a ricordare che nel 2022 il loro primo partito era Azione e il secondo FDI...
E mentre molti rimarcano quanti giovani abbiano votato NO, è ben più interessante riflettere su quanti abbiano votato SI. Che in contesto di alta partecipazione il SI si collochi al 44,7% tra i 18-34 e al 41,5% tra i Gen Z è notevole, e contraddice la narrazione che stiamo leggendo.
Soppesando i risultati al peso elettorale di ogni fascia d’età, è evidente (ma anche ovvio) che il vero motore trainante del voto siano stati gli anziani.
I numeri di Opinio Italia ampiamente citati secondo cui tra i 18-34 il NO abbia raccolto il 61% di preferenze sono fuorvianti, perché questa fascia contiene poco piu del 20% dell'elettorato. Gli over 55 sono il 46%!
Varie testate scrivono che la vittoria del NO sia stata "trascinata" dai giovani ma, dati alla mano, il contributo più ampio è arrivato dagli anziani. E se i giovani non avessero votato affatto, avrebbe comunque vinto il NO.
lauraserra.co.uk/il-no-e-stat...
I wrote a few words
my latest piece on the voting age reform, where I reiterate why the measure is a fundamentally good thing, respond to criticism that it redefines what “children” are in UK law, and highlight the importance of ensuring effective, rather than just nominal, enfranchisement ⬇️⬇️⬇️
the colour-coded binders 😭
why was this posted to the official Labour instagram account and why have I watched it 5 times already ☠️☠️☠️
my latest piece on the voting age reform, where I reiterate why the measure is a fundamentally good thing, respond to criticism that it redefines what “children” are in UK law, and highlight the importance of ensuring effective, rather than just nominal, enfranchisement ⬇️⬇️⬇️
Following the Green Party's victory in the Gorton and Denton byelection, Labour is facing a more serious challenge on its left than on its right. @lauraserra.bsky.social and Jenevieve Treadwell trace the movement of voters to the left.
blogs.lse.ac.uk/politicsandp...
In a new pre-print, @fraraffaelli.bsky.social and I ask: what are the effects of anti-immigration appeals that portray migrants as a threat to a native group (e.g. the working class or Christians)?
TL;DR: people change their *identity* to back up their attitudes to migrants.
osf.io/preprints/so...
Vannacci defects to Reform
a) a century is not a long time in the context of the UK parliament and the law
b) it's only a century old if you count the 1911 Parliament Act and ignore the 1949 Parliament Act which amended it
c) Parliament Acts are established parts of the UK system- reporting them as "old" is a weird framing
This is just ridiculous. There is no political space for a party that has the same positions as Reform. This space is taken. There is a space for a centre-right political party in the UK, but it’s currently vacant: www.theguardian.com/politics/202...
life these days
Ishould begin with an apology. Last month, I described Robert Jenrick as “the most shameless man in parliament”. His office complained at the time, but I was stubborn and refused to back down. Well, it’s never too late to say you were wrong. Robert Jenrick is not simply the most shameless man in parliament. He is the most shameless man in Britain, the most shameless man on Earth. Quite possibly the most shameless man in history. It is not simply that Jenrick has no shame. He is like a black hole for shame, sucking in the embarrassment of people around him. Which will be quite handy in his new party, Reform. Nothing became Jenrick’s time in the Conservative Party so much as the leaving of it. For years he had eased his way up the greasy pole, switching positions when necessary, a heating-seeking missile for whichever pose could help him advance, poster boy for the importance of self-belief over ability or integrity. And finally he was undone because he forgot to pick something up off a
Robert Jenrick: an apology. thecritic.co.uk/fran...
In case you missed it, here is mine and Jen’s latest piece on how Labour’s vote is fragmenting across two of its strongholds: London and the youth ⬇️
💡New! With the creation of Your Party and the Greens’ soaring popularity, @lauraserra.bsky.social and Jenevieve Treadwell trace the movement of voters to the left, and argue that Labour is facing a more serious challenge on its left than on its right.
blogs.lse.ac.uk/politicsandp...
Overall, we find that immigration looks important in polls because it’s highly salient, not because it outranks daily concerns.
Polling captures the salience, but requires a bit of digging to see the whole picture of public priority.
You can read more here!: www.labourtogether.uk/all-reports/...
The only Legitimate Concerns about asylum seekers are concerns for their well being and safety. For a rich country like ours to incessantly whine about these people as if we are their victims is perhaps the single most pathetic spectacle in British politics over the past quarter century.
Thank you! ☺️
🚨 New paper with Maria Grasso on generational shifts in political values. Despite talk of rising age polarisation, we show that gaps in attitudes are stable or even narrowing. Economic attitudes move in cycles, while social values have become more liberal – mainly due to generational replacement.
🚨 🆕 analysis w/ @turnbulldugarte.com: most British young men reject the far right @ukandeu.bsky.social Despite media claims, 71% of young men & 75% of young women say they’d never vote Reform UK. The gender gap exists, but it’s steady across ages—not youth-driven.
🔗 ukandeu.ac.uk/most-british...
A graph from the FT showing government spending by age cohort. Over-70s have more spent on them than any other age cohort.
Print and send this chart (from your newsletter on Tuesday) to every household in the country.
Hollow laughter
Today is #WorldPostDay, marking the establishment of the Universal Postal Union—a UN agency coordinating postal policies globally. The post revolutionised communication and is an increasingly common voting method, so to mark the occasion, here are some of our recent articles on postal voting... 📫 ✉️
