It was wonderful to have the International Detection and Attribution Group meeting in Melbourne last week. Thanks to everyone who joined in person and online! @unimelb.edu.au

New all-time record set for Victoria, Walpeup 48.9°C, noting that Ouyen won’t report until tomorrow as it is a manually recorded site.
reg.bom.gov.au/places/vic/

Forecast temperatures across the world at 5pm AEDT on Tuesday 27th January (Source: Bureau of Meteorology)

With winter in full swing in the Northern Hemisphere, Australia really stands out as exceptionally hot looking at the forecast temperatures across the world. Possible record-breaking heat tomorrow in the southeast. www.bom.gov.au/australia/ch...

www.abc.net.au/news/2026-01...

Climate impacts of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation on Australia Nature Reviews Earth & Environment - El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) profoundly affects Australian weather, climate, ecosystems and socio-economic sectors. This Review presents...

🚨New paper
CCRC scientist Andrea Taschetto and team have published a comprehensive review of ENSO impacts in Australia in @natrevearthenviron.nature.com. This is an important and long-overdue synthesis, building on foundational studies such as McBride & Nicholls (1983). ++

Detectability of Post‐Net Zero Climate Changes and the Effects of Delay in Emissions Cessation We examine detectability of global, regional and local climate change measures using millennial-scale net zero CO2 emissions simulations Detectable changes under net zero are found in temperature...

New paper exploring regional and local changes post-net zero and who would experience significant changes. agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/...

Thanks to co-authors @edualastrue.bsky.social Amanda Maycock, Tilo Ziehn @sclark.bsky.social @alexborowiak.bsky.social @nicolamaher.bsky.social

What do we know about climate change? How do we know it? And where are we headed? Cimate scientists are more certain than ever that humans are changing the climate – but there are signs of hope on the horizon.

In this article @adisen99.bsky.social and I take stock of where the Earth's climate is at and where we're heading. Climate action has never been more critical #COP30 theconversation.com/what-do-we-k...

The results challenge claims that the climate risk posed by an individual projects is negligible or cannot be quantified.

👉 theconversation.com/for-the...

Quantifying the regional to global climate impacts of individual fossil fuel projects to inform decision-making - npj Climate Action npj Climate Action - Quantifying the regional to global climate impacts of individual fossil fuel projects to inform decision-making

For so long, fossil fuel projects have said their contribution to climate change is "negligible".
Turns out that's wrong.
Our research in NPJ Climate Action proves it.
Every tonne of CO2 matters.
@21stcenturyweather.bsky.social
@minderoo.bsky.social
#climatechange
www.nature.com/articles/s44...

ESD Ideas: Extended net zero simulations are critical for informed decision making Abstract. Climate changes under net zero emissions will take many centuries to play out, particularly in the Southern Hemisphere and in the ocean and cryosphere. New millennial-length Earth System Mod...

🚨 Interested in climate futures under net-zero emissions? Check out our new ESD Ideas paper!

In the paper, we discuss what the Earth system modelling community can do to improve the understanding of long-term post-net-zero changes 🌍💻

esd.copernicus.org/articles/16/...

Don’t let anyone fool you into thinking carbon dioxide removal is the solution to climate change.

It’s a small piece of the puzzle. But it won't be able to offset a substantial portion of our fossil fuel emissions 🧵

The people I work with are not stupid people and our climate predictions of 30 years ago of global warming have proved to be accurate. Just saying. www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/cp...

PhD advert for a Climate-Health position in Melbourne. Contact me (andrew.king@unimelb.edu.au) if interested in applying.

We are seeking a PhD student interested in working in an innovative project to try and improve understanding of climate-health risks in Central Asia.

If you're interested please get in touch by 24th September (see instructions below).

The fix is in Judy Curry unwittingly spills the beans

On The Climate Brink: More about the DOE Climate Working Group report.

The Fix Is In: Without independent review editors, their “peer review” process is a sham. Science and humanity deserves better.

Dozens of scientists find errors in a new Energy Department climate report More than 85 scientists say that a recent U.S. Department of Energy report is full of errors and misrepresents climate science.

More than 85 scientists say that a recent U.S. Department of Energy report is full of errors and misrepresents climate science.

The DOE Climate Report is full of misleading claims and cherry-picking as demonstrated in this meticulous report. I'm happy to have played a small part in this community response.

To put it bluntly, Australia needs to up its game on emissions reductions. Globally we'll need to achieve net zero to halt global warming and even then Australia and the Southern Ocean may continue to warm for some time to come.

We need to get to net zero ASAP.

This report shows what targets Australia should adopt to align with the 1.5°C Paris Agreement goal that Australia has signed up to. For Australia to be playing its part it would need to strengthen the 2030 target and achieve at least 81% emissions reduction (relative to 2005 levels) by 2035.

Changes are brewing in the Indian Ocean. Does this mean Australia should get ready for a soggy spring? What do the next few months hold, weather-wise? For clues, we can look to the oceans around Australia.

I take a look at how spring is shaping up for Australia and the possible negative Indian Ocean Dipole event taking shape theconversation.com/changes-are-...

Lots of news articles today about recent cold weather and the cold July in parts of Australia, e.g. www.abc.net.au/news/2025-08.... It's worth noting though that it was still warmer than historical (1961-1990) averages even in Western Australia which had its coldest July since 2012

Interdisciplinary challenges for wildfire futures Wildfire has shaped many ecosystems across Earth, and humans have in turn shaped fire and its interactions within a range of socio-ecological systems.…

New paper out! This is a big, interdisciplinary reflection on the types of challenges that are likely to come our way in the context of wildfires in the next 50 years. Was fun to write this one. authors.elsevier.com/sd/article/S...
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

I think also there's a lot of misunderstanding in the report of how science works. It's expected that studies will build on each other and statements revised as knowledge grows.

A great summary of a report with so many holes and so much cherry-picking it's hard to know where to begin! Thanks @benmsanderson.bsky.social

The flooding of the Guadalupe River in Texas was undoubtedly made worse because of climate change. I would estimate that there was 7-20% more rainfall than w/o the human interference in the climate. But w/o detailed attribution studies on the storm and associated runoff, we can't know for certain.

Enhancing communication of climate changes under net zero emissions - Communications Earth & Environment Much of the public discourse around climate changes under net zero carbon dioxide emissions has been focused on global mean temperature changes after emissions cessation. More attention needs to be pa...

In our new paper we discuss how communication of post-net zero climate changes needs to improve and go much further than global average temperature @chrisd-jones.bsky.social @sarahinscience.bsky.social @21stcenturyweather.bsky.social www.nature.com/articles/s43...

⚠️ Scientists urge eastern Australia to plan for more dangerous floods as climate warms

A rapid study by @wwattribution.bsky.social found the wettest 4-day rainfall events in a year are about 10% more intense in NSW compared to the preindustrial climate 🧵

ow.ly/ylh350W3iBO

🚨 New paper alert! 🧪

🔥 How would heat extremes in Europe evolve under long-term net-zero emissions?

Find out in our ERL article, co-written with @andrewkingclimate.bsky.social and Tilo Tiehn

iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1...

Here’s a quick summary (1/n) 🧵

NSW is copping rain and flooding while parts of Australia are in drought. What’s going on? In some areas of NSW, more than 200 mm of rain has fallen in 24 hours. At the same time, dry conditions have gripped much of the continent.

Australia is experiencing both severe flooding from record rains and a significant drought at the same time. Andrew Dowdy and I take a look at what's happening theconversation.com/nsw-is-coppi...

Just one more week to apply for this PhD project! Details below

Evolution of Heat Extremes Under Net‐Zero CO2 Emissions Scaling of temperature extremes relative to global warming level after net-zero CO2 emissions is less than scaling during warming climates Temperature extreme scaling reductions after net-zero CO...

Well done to PhD student Liam Cassidy on a new paper examining projected changes in heat extremes under net zero CO2 emissions and causes of uncertainties at the regional scale. agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....

It’s almost winter. Why is Australia still so hot? Why is it so warm across southern Australia this autumn? Where’s the rain? ‘Blocking’ high pressure systems are to blame, but the real culprit is climate change.

Much of Australia is having a remarkably warm autumn. Here I discuss the main drivers of the unseasonable heat and what's in the outlook. theconversation.com/its-almost-w...