The full 28-point U.S. peace plan for Ukraine, reportedly backed by Trump, has been published by MP Honcharenko. This thread outlines the key points. What’s clear is that the so-called Witkoff plan heavily favors Russia while offering little to nothing for Ukraine.
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Posts by Ernest Wyciszkiewicz
Unsere Reihe geht kommenden Mittwoch (12. November) mit dem Imre Kertész Kolleg in #Jena weiter: Dort diskutieren
@emesef.bsky.social, @ervitz.bsky.social, @umland.bsky.social und der Schriftsteller Marko Martin. Prof Joachim v. Puttkamer moderiert:
russlandverstehen.eu/de/herausfor...
It’s 9am TFT time here, and citizens are already gathering to protest Tariffs by the United States. Our plain clothes Officer Penguins are attempting to maintain calm, but unfortunately we keep losing them in the crowd.
NEW: We obtained new US proposal. The Trump admin is pushing to gain sweeping control over all of Ukraine’s major minerals and energy assets, while offering Kyiv no security guarantees, in an aggressive expansion of previous demands. w/ @paolatamma.bsky.social
www.ft.com/content/896d...
5 marca 1940 roku w Moskwie zapadła decyzja o wymordowaniu ponad 22 tysięcy polskich jeńców wojennych. Pamięć o kłamstwie i zbrodni katyńskiej niech będzie przestrogą dla świata. Nazywajmy zawsze rzeczy po imieniu: zbrodnia jest zbrodnią, ofiara - ofiarą, agresor - agresorem.
In der jüngsten Ausgabe der #Polen-Analysen beschäftigt sich @ervitz.bsky.social mit der gegenseitigen Wahrnehmung von Polen und Ukrainern. Absolut lesenswert!
laender-analysen.de/polen-analys...
Compromising with Putin at Ukraine’s expense is effectively a compromise at the expense of Euro-Atlantic security, writes Igor Gretskiy.
Putin intends to exploit Trump’s eagerness for a quick deal to strangle Ukraine using Washington’s hands.
Quick recommendation.
Euroclear holds 160 bln € of Russian assets, now is the time to stop inventing legal hurdles but to confiscate and allocate those resources for priorities defined below.
ICYMI: Based on high-resolution satellite images, we investigated Russian military bases bordering Poland & the Baltic countries.
In Kaliningrad, Russian GRU special forces are trained for sabotage attacks. In Belarus, a new nuclear threat is building up. vsquare.org/russia-m...
🤦When will Europe learn from its past mistakes? It's Russia who gambled and lost its game of weaponization. Going back to business as usual on energy will not incentivise Russia to come to the negotiating table, but encourage it to double down on its maximalist goals in UA
www.ft.com/content/a19a...
Russian gas addicts want another hit. First, not going to happen. Second, how incredibly naive.
I know there are Germans/Hungarians that are desperate for this but the EU doesn’t have to indulge in nonsense. Does the EU enjoy looking idiotic?
on.ft.com/4hlAUXR
Dragging anchor across seabed for 100 miles must have been an accident & anomalies in behavior, i.e. multiple U-turns, must have been caused by the charm of the Baltic nature.
Sherlocks of @washingtonpost.com in action or implementation of political order. What would anonymous sources say?
This is big. The director for Vulnerabilities and Resilience at the joint NATO-EU Hybrid Centre of Excellence, whose expertise includes maritime affairs, completely trashes the Washington Post article about the recent incidents in the Baltic Sea.
A long thread on the war and the current situation. Although the worst-case scenarios didn’t materialize in 2024, it was the most difficult period since spring 2022. There were positive developments, and bright spots, but the current trajectory is negative. 1/
There are lots of people enabling Russia's shadow fleet (not least the owners of these rust buckets).
Let's name them (and many of them will be shamed).
thetimes.com/comment/colu...
(Me @thetimes.com)
Soviet and Russian gas flowed through Ukraine for 56 years. Until today.
The German-Austrian concept of changing Russia by building “interdependence” has failed.
Historical photo from Sept 1, 1968 - the launch of the first Soviet gas deliveries to Austria.👇
🇷🇺🕵️ As Russian sabotage attacks in the Baltic region escalate, I’d like to recommend one of our most significant recent stories—a comprehensive mapping of Russian military bases and hybrid threats in the Baltics, backed by satellite imagery and insights from military and national security experts.
Belarus has named a list of candidates who will simulate competition in Lukashenko's presidential election.
t.me/c/1377735387...
Breaking these assumptions is essential for crafting a stronger, united Russia policy. Poland & Germany, together with Nordic and Baltic partners, can lead Europe in rejecting outdated thinking and adopting a strategy grounded in reality not wishful thinking. /END
Flawed assumption no. 4: Economic interdependence leads to peace.
The "Wandel durch Handel" approach proved disastrously naive. Rather than fostering cooperation, it gave Russia economic leverage to exploit. Dependency was used for power projection, not for peace-building. 9/
By tolerating Russia’s claims of influence, the West signaled weakness, inviting further aggression. Ukraine, Georgia, Belarus, Armenia and Moldova and their societies have paid the price. 8/
Flawed ssumption no. 3 (implicit in public expression, explicit in actions) Russia has a "legitimate sphere of influence".
This thinking enabled and fueled revanchist ambitions of the Kremlin to undermine sovereignty of many of its neighbors. 7/
Moscow views the West as its adversary, not a partner. Its leaders see democracy as a threat to their kleptocratic regime, and its aggression stems from a deep-rooted rejection of Western ideals 6/
Flawed assumption no 2: Russia roughly shares the same values and goals as the West.
False. Russia operates on imperial ambitions and authoritarian values, fundamentally incompatible with Europe’s democratic principles. 5/
Russia has excluded itself from the global community of law-abiding nations through its aggression in Ukraine. Europe’s security must now focus on deterrence, strength, and self-reliance—not appeasement. 4/
Flawed assumption no. 1 : European security is only possible WITH Russia, not against it.
This view gave Moscow undue influence and weakened Europe’s position.
The reality? Russia's actions show that peace requires a security framework without and even against Russia 3/
🚨 Germany's Russia policy, and by extension large part of the EU policy, has long relied on flawed assumptions, leading to dangerous missteps. Let’s break them down and chart a new path forward. 2/
🧵It was a privilege to be part of this endeavor. Thank you
@libmod.de & @oswpl.bsky.social
I encourage you to read the entire report that covers political, military, economic and societal domains, and calls for paradigm shift. Below is just a summary of my take 1/
libmod.de/en/the-russi...
Odd - I don’t remember Kellogg criticising the assassination of IRGC General Soleimani by the US, though the US wasn’t even at war with Iran, unlike UA/RU. If Russia doesn’t want Ukraine to kill its generals, it should end its illegal occupation of Ukrainian territory & negotiate peace.