admittedly, most of the engagement-farming wannabe weather influencers were still in diapers then, so might not remember...

What a debacle.

It’s Already Too Late to Ignore Climate Change YouTube video by Thom Hartmann Program

"This Is What Climate Change Looks Like Right Now" | My interview earlier today with the great @thomhartmann.skystack.xyz: www.youtube.com/watch?v=YXVW...

The Climate Scientist Who Fought Back — The Fenton Forecast Podcast Dr. Michael Mann

"The Climate Scientist Who Fought Back" | My interview with the legendary @dfenton.bsky.social for the new #FentonForecast podcast: www.fentonforecast.com/episodes/epi...

It’s Already Too Late to Ignore Climate Change YouTube video by Thom Hartmann Program

"This Is What Climate Change Looks Like Right Now" | My interview earlier today with the great @thomhartmann.skystack.xyz: www.youtube.com/watch?v=YXVW...

No--it happens right along the equatorial Pacific, and influences the walker circulations and jet streams in both hemispheres. But each El Nino is unique and the teleconnections (influence on remote regions) are quite variable.

thanks, sounds fascinating.

https://www.theonion.info/

Celebrate our historic victory by seizing control of an Onion membership and InfoWars tote. Become A Member. Get The Paper. Plus A Tote.

Celebrate our historic victory by seizing control of an Onion membership and InfoWars tote. membership.theonion.com/iw/

theonion.info

I can still hear the song in my head!

Fear the Gamera El Nino!

Fear the Gamera El Nino!

We only have to back roughly a decade for an example of a model-predicted "super El Niño" that failed to make it through the infamous spring predictability barrier. Nice discussion here: agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....

The most likely scenario now seems to be a very health El Nino. Will it rival 2016? Very unclear. We should know more in a month as we near boreal meteorological summer.

Fair point. Like I said later, an El Nino event appears almost certain. The magnitude, however, is notoriously difficult to predict in mid April. Just posted a great historical example of that only a decade old!

We only have to back roughly a decade for an example of a model-predicted "super El Niño" that failed to make it through the infamous spring predictability barrier. Nice discussion here: agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....

fair enough. Jim is an expert on climate modeling and climate change, but not in this particular area of the science. I have published in this area: bsky.app/profile/mich...

Absence of internal multidecadal and interdecadal oscillations in climate model simulations - Nature Communications The existence of regular decadal or longer climate oscillations has been the subject of intensive discussion. Here, statistical analysis of observational data and a large ensemble of model simulations...

PDO? I don't think it's exists 😉
www.nature.com/articles/s41...

Latest (TODAY) Nino indices posted by CPC. Neg (blue) is on La Nina side of neutral, pos (orange) on El Nino side. Pos/neg values <0.5 considered neutral. The 4 indices show wide spread indicating complexity of current state. We'll have far more clarity in a month or so.

Latest (TODAY) Nino indices posted by CPC. Neg (blue) is on La Nina side of neutral, pos (orange) on El Nino side. Pos/neg values <0.5 considered neutral. The 4 indices show wide spread indicating complexity of current state. We'll have far more clarity in a month or so.

🧵 on the current state and future prospects of the much-discussed predicted 2026 El Niño event based on latest analysis by NOAA's Climate Prediction Center:

Have published a bout a half dozen articles on El Niño during my career (michaelmann.net/published-ar...). Here's one from 2005 where we used the famous Cane-Zebiak model to assess the response of El Niño to natural external forcing during the past millennium: michaelmann.net/sites/defaul...

James Hansen is a great climate scientist. He's not an expert on El Nino prediction. NOAA CPC career scientists are, and I've pointed to their latest (i.e. TODAY) assessment and forecast. Why does nobody seem to care about expertise anymore?

James Hansen is a great climate scientist. He's not an expert on El Nino prediction. NOAA CPC career scientists are, and I've pointed to their latest (i.e. TODAY) assessment and forecast. Why does nobody seem to care about expertise anymore?

Have published a bout a half dozen articles on El Niño during my career (michaelmann.net/published-ar...). Here's one from 2005 where we used the famous Cane-Zebiak model to assess the response of El Niño to natural external forcing during the past millennium: michaelmann.net/sites/defaul...

A lot of engagement-farming wannabe weather influencers out there trying to convince you they know more than NOAA's Climate Prediction Center:
www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ana...

so frustrating.

A lot of engagement-farming wannabe weather influencers out there trying to convince you they know more than NOAA's Climate Prediction Center:
www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ana...