This pretty much sums up the past 5 overnight outlook shifts (issuing outlooks for days 2-7). 🤦🏻‍♀️

Is the problem in the room with us?

Severe weather outlooks Friday through 4/10 thru 4/17. Slight risk (level 1 of 5) forecast Saturday thru Wednesday for portions of the Plains into the Upper Midwest.

Forecasts aren’t always satisfying. We can’t always perfectly anticipate what’s going to occur. Sometimes environments are conditional - if it happens, it could be intense/impactful - but we aren’t sure the storm will develop. Welcome to the severe risk for parts of the Plains the next several days.

Going to escape from the world for a few hours this evening with Bad Omens, Beartooth, and PRESIDENT. 🖤🤘🏼

I just realized stupid spell check changed chicklet chart to Shockley. lmao 🤣

We have copies of the Shockley charts at our desks. It’s a big change for us too, especially when you’ve done something one way for over a decade! Well all get there, it’ll just take a season or two is my guess.

But that’s why we need to be sure our media and WFO partners understand the change. So they can accurately communicate and nuance. And if they aren’t getting it, then we need to work on it.

I know that! And I know it’s easy to vent frustration online. But legitimate feedback is important to making things better and communicating better. Also, same. I wish some things didn’t have to be public. Or we had better public alternatives.

I’m not sure severe was ever part of that. And with many things, that was focused on the WFOs.

I still like it, and I think everyone else will too once they get used to it. 😄

No worries. I know change is frustrating. But I fully believe everyone will figure it out and we’ll be able to better communicate the risk, uncertainty and impacts in the end. It’ll take some time.

There are definitely some growing pains. Just like when we went to 5 tiers. But we’ll get there.

Sorry if I’m being dense. Do you mean the tornado probability colors? The color table is the same as before. The colors aren’t meant to map to category.

Historically our tornado probabilities are too low, so we’ve recalibrated the mapping in some parts with the addition of the CIG levels.

The color did t match because the MDT was driven by wind. Same as before, it depends on which individual hazard probability is driving the highest categorical risk level. Sometimes it’s both wind and tor, sometimes it’s one or the other.

Updated graphic with latest outlook and timing information.

Graphic titled “Purple Wind, Purple Wind,” referencing Prince, with a photo of the musician in the upper left. A map of Oklahoma shows 24-hour maximum wind gusts from the Mesonet as of 1:00 PM CDT March 15, 2026. Most of western, central, and northern Oklahoma are shaded purple, indicating very strong gusts generally around 50–65 mph, with several sites in southwest and central Oklahoma reaching the mid-60s and one near 67 mph. Eastern Oklahoma shows lower gusts, shaded red to orange, generally around 25–45 mph. A color bar indicates wind speeds from 0 to 45+ mph, with purple representing the strongest values.

Never a good sign when a weather map turns purple! Widespread winds of 50-65 mph being reported through 1pm, with a few stronger local gusts! #okwx #okmesonet

Latest outlook and timing information from SPC for severe storms today and tomorrow.

I’m so glad you enjoyed it, and found it useful!

Glad you like it! Our last updates to the outlooks were in 2011 when we started using the color-fill and in 2014 when we went to 5 tiers.

But he also knows I won’t get in it if there is even a hint of a spider.

I guess he actually believes I might know what I’m talking about? 😂

Me: …small phenomenon. But today, the probability is higher than climo.
J: What does that mean?
Me: the chance is higher than normal for March 6.
J: Fine. *proceeds to vacuum shelter*

😂😅

Conversation with my husband when I asked him to vacuum the storm shelter:

J: Do you really think we’ll need it?
Me: Well it’s not zero.
J: Ok but do you think we’ll have a tornado here? How likely is it?
Me: Well it’s low. It’s always technically low at any given location because it’s a very…

Removing my meteorologist hat for a moment to absolutely freak out with the rest of the ACOTAR fandom. It’s finally happening!! ✨Cauldron blessed✨ See you beyond the wall in Prythian this October and again in January!!!

GWC is proud to announce our partnership with the American Weather Enterprise Association (AWEA) because weather impacts literally everyone -- and it's time for an organization to advocate for the weather enterprise in a sustained, unified way.

More info in thread ⬇️

Gotcha. Unfortunately I don’t have that handy in a single location at the moment.

If you go to our outlook archive page (available at the very bottom of the convective outlooks webpage) you can find a list of all available file formats. www.spc.noaa.gov/cgi-bin-spc/...

We also have shapefiles and KML files.

We have geojson files for all the layers. Would that help?