Now out open access in the Journal of Conflict Resolution. @laurensukin.bsky.social, @lanoszka.bsky.social, & I investigate US reassurance efforts in 2023 during Russia's war on Ukraine.

We conducted public opinion surveys in 24 countries on 6 continents.

journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

How Climate Change Challenges the U.S. Nuclear Deterrent Climate change stands to impact each leg of the U.S. nuclear triad in different and increasingly serious ways. Given the high-stakes nature of the nuclear enterprise, the Department of Defense and oth...

For more on the deterrence implications, see this report by my @carnegieendowment.org colleague @jamiekwong.bsky.social at: carnegieendowment.org/research/202...

Vacancies in forecast offices elevate risks to the safety of local communities (which should be the top priority)… But from a nuclear perspective they also reveal major blind spots in regions hosting U.S. ICBM silo fields that are prone to flooding, making this a national security concern too.

Trump just attacked Iran. A few immediate reactions.

First off, as a U.S citizen, I'm simply appalled by Trump's refusal to seek Congressional authorization in violation of law and the constitution. Just because it's not surprising doesn't make it any less dreadful. (1/n)

If you're in the Bay Area, I'll be speaking about my new book at UC Berkeley on April 7 at 4PM. Details and registration here:

www.eventbrite.com/e/the-new-nu...

Proceed with Caution: The Price of Neglecting Safety for SMRs Small modular reactors may be the path to green energy, but there is a price to be paid for neglecting the safety of SMRs.

Last fall @danzhukov.bsky.social and I heard a lot of interest from Bay Area AI folks in small modular (nuclear) reactors for powering large-scale data processing. W/ US nuclear regs in flux, SMR advocates should also push for robust safeguard & security protocol nationalinterest.org/blog/energy-...

Excellent resource from UCS to help anyone interested in submitting a comment in response to the Environmental Impact Statement released by the NNSA on plans to resume nuclear pit production at Los Alamos

Also in alignment with a push from big tech in Silicon Valley to lower regulatory barriers for SMRs…

Russia’s Updated Nuclear Doctrine Isn’t a Blueprint for Weapons Use. Its Primary Value Is Manipulation. Moscow’s actual nuclear decisions would likely not involve Putin carefully parsing doctrinal clauses.

My latest on Russia’s updated nuclear doctrine carnegieendowment.org/emissary/202...

Stanton Nuclear Security Fellowship  - Washington, DC Stanton Nuclear Security Fellowship The Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, a unique global network of policy research centers is accepting applications for the Stanton Nuclear Security Fellow...

Calling all PhD students and recent grads interested in advancing your policy-relevant research! Applications to join @carnegieendow.bsky.social as a Stanton Nuclear Security Fellow are out now. Apply by 20 December!
carnegieendowment.applicantpro.com/jobs/3572279

The Risk of Bringing AI Discussions Into High-Level Nuclear Dialogues Overly generalized discussions on the emerging technology may be unproductive or even undermine consensus to reduce nuclear risks at a time when such consensus is desperately needed.

Very well argued position by @lrand11.bsky.social why it's important to cover the AI basic (in terms of defintion, threat perception and actual technical realities etc) before jumping on the "AI arms race" hype train. Really worth a read!

carnegieendowment.org/posts/2024/0...

Thanks- really appreciate it!

Another good one by @debak.bsky.social go.bsky.app/KDiibQK

And @cherylrofer.bsky.social go.bsky.app/7nJsY2F

Another by @acf.bsky.social go.bsky.app/8jiQV43

Nuclear policy starter pack for folks coming from other socials. Will update regularly.

go.bsky.app/BWGGzgX

“There is Nothing Left”: Jus ad Bellum Proportionality and Israel’s War

Next week: "“There is Nothing Left”: Jus ad Bellum Proportionality and Israel’s War Against Hamas in Gaza" with Bailey Ulbricht and Allen Weiner

RSVP here⤵️
cisac.fsi.stanford.edu/events/there...

Nice coverage of House of Rep. nuclear threat disc.

Garamendi on the opportunity cost of Sentinel:

“For the same $200 billion, we could fully fund the National Institutes of Health’s annual budget for 10 years, or provide universal pre-K education for every child in the U.S. for nearly 30 years.”