My NFL free agency playbook. 10 rules to follow entering the chaotic period of franchise tags, free agency signings, trades, extensions and more.
A few examples. Take a flier on a QB. Avoid the “age-30 WR wall”. Don’t pay elite, but older pass rushers.
www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/nfl...
Bo Nix can be the 6th year-2 QB in NFL history with 10-game win streak
2019 Lamar Jackson (11)
1999 Peyton Manning (11)
1984 Dan Marino (11)
1984 John Elway (10)
2025 Drake Maye (10)
The Lions are 1st in the NFL in yds/play (6.1) with Amon-Ra St. Brown ON the field since drafting him in 2021 and 25th with him OFF the field (5.0) in that span.
Week 13 was the 1st time the Ravens and Steelers both lost by 14+ points at home in the same week.
Unusual circumstances entering a critical rivalry game in week 14
No foursome of former 1st-round picks has ever combined for 40+ sacks in a season
The Giants big blue-chip pass rush could change that (Abdul Carter, Brian Burns Jr., Kayvon Thibodeaux, Dexter Lawrence)
Patrick Mahomes has 9 TD and 17 INT on throws 10+ air yards in the last 2 seasons.
In that span the Chiefs have started 13 different WR, the most in the NFL (h/t sportradar)
Watson
Worthy
Rice
MVS
Skyy Moore
Smith-Schuster
Hopkins
Hardman
Toney
James
Ross
Remigio
Hollywood
The Bengals drafted 59 defensive players from 2011-24
None of them made a Pro Bowl for Cincinnati
They have the longest active drought in the NFL without drafting a defensive player who went on to make a Pro Bowl for them
2010: Geno Atkins/Carlos Dunlap
Micah Parsons could go 268 straight pass rushes without a pressure and still lead the NFL in pressure rate since joining the NFL in 2021 (min. 1,000 pass rushes)
Why i would hesitate to pay Terry McLaurin top-10 WR $ at age 30
Career rec YPG by 10K receivers by age (debuted since 2000)
25 80.6
26 84.2
27 79.2
28 80.5
29 78.1
30 68.1
31 70.1
32 59.0
33 53.5
34 40.7
These teams still haven't won a playoff game since these QBs left...
Broncos (Peyton Manning)
Patriots (Tom Brady)
Chargers (Philip Rivers)
Saints (Drew Brees)
Steelers (Ben Roethlisberger)
Falcons (Matt Ryan)
Panthers (Cam Newton)
Seahawks (Russell Wilson)
5 of the 12 wild card games in the last 2 postseasons featured a host team with a worse record than their opponent. Playoff format needed a change. Not good. #NFL
James Harden: scored under 20 points in 11 of 24 career elimination games (46%)
LeBron/KD/Curry: scored under 20 points in 2 of 59 career elimination games (3%)
Don't worry Shedeur
NFL MVP or SB-Winning QBs Drafted in 2nd Round
2020 Jalen Hurts
2001 Drew Brees
1991 Brett Favre
1984 Boomer Esiason
1968 Ken Stabler
The last 11 QBs drafted No. 1 overall (entering tonight) have combined to play 71 seasons and won 0 Super Bowls.
Caleb Williams
Bryce Young
Trevor Lawrence
Joe Burrow
Kyler Murray
Baker Mayfield
Jared Goff
Jameis Winston
Andrew Luck
Cam Newton
Sam Bradford
The 49ers are tied with the Ravens and Dolphins for the most picks (11) in the 2025 NFL Draft and are coming off an offseason with the largest free agent spending deficit (-$264M) of any team in NFL history.
The Titans have never won a Super Bowl. The only No. 1 overall pick QBs to win their team’s 1st Super Bowl are Terry Bradshaw (1974 Steelers) and John Elway (1997 Broncos)
Kerby Joseph and Ed Reed are the only players with 225+ tackles and 15+ INT in their 1st 3 seasons (since 1987 - as far back as tackle data goes on pro football reference)
The Saints (9th pick) have the longest active drought without drafting a QB in the 1st round (1971 Archie Manning). Will this be the year?
The Cubs are 2-2 when allowing 10+ runs this season. The rest of MLB is 2-45
They have more wins when allowing 10+ runs in the last 5 days (2) than they had in the previous 5 seasons combined (1)
The 2024 Panthers were the 1st team in NFL history to allow 3,000+ rush yards and 35+ pass TD in a season (and 1st to allow 3,000 rush yards since 1980 Saints).
They have the 8th overall pick on Thursday
The Giants have the No. 3 pick. The 2020-24 Giants are the only team in NFL history to average 1 or fewer pass TD per game and 30+ pass attempts per game in 5 straight seasons
Looking forward to popping off some NFL Draft nuggets this week.
With the No. 2 pick, it's the Browns. In 2024, they became the 1st team since the 1955 Steelers to rank last (outright) in the NFL in both INT on offense (23) and defense (4).