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Posts by Splainer (Material Conditions Acknowledger)

I'm old enough to remember when kier's main selling point was meant to be "no you don't get it, he's a liar" rather than "no you don't get it, he's incompetent"

1 day ago 46 15 0 0
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Full spectrum dominance and the war on trans rights Sometimes a little reflection is required and the politically aware person needs to step back and assess the wood while defocusing from the trees. When we are in the middle of a Steve Bannon style zon...

The lightning speed neutralisation of Scottish politics after Scotland had dared to pass the Gender Recognition Reform Bill was pretty terrifying.
screedvault.neocities.org/post/full_sp...

2 days ago 10 5 1 0

Brilliant work as always Kojima!

4 days ago 0 0 0 0

Thank you. And yes, that is true so far as it goes. Also true is that one can reliably irritate people on Bluesky by posting facts about inequality and incomes in the UK _or_ in the US. (For ex., there's a left-punching contingent that freaks out when forced to confront Biden-era income stagnation.)

4 days ago 0 0 0 0

And there has been a big discussion on US social media about such as well.

4 days ago 0 0 0 0

Under Fyre Festival

4 days ago 674 109 21 2
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Personal income stagnated during Biden's presidency By the most election-relevant economic metric, the US economy stagnated after Joe Biden's inauguration

The dip in RDPI per capita was not just vibes. It actually happened. It's in the data you purport to love so much.

splained.substack.com/p/personal-i...

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1 week ago 0 0 1 0

I notice that having entered this conversation presenting HUD's annual time series of quantitative estimates of national homelessness, I'm leaving same conversation with multiple people trying to lecture me about how I need more rigor than what I happen to see on the street.

1 week ago 0 0 1 1

Nope!

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Personal income stagnated during Biden's presidency By the most election-relevant economic metric, the US economy stagnated after Joe Biden's inauguration

I might even venture that we could use more detail than a light-brown patch on a world map. For example, changes in real disposable personal income over time.

splained.substack.com/p/personal-i...

1 week ago 0 0 1 0

Oh, I thought the point was that we needed a little more detail in our economic statistics than the mere existence of homelessness.

1 week ago 0 0 1 0
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Great Recession - Wikipedia

I don't think I would simply characterize them as "good economic times" without qualification. @ealluia.bsky.social, allow me to introduce you to the Great Recession; Great Recession, this is @ealluia.bsky.social — I'm sure the two of you will get along like a house on fire.

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Screenshot of the first chart on https://usafacts.org/articles/how-many-homeless-people-are-in-the-us-what-does-the-data-miss/, titled "https://usafacts.org/articles/how-many-homeless-people-are-in-the-us-what-does-the-data-miss/". It shows 3 lines on the same axes: the number of sheltered homeless people, the number of unsheltered homeless people, and the total number of homeless people, from 2007 through 2024. The general trends are slightly downward from 2007 to about 2016, with unambiguous, monotonic increases from 2022 to 2023 to 2024.

Screenshot of the first chart on https://usafacts.org/articles/how-many-homeless-people-are-in-the-us-what-does-the-data-miss/, titled "https://usafacts.org/articles/how-many-homeless-people-are-in-the-us-what-does-the-data-miss/". It shows 3 lines on the same axes: the number of sheltered homeless people, the number of unsheltered homeless people, and the total number of homeless people, from 2007 through 2024. The general trends are slightly downward from 2007 to about 2016, with unambiguous, monotonic increases from 2022 to 2023 to 2024.

Yes, let's look at some more detail. For instance, how the number of homeless people has changed over time.

1 week ago 6 0 1 0

I think the good Professor forgot the first time he tried this line, 4 hours earlier.

1 week ago 1 0 0 0
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https://outsidethebeltway.com/rod-dreher-canceled/

https://outsidethebeltway.com/rod-dreher-canceled/

Rod Dreher today: I am strongly considering moving to Vienna after the election, no matter what happens. If Peter Magyar wins, that will likely make my decision for me, as he may well close the Danube Institute, where I’ve worked for the past four years. He shouldn’t; the DI is not really political, and has done a lot of good work to promote Hungary’s interests, but the atmosphere in the air is vengeful, and Magyar would be under a lot of pressure to get rid of anything Orban-related. Whatever will be, will be.

Rod Dreher today: I am strongly considering moving to Vienna after the election, no matter what happens. If Peter Magyar wins, that will likely make my decision for me, as he may well close the Danube Institute, where I’ve worked for the past four years. He shouldn’t; the DI is not really political, and has done a lot of good work to promote Hungary’s interests, but the atmosphere in the air is vengeful, and Magyar would be under a lot of pressure to get rid of anything Orban-related. Whatever will be, will be.

Its fair to ask if Orban's successful cultivation of the Western right wing intellectuals reflected that their networks were already dependent on patronage. Rod Dreher was funded by a weird billionaire, and when he stopped paying his salary, Orban did.
Dreher already looking for a new gig.

1 week ago 839 161 29 22
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TikTokers are “speedrunning” Scientology buildings in bizarre new trend - Dexerto TikTok users in Los Angeles are going viral for a bizarre new trend where they run into Scientology buildings to see how far they can get before being stopped and thrown out.

Time is a flat circle. The Internet is beefing w/ Scientology again.

1 week ago 60 12 1 1

Nice try, Paul; clicking through the nested quoteblueskeets from your blueskeet reveals a majority of North Americans discussing the US. Hope you have better luck with your strategery perfessoring.

1 week ago 0 0 1 1

Nope, I literally didn't do that. I'm afraid I can't justify engaging with you further given that you're misrepresenting my own actions to me.

1 week ago 0 0 1 0

0% of your replies to me spell out a substantive statistical critique.

1 week ago 0 0 1 0

I don't trust your assessment, given that you think, or pretend to think, that a meaningful number of grandmas were working in mines under the first Trump administration.

1 week ago 0 0 1 0

Not to mention that Jonathan Portes was quote-blueskeeting a stack of people talking about...the US.

1 week ago 3 0 1 0
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Personal income stagnated during Biden's presidency By the most election-relevant economic metric, the US economy stagnated after Joe Biden's inauguration

Indeed it is.

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Indeed.

splained.substack.com/p/personal-i...

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...he mysteriously falls silent when his snide challenge is immediately (re-)answered with same economic data.

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And even when he does acknowledge inconvenient economic data with a snide quote tweet...

1 week ago 0 0 1 0

You haven't demonstrated that conclusion to be wrong. You cited Kolko's analysis of a _substantially different statistic_.

This isn't even getting into the fact that Stancil's rebuttal _itself_ relied on broad-age ratios not subject to a specific year-by-year age adjustment.

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Convenient for you to define away your and Stancil's confusion as simply not "the" point, but OK: to which "wrong conclusions" have I been led?

1 week ago 0 0 1 0

Whoops, you just confused the LFPR with the employment-to-population ratio!

As, it turns out, Stancil also did (citing the unemployment rate as a complement to `EMRATIO`).

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