After grumbling for years in our substacks about uses and abuses of probability in machine learning, @beenwrekt.bsky.social and I decided it's finally time to put down some concrete ideas in a manifesto with a DOI. Here it is, give us your best feedback. (1/4)
my new podcast is about probabilistic statistical methods that offer alternatives to Null Hypothesis testing, romantic relationships among millennials and Gen Z, and coastal coves and inlets. Available this summer, look for "Bayes, Baes, and Bays"
My information consumption is 3/4 papers I have to referee and 1/4 papers my referees make me read. The opportunity cost of anything else is far too high, at least until tenure
Data-driven research, at its best, presents you with results that surprise you. 😲
When I began studying Seattle's minimum pay standard for delivery drivers, I personally expected to see high-attachment delivery drivers making more money after the policy went into effect. 1/13
Yeah rereading this I totally see where I went wrong: I thought you had wrote $69.50!
Thx!
Newbie question here: the way I'm reading this I should multiply the difference between the budget assumption and the current price (50 cents a barrel) by the budget sensitivity of $680million per $1 of barrel price to get $340 million. How do I get to $6b billion?
So excited to welcome Doug Irwin (@D_A_Irwin) to Calgary in a few weeks for the 2026 Distinguished Lecture in Economics! It will be a must-hear talk on all the trade policy changes happening today. 🤓
All are welcome! Details here: events.ucalgary.ca/arts/econom... #cdnecon #cdnpoli
ATTN ECON JMCs: We are searching for a postdoc through to work with Steve Billings, Ludo Gazze and myself on a project to better understand impacts of lead exposure and potential benefits of remediation using linked administrative data in Colorado. Details here: jobs.colorado.edu/jobs/JobDeta...
Friends, I’d like to show @ucalgary.bsky.social that @bsky.app is where the cool kids hang out and that they should start posting here more and less/none at TheBadPlace™️. Show them some love by reskeeting this 100000000x. 🧪
That sounds terribly frustrating! Hope the pain eases up and you can get the care you need quickly
Love this artist
Very cool online tool that let's you see how your life might have turned out if you had been born in a different place on the planet.
The biggest lottery in life is the "lottery of birthplace":
#EconSky My university is recruiting world-leading researchers (not currently at Canadian universities) to nominate through the federal government’s recently announced Canada Impact+ Research Chairs program
www.tru.ca/research/res...
HOW DID I NOT KNOW ABOUT THE SNALLYGASTER???
🚨 Postdoctoral opportunities! 🚨
Hello #econsky! We are hiring 2 postdocs in the department of economics at UCalgary for those working in *electricity economics*
Term: 2 years
Pay: $80,000/yr + benefits + $10k research allowance
Start: July 2026
Details in next two posts 👇
Fun Fact: shortly after the first length of the Skytrain opened in 1986 Metro Vancouver had a population of 1,542,745. Since that time population has doubled, but the 1986 population is similar to Calgary, Ottawa or Edmonton today
Screenshot of the Alberta Vaccine Booking System
If you're an Albertan looking to get your flu or COVID vaccine for NEXT year, it appears you must have your order in place by THIS December 15th.
Yeah, you read that right.
#ableg #abpoli #abhealth #covid19
We're hiring!
McGill Econ is hiring 🙌🏼
Check out our job ad below!
"Humans aren’t very efficient movers—until you put us on a bicycle, when we become some of the most energy-efficient land travelers in the animal kingdom."
www.scientificamerican.com/article/a-hu...
We (Econ at ITAM) are hiring:econjobmarket.org/positions/11841
Pay is competitive with the US (in absolute terms), working language is English, virtually no service work, spend ~80% of your time in research, and you get to live in one of the coolest cities in the world.
#econsky
@nilo.bsky.social
Know & Exercise Your Rights Flyer provided by the Illinois Immigration Information Hub. 1. Remain Calm. 2. You have the right to deny entry without a valid warrant. 3. You have the right to remain silent. 4. You have the right to speak with an attorney. 5. You have the right to not sign anything. For more information, head to: https://www.illinoisimmigrationinfo.org/
Know & Exercise Your Rights Flyer provided by the Illinois Immigration Information Hub. For more information, head to: https://www.illinoisimmigrationinfo.org/
Know your rights, Illinois.
Stay safe and stay informed.
If you're in Seoul, check out this awesome session tomorrow. It's listed as labor, but there are a lot good metrics papers :-)
This is relative to the same month last year? Yeah, pretty clear effect!
Assuming this is a treatment effect estimate, could there be a failure of their identifying assumptions, apart from the possibility of a coding error?
Quite the quote.