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Posts by Whitney Manzo

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The No Labels party was born to great fanfare, but died w/a whimper. Read to find out why it had little to no effect on the party structure in a key battleground state.

@bowtiepolitics.bsky.social @chriscooperwcu.bsky.social @profsuroberts.bsky.social @whitneymnz.bsky.social

shorturl.at/7lpwL

1 month ago 3 5 0 2

This sure seems more like the tyranny the Constitution is supposed to protect against than forgiving student loans.

2 months ago 8407 2277 63 42
Visit of the
Prime Minister of Denmark
22nd Jawary 2026
We'll get by with a little help from our friends

Visit of the Prime Minister of Denmark 22nd Jawary 2026 We'll get by with a little help from our friends

Sky News: Danish PM Mette Freideriksen’s note in the visitors book when she visited UK today

3 months ago 9348 1789 127 99
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One of the most lopsided results you'll ever see in a poll, from our weekend Washington Post poll www.washingtonpost.com/politics/int...

3 months ago 15395 4223 419 388
"Captain Gains" on Capitol Hill
Shang-Jin Wei & Yifan Zhou
WORKING PAPER 34524
DOI 10.3386/w34524
ISSUE DATE November 2025
Using transaction-level data on US congressional stock trades, we find that lawmakers who later ascend to leadership positions perform similarly to matched peers beforehand but outperform them by 47 percentage points annually after ascension. Leaders' superior performance arises through two mechanisms. The political influence channel is reflected in higher returns when their party controls the chamber, sales of stocks preceding regulatory actions, and purchase of stocks whose firms receiving more government contracts and favorable party support on bills. The corporate access channel is reflected in stock trades that predict subsequent corporate news and greater returns on donor-owned or home-state firms.

"Captain Gains" on Capitol Hill Shang-Jin Wei & Yifan Zhou WORKING PAPER 34524 DOI 10.3386/w34524 ISSUE DATE November 2025 Using transaction-level data on US congressional stock trades, we find that lawmakers who later ascend to leadership positions perform similarly to matched peers beforehand but outperform them by 47 percentage points annually after ascension. Leaders' superior performance arises through two mechanisms. The political influence channel is reflected in higher returns when their party controls the chamber, sales of stocks preceding regulatory actions, and purchase of stocks whose firms receiving more government contracts and favorable party support on bills. The corporate access channel is reflected in stock trades that predict subsequent corporate news and greater returns on donor-owned or home-state firms.

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Figure 2: Estimated dynamic quasi-difference-in-differences coefficient, di, of equation(3), with vertical dashed lines representing 90 percent confidence intervals. The point estimate of the year in which the lawmaker became a congressional leader (Year 0) is normalized to zero. BHAR over the 250 days following each trade is the dependent variable and calculated using the Fama-French five-factor plus momentum as the benchmark model.

令 1 1 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 1 2 3 4 5 7 8 9 Year Figure 2: Estimated dynamic quasi-difference-in-differences coefficient, di, of equation(3), with vertical dashed lines representing 90 percent confidence intervals. The point estimate of the year in which the lawmaker became a congressional leader (Year 0) is normalized to zero. BHAR over the 250 days following each trade is the dependent variable and calculated using the Fama-French five-factor plus momentum as the benchmark model.

After becoming a congressional leader, a politician’s stock portfolio beats out those of peers by 47 (!!!) percentage points a year through trades timed around bills and firms that later get government contracts

www.nber.org/papers/w34524

via @florianederer.bsky.social

4 months ago 1435 628 32 83
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James Watson, dead at 97, was a scientific legend and a pariah among his peers James Watson, the co-discoverer of the structure of DNA who died Thursday at 97, was a scientific legend and a pariah among his peers.

A Sharon Begley byline, almost 5 years after her death.

Upon hearing the news James Watson had died, a STAT reporter said in our Slack, "I wish I could read what Sharon would have written."

Incredible news: Sharon in fact did pre-write a Watson obit. And it is masterful and excoriating.
🧪🧬🧫

5 months ago 6030 1976 111 338

This is obscene.

5 months ago 706 218 31 3

Political violence disproportionately hurts people with less power, not people with more power. Political violence will disproportionately hurt people of color and women and LGBTQ people. It’s not fair, but that’s the way it works. Celebrating political violence means at best indifference to that.

7 months ago 7881 1980 145 125
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Legal Issues Raised by a Lethal U.S. Military Attack in the Caribbean The Trump administration’s extraordinary lethal attack on this purported smuggling vessel raises significant potential legal issues.

1/ I worked at DoD. I literally cannot imagine lawyers coming up with a legal basis for lethal strike of suspected Venezuelan drug boat.

Hard to see how this would not be "murder" or war crime under international law that DoD considers applicable.

Read expert analysis by @bcfinucane.bsky.social⤵️

7 months ago 8493 3027 360 302

".. unless Pulte somehow had particular knowledge about issues with Cook's application, which is unlikely, then one has conclude that Pulte handed Fannie and Freddie a list of political enemies and asked for their loan files for review."

7 months ago 3050 1221 125 50
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THIS IS NOT CONSTITUTIONAL.

They cannot commandeer state and local law enforcement because they want to.

THIS IS NOT LAWFUL.

They cannot use federalized guard or military personnel for civilian law enforcement absent rebellion and insurrection.

8 months ago 4114 1228 345 74

I often hear similar thoughts from a majority of my students. No relationship to partisanship, race, class, etc. "It's all broken, things need to change"

9 months ago 0 0 0 0

“Decades of political science research show that societies that are open & pluralistic, w/ high levels of both individual & political rights, are more prosperous, more peaceful & more effective than autocracies that are closed and stagnant.”

Winners of poli sci top prize speak out.

10 months ago 739 214 0 6

I don’t mean to be a caricature, but this just isn’t law. The Supreme Court is always making policy. But this is beyond. “This dicta in an emergency order will reassure the markets but just uh trust us on the law here ok no we’re not overruling Humphrey’s yet and when we do we’ll spare the fed.”

11 months ago 1697 506 55 50

My favorite thing is going to "Mexican" restaurants in European countries. If I see it, I'm going. It's always an adventure

11 months ago 0 0 0 0

This is a law, passed by Congress, that the executive branch is required to enforce, and which was just upheld by an 8-1 Supreme Court decision less than a year ago.

1 year ago 531 169 11 6

I suppose it's nice that my class on the Civil Rights Movement has current material to discuss? 🫠

1 year ago 1 0 0 0

Mine is the years of walking into what I suspect is the same hotel chain to be greeted by a TV welcoming "Mr. Manzo"

1 year ago 0 0 0 0
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Gigantic SUVs are a public health threat. Why don’t we treat them like one? The anti-tobacco playbook could help turn the US public against their beloved oversized cars.

A gigantic vehicle endangers those who never consented to the danger they face walking, biking, or sitting inside smaller cars. Heavier vehicles pulverize modest-sized ones, & tall front ends obscure a driver’s vision, putting pedestrians and cyclists at risk. Deaths are at 40 year highs.

1 year ago 61 21 3 2

I was in London for July 2019 and for July 2024, and you really can tell a difference. The labor shortage is no joke.

1 year ago 1 0 0 0
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Female content creators on YouTube received significantly more negative feedback for comparable content.

But the removal of public display of dislikes eliminated this gender gap and persistently increased female creator productivity and consumer demand.

sites.google.com/view/maritaf...

1 year ago 1116 333 16 35

I love moot court and I hate moot court. The problem is, I always love it when it's time to schedule courses and forget that I hate it until it's too late

1 year ago 0 0 0 0

Kidz bop choices are so strange sometimes! I would love a deep dive into that

1 year ago 1 0 0 0

Bluesky academics, lets get to know each other! Quote this & tell me: 1) a project you are working on & 2) an odd idea/theory you aren’t working on but keep thinking about

1) NC public opinion in the 2024 election
2) The politics of youth sports

1 year ago 3 0 0 1
Old North State Politics "To blog, rather than to seem": a public scholarship blog that focuses on North Carolina politics and other random political ramblings regarding the politics of the U.S. South and and the United State...

@whitneymnz.bsky.social & Susan Roberts look at the 2024 election's gender dynamics--especially generational and the abortion issue--to analyze what it means for the nation's politics.

You can find their new analysis at: www.oldnorthstatepolitics.com

#ncpol

1 year ago 0 4 0 0