Charlie Bilello 𝕏🔁 svůj post:
The S&P 500 is at an all-time high while Consumer Sentiment is at an all-time low.
We've never seen a gap this wide between Wall Street and Main Street.
nitter.net/charliebilello/status/20...
50 years ago, Robert Prechter wrote his first Elliott Wave analysis at Merrill Lynch.
Just 3 years later, he launched the legendary The Elliott Wave Theorist.
Today - thousands of investors & traders have relied on the Theorist to provide clarity in uncertain markets.
ow.ly/VlrJ50YMIWn
‘Based on the moves in bond yields, the real dollar, and oil prices during the last three months, the U.S. economic surprise index is poised to turned negative in the coming months adding to already intensifying economic growth worries.’ paulsenperspectives.substack.com/p/fortunatel...
Myth: Strong earnings = rising stocks
Reality?
In one of the most dramatic market periods:
Earnings surged
Stocks collapsed
Then:
Earnings declined
Stocks rallied
The takeaway: Markets don’t follow the narrative most people believe.
Get free market insights: tinyurl.com/wm79yrfv
Wednesday, Energy Pro Service editor Steve Craig posted this update on Crude Oil for subscribers:
"...the rebound from the 86.96 overnight low should prove corrective..."
Crude oil popped higher and fell below $80.
Markets are volatile, Elliott waves to block out the noise: tinyurl.com/mp5je3fk
This wasn’t a one-time call.
It was continuous, real-time analysis:
Identifying the setup early
Monitoring confirmation levels
Tracking each phase of the structure
Updating expectations as new data unfolded
Stay updated on market opportunities: tinyurl.com/5mx4mj7p
Just 12 days later (On March 30th) the Nifty Index would find the end of that series, concluding that impulsive wave 1 of (iii) decline:
“Heading down to the potential end of the series of fourth and fifth waves and therefore to the bottom of the impulsive wave I of (iii) decline.”
analyst, John Hunter, continued to track the impulsive progression.
“A wave 3 of (3) pattern from 25770 could have ended at 24306. This should start a series of fourth and fifth waves, which should finish off the series of third waves and eventually an impulsive wave I of (iii) pattern from 26290.”
The structure confirmed. A series of second waves gave way to a series of third waves, and the decline accelerated.
“Start of a break lower. This strengthens the bearish view. The move below 25148 increases the chances that the earlier rise to 26290 is the end of a three wave correction.”
“A lot of choppy sideways action occurs beneath 26290. This makes the wave picture debatable at first. However, after a while a series of lower highs and lower lows is visible. This is a potentially bearish sign, as it could be a series of first and second waves forming.”
A proposed wave 5 ending diagonal top is in place at 26372.
An impulsive five wave decline... potentially ended at 24679. This is a bearish sign...
A strong rise from 24679 ends below 26372. It could be a second wave correction, if the correction’s top at 26290 holds.”
🧵 This is a real-market example of how our Intraday Asian Stocks Pro Services tracked a developing bearish impulsive wave structure in the Nifty 50 — from the initial setup through each stage of the decline.
JUST IN 🚨: U.S. Treasury just bought back $15 Billion of their own debt, equaling their largest buyback in history 🤯👀
youtu.be/C6GMT1LwSw0
Opportunity Identified Early, Tracked in Real Time!
Flash analyst Vadim Pokhlebkin shows how EWAVES flagged a setup in Allison Transmission (ALSN) on April 6th as the Wave Finder identified the pattern as a breakout from a corrective wave structure.
See the full article here: tinyurl.com/mwwcmb37
Only 2 sessions since 1990 with fewer S&P 500 constituents at 52w highs when the benchmark index closed at a record than yesterday:
Nov 13, 2020
March 21, 2000
S&P 500 relative to M2 Money Supply 🚨 Dot Com Bubble vs. Now 😱👀
Fractals are everywhere... See them at work in the markets.
www.elliottwave.com/articles/fra...
youtu.be/sa_y-_jUcdA
The supercar market is spinning out.
Porsche profits: -98%
Lotus sales: collapsing
Ferrari: down ~35%, trend broken
Is luxury sending a warning? See 18 more charts flashing a signal: tinyurl.com/47pxxveh
Margin debt hits all time high. Is this the "kiss of death?"
youtube.com/shorts/rtZRD...
The Fed’s balance sheet surged during the financial crisis and Covid as it bought bonds with newly created money, peaking near $9 trillion in 2022. Since then it’s been shrinking as bonds mature, but in recent months it has started expanding again.
HYPE Rallies 65%!
In the Feb., Crypto Analyst Jason Soni showed that the corrective pattern looked near completion — setting the stage for a potential move higher.
HYPE was $26.40 during the February 24 webinar. Less than a month later, it traded at $43.72 — a move of roughly +65%.
🚨 Gold traders make a major bearish bet.
Gold’s 1-month risk reversal measures the gap between call and put volatility.
The spread dropped to its lowest level since 2013 in late-March.
Read our free Gold and Silver Highlights Issue: tinyurl.com/2hdk3cb3
’Investors in aggregate are running much lower allocations than usual to “safe/safer” investments: cash, treasuries, and defensive stocks. But this combined allocation is now ticking up from the lowest levels on record.’ www.chartstorm.info/p/weekly-s-a...
Billions stuck in private equity.
youtube.com/shorts/joZcc...
youtu.be/TVZuRoRyLNM?...
