Advertisement · 728 × 90

Posts by Stefan Waldhauser

Preview
IAC Stock: When Will Barry Diller Finally Unlock the Hidden Billions? The holding company is still trading near the combined value of its stake in MGM and its cash reserves, which could present an exceptional opportunity for patient investors.

IAC is one of the weirdest mispricings in my portfolio.
MGM + cash explain most of the value.
The rest is still being ignored.
That is exactly why I remain bullish.
New article: buff.ly/2KpTIts

3 hours ago 2 0 0 0
Post image

In terms of revenue, Uber is eight times bigger than Lyft, but its enterprise value is 30 times higher. Is this a fair premium for the market leader? While I don't think Uber is overvalued, I see Lyft as a bargain at those prices. $UBER $LYFT

2 days ago 5 0 0 0
Preview
ROUNDUP: Social-Media-Verbote für Kinder? Fachleute dämpfen Erwartung BERLIN (dpa-AFX) - Stundenlanges Chatten, Zocken und Scrollen: Vielen Eltern macht die Internetnutzung ihrer Kinder Sorge. Damit liegen sie nicht falsch, wie die Expertenkommission beim…

Von über 8 Mio. Jugendlichen in D sollen angeblich weniger als 4% süchtig nach Social Media sein. In welcher Parallelwelt lebt diese "Experten"-Kommission? Ich beobachte in meinem Umfeld jedenfalls etwas anderes. Und ihr so? buff.ly/uYn1r9Y

2 days ago 0 0 0 0
Preview
When Former High-Growth Stars Turn into Share-Cannibals How tech companies are buying back their own shares - and why this could be one of the most underrated sources of returns for investors.

Everyone’s worried about AI disruption of SaaS and platform companies. Meanwhile, management teams are buying their own companies at single-digit FCF multiples. That’s not fear — that’s conviction. Here are some examples from my portfolio: $PYPL $LYFT $MNDY $UPWK buff.ly/UVFZy4m

5 days ago 1 0 0 0
Preview
SpaceX-IPO: Wie Elon Musk die Nasdaq-Regeln zu seinen Gunsten verbiegt Wenn Börsen nicht mehr Preise finden, sondern Nachfrage organisieren – und Kleinanleger am Ende die Rechnung zahlen.

SpaceX wird der größte IPO aller Zeiten. Doch der Börsengang ist ein Skandal:
- verkürzte Wartezeit für den Nasdaq-100
- keine harte 10%-Free-Float-Hürde mehr
- das bedeutet Kaufzwang für ETFs und benchmarknahe Fonds
Ich halte das für brandgefährlich: buff.ly/D4v3mpD

1 week ago 7 1 0 0

Leider hat Elon es mit dem SoaceX IPO auch die ETF Sparer abgesehen. open.substack.com/pub/hightech...

1 week ago 4 0 0 1
Preview
SpaceX IPO: How Elon Musk Is Manipulating Nasdaq Rules to His Advantage What happens when stock exchanges no longer determine prices, but instead organize demand, and retail investors end up paying the bill?

The SpaceX IPO could become a historic example of how modern markets work:
-first create the scarcity,
-then accelerate index inclusion,
-then let ETFs and benchmark-driven funds do the buying.

That may be brilliant strategy for Elon.
But it is a dangerous precedent.

My full take: buff.ly/B8GNyWw

1 week ago 2 0 0 0
Preview
Twilio Stock: Why I Sold After a +100% Gain Twilio delivered strong results in 2025, including more growth, profitability, and free cash flow. Yet, I still sold the stock after it doubled in price for a good reason.

My exit from Twilio does not reflect a lack of confidence in the company’s operational performance. On the contrary: Twilio had a strong year 2025. My $TWLO exit is the result of a sober assessment of valuation and growth quality. buff.ly/GHBNMXv

3 weeks ago 1 0 0 0
Advertisement

Nach FreeNow (an LYFT) wird jetzt mit Blacklane das 2. spannende Mobilitäts-StartUp aus Deutschland (an UBER) in die USA verkauft. Warum sind die deutschen Auto-Hersteller nur so ambitionslos und verkaufen ihre Minderheits-Anteile anstatt solche Plattform-Unternehmen zu übernehmen? buff.ly/EbrBIEx

3 weeks ago 7 0 0 0
Post image

Die SAP Aktie ist gemessen am Cashflow jetzt wieder einmal für ein 20x Multiple zu haben. Das gab es in den vergangenen 10 Jahren nur ein einziges Mal (zu Zeiten der Pandemie). KI frisst Software - oder Einstiegschance?

3 weeks ago 7 0 0 0
Post image

Wie findet ihr die Darstellung der Insidertransaktionen auf aktien.guide ? Jetzt in Beta testen und gerne Feedback geben! buff.ly/PSwQRta

4 weeks ago 2 0 0 0
Preview
IONOS Aktie: Ist das einer der spannendsten Tech-Werte Europas? Warum ein vermeintlich langweiliger Hosting- und Cloud-Anbieter genau die Mischung aus Wachstum, Margenhebel und Cashflow liefert, die ich aktuell suche.

Die IONOS Aktie wirkt auf den ersten Blick fast langweilig. Und genau das macht sie interessant: 6,6 Mio. Kunden, hohe wiederkehrende Umsätze, steigende Margen, starke Cashflows – dazu eine europäische Cloud-Story, die in den kommenden Jahren deutlich an Relevanz gewinnen könnte. buff.ly/iPNeb0f

4 weeks ago 6 0 0 0

The new partnership between Uber and Rivian is significant. Ten thousand autonomous Rivian R2s on Uber would be four times the number of Waymo cars on the road today. buff.ly/TOs406l

1 month ago 3 0 0 0

It seems the strategic marriage between Microsoft and OpenAI is over. Will $MSFT really sue OpenAI over their planned partnership with Amazon Web Services (AWS)? buff.ly/FxTrYXS

1 month ago 2 0 0 0
Preview
UiPath After Q4 FY2026: Strong Operational Performance - But the Market Remains Skeptical The numbers are solid, but the guidance is disappointing. Can UiPath return to high growth as an "execution layer" in the AI era?

In 6 months UiPath went from $12 to nearly $20… and back to $12.
For a moment the market priced $PATH as an AI winner. Then the hype got erased.
I break down the Q4/FY26 numbers, FY27 guidance, valuation — and a plausible takeover optionality. 👉

1 month ago 0 0 0 0

With so many AV partnerships announced by Uber over the last couple of weeks, it's not easy to keep track of them all. This one with Nvidia could be very significant: the aim is to roll out the project globally in 28 cities across four continents by 2028. buff.ly/S064zqE

1 month ago 2 1 0 0
Preview
Why I am Reconsidering my Dependence on US Tech Stocks Thoughts of a European investor on geopolitics, capital markets, and alternatives

As a European investor, I have invested a large proportion of my stock portfolio in US technology stocks for many years. In light of the epochal change we are witnessing, I asked myself if it still makes sense to invest in US stocks from Europe. Here are my thoughts (no paywall): buff.ly/ZVXNOC1

1 month ago 7 0 0 0
Advertisement
Post image Post image

Selten machte E-Auto fahren/ laden so viel Spaß wie heute. 🤩

1 month ago 7 0 0 0
Monday.com CEO on Is SaaS Dead: Will Everything Be Vibe Coded | Eran Zinman
Monday.com CEO on Is SaaS Dead: Will Everything Be Vibe Coded | Eran Zinman Monday has been hit harder than almost any other public SaaS company. With $1.3BN in ARR, the company is valued at just $3.8BN; a more than 60% fall since IPO. Today, Eran Zinman, Monday's CEO joins…

If you are a MNDY shareholder (like I am), this long 75min interview with the co-founder and Co-CEO of Monday. com is definitely a good spend of your time: youtu.be/zjcYlEiwnKI

1 month ago 3 0 0 0
Preview
Elastic after Q3 FY26: An AI Winner in the Penalty Box? Why Elastic shares remain at rock bottom despite solid figures: cautious targets, unclear cash flow development, and the painful issue of share-based compensation.

Elastic after Q3 FY26 is an AI winner stuck in the penalty box. Operating margin is improving and revenue is growing nearly 20%, but the stock keeps selling off. Why? Here's my update on the $ESTC investment case buff.ly/zKIAjhT

1 month ago 2 0 0 0
Preview
Read Anthropic CEO’s Memo Attacking OpenAI’s ‘Mendacious’ Pentagon Announcement Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei sent a 1,600-wordmemo to employees Friday as OpenAI announced a deal to provide AI to the Pentagon. The OpenAI move came hours after the Pentagon said it would sever ties…

Wow. Here's the leaked memo from the Anthropic CEO to his employees after losing the Pentagon deal to OpenAI (paywalled). In it, he expresses strong criticism not only of OpenAI but also of his actual partner, Palantir according to the "safety theater" they played.

1 month ago 1 0 0 0
Preview
PayPal After the Stripe Rumors: Is this the Beginning of a Sale Process? Venmo, PSP, and Branded Checkout: How a breakup could reveal PayPal's intrinsic value.

In light of Stripe's interest buying PayPal, the CEO's dismissal finally seems understandable. Alex Chriss was not replaced due to poor quarterly results, but because the board wants to prepare for a potential sale or breakup of PayPal. Here's what shareholders of $PYPL can expect: buff.ly/VtAJMW7

1 month ago 2 0 0 0

Was Alex Chriss fired to prepare for a sale of PayPal under new management? I can’t imagine $PYPL being sold for less than $60 per share. www.marketwatch.com/story/paypal...

1 month ago 3 0 1 0
Post image

Despite record cash flow and high margins, the freelancer platform Upwork from my portfolio is being treated like an AI loser. Here's why the re-rating of $UPWK could come sooner than expected: buff.ly/Hi5hHf1

2 months ago 4 0 0 0
Preview
Waymo is paying DoorDash gig workers to close its robotaxi doors Waymo is relying on humans for certain tasks, showing some of the limitations of its autonomous operations.

The robotaxi era brings new challenges. What should be done if people forget to close the door after leaving? Waymo now pays DoorDash to help them out. buff.ly/GGkLSwG

2 months ago 4 0 0 0
Post image

Das SaaS Blutbad geht unvermindert weiter. In der Software-Branche selbst versteht es um mich herum niemand, denn von Disruption durch AI ist im Tagesgeschäft des Software-Business nix zu spüren. Die Tech-Börsen agieren gerade in einem Paralleluniversum zur realen Welt. buff.ly/sItusRW

2 months ago 8 1 0 0
Advertisement
Post image

Tough times for SaaS shareholders: $MNDY from my portfolio saw another sharp sell-off following the release of its Q4 results. They hit new lows, reaching a level not seen since the end of 2022. Here‘s my view on the situation: open.substack.com/pub/hightech...

2 months ago 3 0 0 0
Post image

It will be interesting to watch how Tesla's revenue estimates fall over the course of the year. Here’s the current status: analysts are still calling for 12% growth for no reason. Could you please help me to wake up the sell-side analysts and their ridiculous $TSLA growth estimates? buff.ly/WVUdtU3

2 months ago 6 0 0 0
Preview
Why AI Is Not Eating Enterprise Software “AI is eating enterprise software” is the loudest story in tech. Until you look at what AI can’t actually chew through.

Software stocks are crashing across the board due to a huge misunderstanding about agentic AI. I've now removed the paywall from what is probably my most important write-up of the year so far. It explains which software companies are really threatened by AI and which are not. buff.ly/jzJYt40

2 months ago 6 0 0 0
Preview
PayPal Shares After the Crash: What Now? Investors react with shock to the surprise dismissal of CEO Alex Chriss. But were the Q4 figures really such a disaster?

Completely unexpectedly, PayPal stock, which had been one of my four high-conviction investments until then, yesterday turned into a problem in my portfolio. Here‘s my assessment of the tough situation and how I react as a PayPal shareholder. open.substack.com/pub/hightech...

2 months ago 5 0 1 1