2025 Cozzarelli Prize Winner. Class V Winner: “The potential existential threat of large language models to online survey research.” Authors: Sean J. Westwood
Join us in celebrating the 2025 Cozzarelli Prize Class V: Behavioral and Social Sciences winning paper, “The potential existential threat of large language models to online survey research.” Read the article here: https://ow.ly/GL4K50YKy7E
Stadtbild in Brasilien. Merz hat Helmut Kohl an Fettnäpfchen-Frequenz längst überholt.
www.zdfheute.de/video/heute-...
new paper by Sean Westwood:
With current technology, it is impossible to tell whether survey respondents are real or bots. Among other things, makes it easy for bad actors to manipulate outcomes. No good news here for the future of online-based survey research
Event announcement "Bürokratie: Ist Deutschland zu ordentlich für die Zukunft". The image contains two portrait shots and info on a lecture by Patrick Bernau and a debate between Patrick Bernau and Georg Weizsäcker. 31 Oct 2025, 5:45pm. HU Berlin, Spandauer Str. 1, room 220.
Agreeing to disagree! 👇🏻 Tomorrow I debate @patrick-bernau.de about bureaucracy, following his book presentation.
He will argue that (i) Germany is in bad shape and (ii) most of it is bureaucracy's fault.
I will argue that not (i) and not (ii).
Wie solidarisch sind wir? Um diese Frage geht es u.a. auf unserer Jahrestagung "Gelingende #Solidarität" am 18. Juni. @corneliabetsch.bsky.social moderiert das Panel mit @dkuebler.bsky.social und @walzenjet.bsky.social 👇 www.ethikrat.org/veranstaltungen/tagungen/gelingende-solidaritaet/
❓🎓Why despite a gender-blind admissions system, equally qualified female students in China are significantly less likely than their male peers to apply to and be admitted to elite universities?❕Social expectations are the real issue
📑 berlinschoolofeconomics.de/about-us/new...
@dkuebler.bsky.social
"A climate of fear has descended on the research community. Researchers, afraid of losing their funding or job security, are removing their names from publications, abandoning studies, and rewriting grant proposals and papers (...)." 😬
„cooperation between universities could address a collective action problem“
So happy to see so many great people from this great department standing up here.
Really hoping to see this kind of solidarity at university leadership and forming across universities
👇shows the importance of coordination, to generate safety in numbers.
It would be good to know whether US university leaders are currently working on a coordination of their responses.
"Columbia will remain the college of no king."
Someone has finally come up a good opposition strategy
Such a clever mechanism for such a good cause!
Why Dean Karlan, Chief Economist of USAID resigned yesterday:
"I was ready to rebuild from wherever we ended up to identify the most effective programs, figure out how to get them back in place, and to recommend new awards.
But I received no response. Zero engagement."
www.npr.org/sections/goa...
In Israel, it took civil society to stop Netanyahu's attempt to usurp power via judicial overhaul, not the feckless opposition. CS organized rallies, free teach-ins on college grounds and neighborhood venues, placing signs on highways, and threatening mass disobedience. Lessons here for the USA.
"First they came for the socialists, and I did not speak out—because I was not a socialist.
"Then they came for the trade unionists
…
"Then they came for me—and there was no one left to speak for me."
—Martin Niemöller
#econsky #academicsky
marketdesigner.blogspot.com/2025/01/pres...
Ein Konservativer driftet ab: Mit seinem Gedankenspiel zur Ausbürgerung von Straftätern entfernt sich Friedrich Merz vom überlieferten Gedanken hinter dem Status der Staatsbürgerschaft. F.A.Z.-Einspruch-Podcast, Folge 328, ab 2:22. www.faz.net/einspruch/me...
If you are okay with a felon being the president, at minimum, you should be okay with allowing felons to vote.
„Karen Dynan, who worked in the Treasury Department under Mr. Obama, said economists there were known as “skunks at the garden party” — always showing up to explain why some attractive-sounding program wouldn’t work as intended.“
Relevant to the debate on fact-checking amidst Meta's decision, Adam Szeidl and Ferenc Szucs tell a clear and terrifying story about the power of misinformation and propaganda, and its effects on democratic accountability.
drive.google.com/file/d/1M2Nx...
Noteworthy that WELT‘s leaders had credible internal warnings. It was evident to them that the utterances by „Musk“ were likely AI generated.
Is this still journalism?
📢 Call for papers #YEM2025
📅 May 22-23 2025 in Brno, Czech Republic
🗒️Topics: Applied Empirical Research, Labor Economics, Experimental Economics and Behavioral Theory
👥Keynotes: @dkuebler.bsky.social @neumarkecon.bsky.social
✅Submit paper by Feb 17
ℹ️Details: yem.econ.muni.cz
Using the results shown below and others, we estimate that couples in Germany act as if they value women's earnings at 48 cents on the Euro, compared to men's earnings. In Sweden, it's 80 cents on the Euro. Full paper here: bit.ly/MTO-T
Zeichnung eines einzelnen Blattes an einem Ast. Das Blatt sagt: I would prefer not to
Bartleby
Why do I think these instances are interesting? To me, these are not just random instances that LLMs are sometimes wrong (like people), these are *diagnostic* that LLMs do not have a world model and are not “reasoning”, it exposes the basic architecture. Why? 1/n
📰New article by @dkuebler.bsky.social in @faznet.bsky.social .
Dorothea Kübler highlights how conflicts of interest are often overlooked in social science research and how they can impact public trust.
Read more👉
zeitung.faz.net/faz/geistesw...
#conflictofinterest #socialscience
