This points to an accelerating degradation of Russian air defense capabilities. This has been one of the key factors behind the growing impact of Ukraine’s deep and mid-range strikes in recent months. 2/2
The data I collected from Ukraine’s General Staff shows a noticeable increase in the rate at which Ukrainian forces are destroying Russian air defense systems over the past several months. 1/2
“As Kyiv’s long-range drone arsenal continues to expand and Russia’s air defense systems become increasingly depleted, the Kremlin may soon find it even more difficult to guard the country’s vast and vulnerable energy industry.”
www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrain...
Meanwhile, Russia’s Tuapse port now resembles Mordor following a successful and highly impactful Ukrainian drone strike.
The Tuapse Oil Refinery, a Rosneft facility, is among the ten largest oil refineries in Russia, with a processing capacity of approximately 12 million tons of crude oil per year.
Russia’s Tuapse port and its oil infrastructure are ablaze following repeated overnight Ukrainian drone strikes.
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Finnish President Stubb:
Ukraine is killing 30–35k Russians a month; Russia can’t replace losses. About 95% of kills are by drones.
Ukraine is retaking ground and in March launched more drones/missiles at Russia than vice versa. This isn’t charity anymore — the West needs Ukraine’s know-how.
Ukraine’s 412th “Nemesis” Brigade successfully downed a Shahed drone using an interceptor launched from an unmanned surface platform—marking a world-first in naval-based drone interception.
These are substantial numbers. By comparison, in 2025, across the entire frontline, Russian losses per square kilometer stood at 120 personnel, and in the Pokrovsk direction — one of the most intense sectors — at 160.
Ukrainian forces struck a Russian drone storage location near Donetsk airport with SCALP cruise missiles and GBU-39 small diameter bombs.
Fewer drones, fewer munitions — reduced strike capacity and disrupted offensive planning.
Well, now it’s official - Putin lost his mouse
Péter Magyar says Viktor Orbán has just called to congratulate him on his victory in elections
This is exactly why Ukraine has recently intensified strikes on Russia's oil facilities and especially export hubs:
Iran war doubles Russia's main oil revenue to $9 bln in April.
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A group of investigative journalists obtained another intercepted conversation between Hungary’s FM Péter Szijjártó and Lavrov.
It appears that Moscow may have been able to access virtually any information it sought from the EU/NATO via Budapest.
Ukraine’s Unmanned Systems Forces have struck the Admiral Makarov—the last fully operational Russian Kalibr-capable missile frigate in the Black Sea.
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Following strikes on Primorsk and Ust-Luga, Ukraine has likely hit an oil terminal at Russia’s Novorossiysk port with a swarm of drones.
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Russia’s Novorossiysk port following the Ukrainian drone strike. The attack is still ongoing, with Ukrainian sources claiming several drones have penetrated Russian air defenses and struck an oil terminal there.
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A large-scale Ukrainian drone strike is currently underway targeting Russia’s Novorossiysk, with air defenses actively engaging the incoming drones.
For unknown reasons, a fire has broken out at the Moscow Higher Military Command School.
Reports indicate that the blaze has engulfed approximately 200 square meters of roofing.
In 2014, Otroshchenko took part in the annexation of Crimea and later participated in Russia’s military operation in Syria.
He is the 14th Russian general killed since the start of Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine. 4/4
Death of Otroshchenko was also confirmed by Andriy Kovalenko, head of the Center for Countering Disinformation under Ukraine’s National Security and Defense Council. 3/
The commander of the Northern Fleet’s mixed aviation corps, General Otroshchenko, was most likely among the passengers of the An-26 military transport aircraft that crashed on the evening of March 31 near the village of Kuibysheve in the Bakhchisaray district of temporarily occupied Crimea. 2/
Russian Lieutenant General Alexander Otroshchenko was killed in the An-26 crash in Crimea, BBC sources claim. 1/4
The planned shipment would mark the second Russian delivery after a tanker carrying crude reached Cuba on March 30. The vessel's arrival followed comments by U.S. President Donald Trump, who said he had "no problem" with such deliveries. 4/4
"Where did the (first) oil shipment come from? A Russian Federation vessel broke through the blockade. A second one is currently being loaded. We will not abandon the Cuban people." 3/4
"A major meeting was held yesterday in St. Petersburg. Representatives from Cuba were in attendance. Cuba is under a complete blockade; access has been cut off," Tsivilyov told Russian media. 2/4
Russia prepares 2nd oil shipment to Cuba after Trump says 'we don't mind'.
Russia is preparing to send a second oil shipment to Cuba, Energy Minister Sergey Tsivilyov said on April 2, signaling Moscow's intention to continue supplying fuel to the island. 1/4
Necessity is the mother of innovation
Satellite imagery shows the significant impact on Russia’s Primorsk and Ust-Luga ports following Ukrainian strikes and days of fires.
The imagery shows isolated blazes, with seven oil tanks in Primorsk completely destroyed.
