#LongProblems don't have to be heavy problems.

Paperback out now.

Thanks, Josh!

Of course, the can may always be kicked yet again….

“If you’re in a hole, stop digging.”

Heat pumps for all new homes and plug-in solar in green tech drive Solar panels that can be plugged in at home could be available to buy in supermarkets in the coming months.

Good to see UK moving new homes off gas…in 2028. 12 years later than 2016, the target first proposed by Brown in 2006. The majority of the 1.86m homes built since 2016 will have to be retrofitted.

For a #longproblem, kicking the can down the road does not save money.

www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...

Indeed, and the really key point for Sky viewers comes at the very end, sort of as an afterthought: more production in the North Sea has no meaningful effect on prices. So what's the point?

Jürgen Habermas Dies at 96; One of Postwar Germany’s Most Influential Thinkers

RIP Habermas. The world today needs more than ever to look to the “forceless force of the better argument”

www.nytimes.com/2026/03/14/b...

Reaching net zero by 2050 ‘cheaper for UK than one fossil fuel crisis’ Climate change committee finds move to renewable energy would also bring health, economic and security benefits

One fossil fuel crisis costs the UK more than shifting to net zero by 2050. And how many more such crises can we expect in the next 24 years?

A great example of how the proper temporal frame clarifies costs and benefits #longproblems www.theguardian.com/environment/...

Long Problems Political strategies for tackling climate change and other “long problems” that span generations

Now in #paperback: Long Problems by @thomasnhale.bsky.social offers political strategies for tackling climate change and other “long problems” that span generations.

Enjoy 30% off with code PUP30: press.princeton.edu/books/paperb...

#PoliSci #ReadUP

Congrats, Josh! Well, well deserved

E.P.A. to Stop Considering Lives Saved When Setting Rules on Air Pollution

Human health benefits are by far the largest benefit from most environmental regulations.

By not monetizing these benefits moving forward, the Trump EPA is essentially saying there are no human health benefits to reducing air/toxic/climate pollution, improving drinking water quality, etc. 1/

As we look at future climate cooperation issues (e.g removals, geo-engineering, climate refugees, liability, managing the new electro-economy), etc. this fragmentation will undermine effectiveness.

Without the US, the world's largest economy and largest cumulative emitter, at the table, the UNFCCC's centrality as a 'focal institution' in the broader climate regime will be reduced. That hits at its core function: goal-setting, norm-setting, defining the problem.

It will be much harder for the United States to rejoin the UNFCCC under a new administration than the Paris Agreement, as the former requires action by Congress. That will require a significant shift in US domestic politics.

The immediate effect of the US withdrawing from the UNFCCC is relatively small because the Trump Administration had already stopped US mitigation and adaptation efforts and financial support, and was not engaging diplomatically. But the medium-term effects are more damaging for the US and the world.

1. Look, there are basically just two ways to run the global oil market: petro-imperialism and petro-consumerism. Historically USA has embraced both, varying over time. The attack on #Venezuela is a return to naked petro-imperialism. Thread.

On the third day of christmas, our podcast gave to me: long-term questions shaping democracy’s future with @thomasnhale.bsky.social @blavatnikschool.bsky.social

@thomasnhale.bsky.social @naturebasedsols.bsky.social

Zillow Removes Climate Risk Scores From Home Listings

Lol, Zillow tried to rate the climate risks facing individual properties. The real estate industry *hated* it, precisely because it worked -- it made selling risky properties more difficult. So they rebelled & Zillow caved.

Don't look up!

"In a year of worsening climate impacts and geopolitical conflict, COP30 was both absolutely necessary and completely insufficient."

Prof @thomasnhale.bsky.social reflects on the outcomes of #COP30. 👇

Final document for #COP30 just dropped and here are some hot takes

1/ No decisive language about FF phaseouts. This is a HUGE loss. The consolation prize is a political process toward phaseouts outside the official decisionmaking of the #ParisAgreement

🌍 Children are on the front line of the climate crisis – facing heat, hunger and disrupted education.

Omnia El Omrani, MPP 2024, shares how the Children and Climate Initiative put children at the heart of the Belém Health Action Plan at #COP30.👇
https://ow.ly/Siom50XqrNB

Important to remember: scenarios are tools for asking "what if" questions, so implications of different assumptions/choices can be explored. They are not predictions. Dave unpacks some of the key (and in my view unrealistic) assumptions in the IEA's headline-grabbing new "current policies" scenario.

Climate policy strengthens globally, despite unprecedented contestation in the US and Europe As countries meet at COP30 in the Amazon, a new survey of climate-related laws and regulations finds new and strengthened climate policies across the world, especially in Asia and emerging markets. Ov...

Much more detail in the report: bsg.ox.ac.uk/news/climate...

And huge thanks for all the collaborators and supporters who made it possible, especially lead authors
@emmalecavalier.bsky.social and Bhavya Gupta, and all the hundreds of lawyers from the law firm network who did the heavy lifting

🏃We need to go faster🏃‍♀️
Yes, policy is increasing in quality and quantity. But we are still far off. The plot below show the change in ambition, stringency, implementation, and comprehensiveness since 2020. The further out, the better. We are inching up, but need to speed up.

🌏 The engine of climate policy is shifting east and south 🌍
Three-quarters of policies in the last year were adopted outside of North America and Europe. Moreover, in some policy domains the average level of ambition in Africa, Latin America, and Asia is HIGHER.

📈 Climate policy is growing and getting stronger📈
New rules continue to be added at a fast pace. More importantly, our detailed assessment allows us to measure their quality. Ambition has risen significantly since 2020, and a bit less (but still some) since 2024.

The dominant narrative is that the world is rolling back climate policy. But what does the data say?

The latest Oxford Climate Policy Monitor Annual Review from the Oxford Climate Policy Hub tells three key stories.
bsg.ox.ac.uk/news/climate...

Join us tomorrow in Sao Paulo!

Is the world retreating from climate action? We need to look at evidence to separate trends from vibes. Next week we drop a detailed look at what countries are doing. The results might surprise you.
Join us in Sao Paulo: luma.com/gzbzi7s7