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Posts by Steve Carpenter

Pic from CyanoTracker

Pic from CyanoTracker

Mechanisms for regime shifts differ in shallow versus deep lakes - commentary - tinyurl.com/4wepyjbu

1 week ago 9 4 0 0
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Reagan’s OMB Director:

1 week ago 8211 2842 466 160
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Episodic Tales of Salt   - Eos When episodic pulses of road salt hit after a winter storm, the impact can be like a lightning strike for the environment.

Post-storm road salt can lead to toxins in runoff water, research shows.

eos.org/editor-highl...

Read more in our March special collection: eos.org/themes/ionic...

3 weeks ago 11 8 0 1
GFS map of temperature anomalies over the contiguous USA for March 21, 2026.

GFS map of temperature anomalies over the contiguous USA for March 21, 2026.

We need to talk a bit about how utterly absurd the March heatwave was in the USA.

This heatwave would have been impossible without a boost from climate change, but even with climate change it remains a deeply unlikely event.

A thread looking at some of the numbers.

🧵

1 week ago 1151 473 44 51
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What Every Activist Needs to Know before hitting the streets in Trump’s America today (based on our conversation at NY Ethical Culture on Monday night, including insights from civil rights lawyer Ron Kuby based on his work): danarfisher.com/2026/04/11/w...

1 week ago 63 22 2 1
Royal blue water with a black light sensor.

Royal blue water with a black light sensor.

Measuring light with a hyper spectral sensor in the oligotrophic South Atlantic gyre on the #SUBSEA cruise with @schmidtocean.bsky.social . 1% of surface light remained at 132 meters deep. The bluest water I have ever seen.

3 weeks ago 16 4 0 0
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This policy brief explores the opportunities and challenges of mainstreaming nature-based approaches across all economic sectors, highlighting the need to strengthen coordination and collaboration to achieve freshwater restoration.

🔗 Download here: project-merlin.eu/policy-brief...

2 weeks ago 4 3 0 0
Schrödinger’s carbon’: The misclassification of carbon capture and storage as standard mitigation Letter to the Editor

Schrödinger’s carbon’: The misclassification of carbon capture and storage as standard mitigation www.nature.com/articles/d41...

2 weeks ago 2 2 0 0

Excellent piece on wetlands, one of the habitats that experienced large losses and provides key #EcosystemServices

2 weeks ago 2 2 1 0
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‘Food security timebomb’: a visual guide to the Gulf fertiliser blockade UN says record numbers of people could face acute hunger if conflict continues

‘Food security timebomb’: a visual guide to the Gulf fertiliser blockade

2 weeks ago 106 69 9 5
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Pleased to learn that my paper on the greenhouse gas footprint of LNG is one of the top 10 most cited papers in Energy Science & Engineering in 2024. The paper is available here: scijournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/...

#TopCitedArticle

2 weeks ago 93 28 9 1

The bass addition experiment covered in the paper could be an analog for predator invasion.
It seems risky to use a real invader. Maybe in some cases the target ecosystem can be isolated and reversibility can be guaranteed.

2 weeks ago 0 1 0 0
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Strong Spatial and Seasonal Variation in Dissolved Greenhouse Gases is Driven by Stream Chemistry and Temperature Across a Coastal Suburban River Network - Ecosystems Surface waters including streams and rivers play a critical role in global carbon and nitrogen cycling, including the production and emission of the greenhouse gases (GHGs) carbon dioxide (CO2), metha...

Stream chem. and temp. effects on production & emission of CO2, CH4, N2O concentrations in 4 contrasting streams over 9 years; ECOSYSTEMS doi.org/10.1007/s100... @monicagturner.bsky.social

2 weeks ago 4 1 0 0
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Dynamics of Respired Dissolved Organic Carbon in a Stream - Ecosystems Dissolved organic carbon (DOC) represents a large flux of carbon (C) across landscapes and supports respiration (mineralization) in streams. Because DOC comprises many compounds with varying reactivit...

Fate of respired DOC traced in an open-canopy stream in Montana; ECOSYSTEMS doi.org/10.1007/s100... Bob Hall and others @monicagturner.bsky.social

2 weeks ago 2 1 0 1
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Long-Term Stability of Macrophyte Dominance Triggered by Common Carp Removal from a Temperate Shallow Lake - Ecosystems Many ecosystems can abruptly shift between states, and shallow lakes are a classic example. Biomanipulation via the removal of benthivores can shift a shallow lake from a turbid to a clear-water macro...

Restoration of shallow-lake ecosystem by carp removal: benefits are stable for 17 years so far, and counting. ECOSYSTEMS doi.org/10.1007/s100... @hildug.bsky.social @goodgracious23.bsky.social @monicagturner.bsky.social

2 weeks ago 3 2 0 0
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Identifying Headwater Streams across the Conterminous United States - Ecosystems Headwater streams play critical roles in hydrologic and biogeochemical processes and functions, yet their spatial distribution and land cover context remain poorly understood at continental scales, an...

New analysis in ECOSYSTEMS identifies all headwater streams of continental U.S.; 77% of U.S. network is headwater streams.
doi.org/10.1007/s100... @monicagturner.bsky.social

2 weeks ago 16 7 1 0
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Ecosystem Experiments: How Does Manipulation Rate Affect Indicators of Resilience? - Ecosystems Experiments on entire ecosystems have contributed knowledge on effects of atmospheric CO2 and climate change, environmental pollutants, trophic cascades, response of fisheries to management, consumer ...

Whole-lake experiments: rate of manipulation affects timing of critical transitions and indicators. Ecosystems doi.org/10.1007/s100... @monicagturner.bsky.social

2 weeks ago 7 4 0 1
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Sediment Chemistry Predicts Littoral Methane Emissions - Ecosystems Methane emissions from the nearshore zones of lakes are relatively large but can vary by several orders of magnitude. This variability may reflect differences in organic matter inputs, particularly th...

Multi-lake study & experiments show how littoral sediments affect methane emissions from lakes @monicagturner.bsky.social ECOSYSTEMS
doi.org/10.1007/s100...

2 weeks ago 1 1 0 0
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Ecosystems Ecosystems is an international journal that bridges fundamental ecology, environmental ecology, and environmental problem-solving across diverse temporal and ...

Check out the new issue of ECOSYSTEMS, great studies in ecosystem ecology across a wide range of systems and scales. We welcome your manuscripts! Top-notch editorial board, quality reviews, timely publication. @steve-carpenter.bsky.social @springernature.com

link.springer.com/journal/1002...

2 weeks ago 15 6 0 0
Official map from NOAA depicting the relative rank of winter 2025-2026 temperatures at a county level across the contiguous U.S. Many counties in the western and central U.S. are depicted in dark red color, signifying record-warmest winter. All other counties in the west and central U.S. are depicted in dark orange colors, signifying a "near record warm" rank.

Official map from NOAA depicting the relative rank of winter 2025-2026 temperatures at a county level across the contiguous U.S. Many counties in the western and central U.S. are depicted in dark red color, signifying record-warmest winter. All other counties in the west and central U.S. are depicted in dark orange colors, signifying a "near record warm" rank.

The official NOAA stats out this week confirm that winter 2025-26 was the warmest on record across a huge portion of the western and central U.S., which has contributed to extremely low mountain snowpack & worsened the CO River crisis. Meanwhile, record March heat is in forecast.

1 month ago 394 230 22 39
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Antarctic Peninsula Faces Starkly Different Futures, Depending on Decisions Made Today - Eos A study reveals interconnected changes under three emissions pathways and describes the emerging challenges facing Antarctic fieldwork.

A new study shows how Antarctic Peninsula systems will be affected under different emissions scenarios. 🧪

Research led by @iceybethan.bsky.social from @ncl-geography.bsky.social with colleagues from @bas.ac.uk, @pml.ac.uk, and elsewhere. eos.org/articles/ant...

1 month ago 17 11 0 1

Protecting (and restoring) peatlands is a powerful climate solution.

Check it out!

1 month ago 50 18 1 0

At ~$1 billion/day, the US has spent as much on the war in Iran in ten days as the entire FY25 budget for the National Science Foundation ($10 billion).

Trump's FY26 budget request for the agency declined to $3.9 billion, due to a "realignment of resources in a constrained fiscal environment."

1 month ago 521 202 5 8
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Iran's FM condemns US attack on Qeshm's freshwater desalination plant, warns of grave consequences US President Donald Trump announced that Iran promised not to attack its neighbours anymore

Multiple news outlets are reporting a US attack on an Iranian #desalination plant.
If verified, this violates international law protecting #water systems during wars, and it sets a dangerous precedent, given intense dependence of Gulf countries on desalination.
timesofoman.com/article/1691...

1 month ago 2191 1289 112 207
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The Nature Record Now it’s our turn to shape what comes next. A new project. A mission years in the making.

The DRAFT Nature Record national assessment has dropped and is ready for comment! I'm proud to be one of the authors. This is the first comprehensive, independent, evidence-based assessment of how nature is doing across the U.S.
Come read. Come comment. Come shape the record.
naturerecord.org

1 month ago 11 6 0 0
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On sabotage of our young scientists, by @holdenthorp.bsky.social @science.org
www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...

1 month ago 196 76 5 1
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The future of Europe’s forest disturbance regimes– a thread.

Tl, dr: Disturbances from wildfire, bark beetles & wind will continue to increase in the coming decades. Under unabated climate change disturbances could more than double by 2100.

New paper out in @science.org doi.org/10.1126/scie...

1 month ago 76 46 0 5
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Six trillion ways to solve climate change » Yale Climate Connections New research shows that mixing and matching manageable climate policy 'wedges' can add up to real solutions.

A new paper on the "stabilization wedge" idea was published in the journal Science today. The authors provide 36 wedge strategies that together can be mixed and matched into more than 6 trillion combinations able to limit global warming to 1.5°C. @bhensonweather.bsky.social has a detailed analysis:

1 month ago 44 21 3 2
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Severe 2023 Drought: Sinking Carbon Sink in the Amazon - Eos The Amazon forest has been a reliable carbon sink, soaking up some of humanity’s carbon emissions, but a severe drought in 2023 adds to growing concern that this ecosystem service is at risk.

🌟 Editor's Pick! 🌟

“The Amazon forest has been a reliable carbon sink, soaking up some of humanity’s carbon emissions, but a severe drought in 2023 adds to growing concern that this ecosystem service is at risk.”

🔗 eos.org/editor-highl...

#AGUPubs @eos.org

1 month ago 5 6 0 1
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Nature Report, Killed by Trump, Is Released Independently

If you want to help nature and climate in your region, or have science knowledge to contribute, see our draft report at naturerecord.org A bit of background here: www.nytimes.com/2026/03/05/c...

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