An increasingly bruising primary between the two leading Dem candidates vying to topple Republican Sen. Susan Collins has both contenders dipping deep into their campaign coffers, while Collins has so far spent little on her reelection bid via @npr.org 📻✍️
www.npr.org/2026/03/26/n...
Posts by Steve Mistler
One Nation has spent $15 million so far and its messaging is EVERYWHERE ... TV, digital, mail. That's more than Mills and Platner combined to raise after Q4. And Pine Tree Results, financed by these folks. It's booked $2M for the weeks after 6/9 primary.
Remember: Maine's media rates are very cheap
Collins has spent little, but she's getting big boosts from the Pine Tree Results super PAC financed by well-heeled donors, as well as One Nation, the dark money group doing spade work on the issue that arguably won her the election in 2020: bringing home federal cash 2/
Analysis by AdImpact shows spending in Maine Senate race is already above $37M with 8 months until election. On pace to shatter the 2020 state record of more than $200M. It's accelerated by the Dem primary where Platner and Mills are battling to face Sen. Collins. 1/
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Trailing in polls, Mills' attack ad leans heavily on one of her strengths to try to expose a potential weakness in her opponent’s resilient candidacy: women voters. It's a confrontational tack in a party primary, outracing the armada of PACs that often assume that role
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ICYMI: How a novel debate in the Maine gubernatorial race looked like the social media fight that made it happen -- and why it seemed to capture our current political moment.
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buff.ly/kcfmKm2?
At times, the debate between Republican Bobby Charles and Democrat Troy Jackson resembled a fight one might witness on Facebook — angry and personal.
www.mainepublic.org/2026-02-26/this-novel-ma...
the pollster had some interesting insights. He suggests labels for self-identifying -- liberal, progressive, socialist -- are changing for Dem voters.
If he's right, I wonder if it's because ascendant leaders (AOC, Mamdani) are redefining what 'socialist' means to voters who admire them.
One of the big surprises in the UNH poll showing Platner with a huge lead over Mills is how one quarter of the Dem respondents self-identify as socialists. Is that really representative of the Dem primary electorate?
I dunno, but ... 1/2
scholars.unh.edu/cgi/viewcont...
Crowdsurfing. Not sure there’s a better metaphor for his campaign.
Maine U.S. Sen. Susan Collins asks DHS to pause ICE surge in Maine, Minnesota, calling the operations too sweeping and indiscriminate.
buff.ly/SpKPGzF
details illustrate how the company faces greater scrutiny from regulators than previously known. It also reveals the complexities of investigating fraud in a $5.4 billion program that is largely monitored for irregularities by a small program integrity unit
Senate Leadership Fund says it’s dumping $42M in effort to defend Sen. Susan Collins.
Here’s our guide to the groups spending big on MESEN. We’re updating regularly.
www.mainepublic.org/politics/202...
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A previously unreported and recently completed audit found that Gateway Community Services overbilled MaineCare by more than $1 million. The state says such suspensions are imposed when there's suspected fraud:
www.mainepublic.org/politics/202...
I wrote about Rob Reiner's shockingly good performance in The Wolf Of Wall Street in this, but it's striking how many different films and parts Defector staffers wanted to write about. He was a mensch, but he was also just everywhere in the culture for 50 years. defector.com/defectors-fa...
We've created an early guide to these groups. It's not an exhaustive list. It'll get longer. We'll update it along the way.
www.mainepublic.org/politics/202...
And some of them are effectively extensions of the partisan party committees, using the unlimited spending power of super PACs and financing them with dark money affiliates, further burying the origins of the cash and the identity of donors (2/3)
A constellation of deep-pocketed outside groups is already poised to spend big to affect the outcome of the 2026 Maine U.S. Senate race that could determine which party controls the chamber after the midterm elections. Some of these groups are already running ads đź§µ
ICYMI: In interviews Platner has been open about his post-combat struggles. Now he’s talking about it more frequently at his heavily attended town halls. It seems to be making his campaign more resilient, his supporters more devoted.
Listen 🎧📻
Worth your time to read this Laura Loomer piece. Includes a peek at the pay-to-play influencer machine
Laura Loomer’s Endless Payback www.newyorker.com/magazine/202...
Wrote about the Dems’ shutdown backlash against Sen. Angus King and others.
One of the clearest examples yet that they’re experiencing a tea party-like moment — with the ACA helping it along.
www.mainepublic.org/politics/202...
The longest federal government shutdown in U.S. history is over. But with little to show for it, the mostly Democratic politicians who ended the standoff now face intense backlash:
I know! I was not expecting them to be this dynamic. Not this year.
He’s made the offense explosive. If Maye can cutback on some of the gambles, they’re going to be tough to beat
Platner has a new campaign manager. A local guy. Never done it before.
www.mainepublic.org/politics/202...
Also, he took more questions than I’ve previously seen. Maybe an hour’s worth? And again, specific — fisheries regs, EMS governance, Citizens U, etc.
Anyway, they had to pull him off the stage because it ran late
Not tough on tattoo/reddit stuff, although it did come up. Just specific. He was also confronted about using “genocide” to describe Gaza. He answered but the guy was insistent — and also recording the exchange on his phone, which was … curious. Most ppl just death grip the mic
Been to several of these now. The stump varies on delivery — he’s ditched the notes and pretty much riffs — but essentially the same message. What I noticed tonight, though, is the questions are getting tougher