Pre-announcement: Call for questions, Selects 2027
Contribute your questions to the Swiss electoral study during the 2027 federal elections.
📅 Call: end of April 2026
🗓 Deadline: end of June 2026
Selects 2023, including datasets, questionnaires & documentation www.swissubase.ch/en/catalogue...
1/ New paper (Open Access) which asks a simple but often overlooked question: what do we actually mean when we move between institutional, structural and systemic racism? www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.... @ersjournal.com
Fascinating.
Danish Social Democrats adopted hardline, nativist anti-immigration policies and look to have recorded their worst election result in over 100 years. So, the lesson for the European left from the “Danish model” is that copying and normalizing the far-right leads to gutting your own support.
📢 My first dissertation paper is out in the BJPIR! 📢
Why do ethnic majorities support the radical right?
I show that feeling deprived compared to ethnic minorities increases support for hierarchical societies - which in turn fuels radical right support.
doi.org/10.1177/1369...
A short 🧵:
The British state getting into bed with Palantir is just incredibly blackpilling, especially since it is being done by a Labour government who are composed of the exact sort of people that Palantir's owners and operators openly say they wish to drive from power forever! Inept self-loathing fools.
⁉️ Are anti-immigration people really "sexually modern"?
No
⁉️ Are people more supportive of anti-immigration platforms when these also include progressive positions on gender and sexuality?
Also no
I explore these questions w/ 🇬🇧🇩🇪 original survey data (+ a conjoint in 🇩🇪)
👉 osf.io/preprints/so...
AI systems are now making decisions about you — who gets hired, whose content gets removed, whose voice gets heard.
My new paper finds something concerning:
LLMs infer your ethnic identity from subtle textual cues…
… and use it to discriminate against you.
🧵 1/
„The USA loses its long-term status as a liberal democracy – for the first time in over 50 years. […] The speed with which American democracy is currently dismantled is unprecedented in modern history“ (V-Dem 2026)
V-Dem v.16 is now released, w. updated scores for 2025.
Most countries remain stable from 2024, but some clear improvements (on diff’t democracy indices), incl. S. Korea, Sri Lanka & Mauritius.
Largest declines came, by far, in the US.
This figure shows 10-yr changes on the Liberal Dem. index.
EPSS Diversity Committee is happy to announce the launch of our mentoring program: a new initiative designed to develop a new network within the EPSS community.
March 31 is deadline, and program runs from May 1, 2026, to April 30, 2027.
More info: epssnet.org/about/divers...
MEGA could well outlast MAGA. Do European countries have strong enough institutional and constitutional checks to survive giving power to the far-right? Hungary didn't, Poland is struggling, the UK definitely doesn't. Democracy is incredibly fragile. Once it's lost it's very hard to restore.
Out in @thejop.bsky.social: How Exiles Mobilize Domestic Dissent with @aasiegel.bsky.social
We investigate how Egyptian exiles influenced a cascade of online dissent that culminated in anti-regime protests back home in September 2019.
Article link: www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
How often do ethnic elites use grievance frames online? @frederikgremler.bsky.social, Lea Haiges, @nilsweidmann.bsky.social & Christina Zuber examine 646k posts showing such frames are rare & track political, not economic, inequality. Read OPEN ACCESS: buff.ly/swifESz
@polstudiesassoc.bsky.social
Paper w/ @carogarriga.bsky.social: Academia’s Class Problem. PoliSci is dominated by the upper middle class / people with parents who went to university – unlike society as a whole.
dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn...
❗️ Tue, Mar 10, 12:15-13:30 CET
📍 A 231 and ZOOM
MZES Speaker Series
with
Kåre Vernby ( @stockholm-uni.bsky.social )
"The Local Roots of the Nationalization of Politics"
👉 www.mzes.uni-mannheim.de/en/news/even...
1/2
In Sweden, most PhD students work at 80% contract to extend funding. Now international PhDs are being deported for doing exactly that. So much for “Swedish exceptionalism”. www.tv4.se/artikel/ZhUi...
Cheers mate. Hope you are enjoying EUI.
Still controlling for gender without thinking about why? You can cite me💚👩🔬💚
I show that the gender gap in progressive climate and environmental views is a persistent empirical regularity that cannot be explained by differences in socioeconomic background, political ideology, or risk aversion.
📢 New in IMR. We often ask whether #refugees “integrate.” But what happens when the host society becomes hostile? I develop the concept of social marginalization and show that refugees in more #violent German counties report stronger feelings of exclusion and discrimination. doi.org/10.1177/0197...
🎉 New publication 😍 The 4th wave of the #farright is marked by #mainstreaming & #normalisation - but how can we distinguish between them? In our new article, @gefjonoff.bsky.social and I map the existing literature, introduce a conceptual framework & outline research avenues. doi.org/10.1017/S147...
The current processing time for a citizenship application in Sweden is 47 months. The government wants to apply new citizenship requirements to people who applied for citizenship years ago but are still waiting.
There is grassroots mobilization against this:
www.fairtransitionsweden.com
Update:
As @robfordmancs.bsky.social said to @theguardian.com, zero net migration may offer Labour "the opportunity to steer the domestic political agenda away from" Reform's key topic.
Other experts stress that Labour loses votes to Greens & LD.
Yes, *for now*, but Labour may play the long game.
"Professor Ludvig Beckman lämnar sin plats i Migrationsverkets etiska råd i protest. Utvisningspolitiken är nu så omänsklig att den strider mot grundlagen, anser han.
– Jag kan inte legitimera utvisningar av 18-åringar som växt upp här och som har föräldrar som bor här, säger han."
It must be very hard to publish null results Publication practices in the social sciences act as a filter that favors statistically significant results over null findings. While the problem of selection on significance (SoS) is well-known in theory, it has been difficult to measure its scope empirically, and it has been challenging to determine how selection varies across contexts. In this article, we use large language models to extract granular and validated data on about 100,000 articles published in over 150 political science journals from 2010 to 2024. We show that fewer than 2% of articles that rely on statistical methods report null-only findings in their abstracts, while over 90% of papers highlight significant results. To put these findings in perspective, we develop and calibrate a simple model of publication bias. Across a range of plausible assumptions, we find that statistically significant results are estimated to be one to two orders of magnitude more likely to enter the published record than null results. Leveraging metadata extracted from individual articles, we show that the pattern of strong SoS holds across subfields, journals, methods, and time periods. However, a few factors such as pre-registration and randomized experiments correlate with greater acceptance of null results. We conclude by discussing implications for the field and the potential of our new dataset for investigating other questions about political science.
I have a new paper. We look at ~all stats articles in political science post-2010 & show that 94% have abstracts that claim to reject a null. Only 2% present only null results. This is hard to explain unless the research process has a filter that only lets rejections through.
A newborn in Minneapolis hadn’t eaten for a day and a half.
ICE agents took her mother when she went to work, trying to make money for diapers.
Her 16-year-old and Bri, a local mother of two, saved that baby's life. @chabeli.bsky.social tells their story
Very very likely that Trump might attack Iran.... just to create a distraction from what is happening with ICE in Minnesota. www.bbc.com/news/article...
DHS has shot 12 people during immigration enforcement operations since September: