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Posts by Geoff Buchan

That's adorable. So he'll be able to help when you get to The Hundred Years' War!

(I kid - pacing on the show is good)

4 hours ago 1 0 0 0

If they ever looked at this site, your post would make a Marjorie Taylor Greene staffer sad.

2 days ago 0 0 0 0

Bingo. Once POTUS formally objects to his removal, he'd get his job back unless ⅔ of both houses vote to sustain removal. Impeachment needs just ½ the House and ⅔ of the Senate.

The 25th can buy maybe a couple of weeks, as VP + ½ cabinet would remove him immediately, until Congress votes.

4 days ago 61 2 2 1

25th invocation can buy a little time more quickly than impeachment, so may still be useful were a POTUS about to launch a nuke recklessly. But it has a higher supermmajority requirement than impeachment to permanently remove a POTUS, and so in the game theory sense is dominated by impeachment.

4 days ago 1 0 0 0

Not a constitutional lawyer, but as I read it the 25th is dominated by impeachment as a tool for permanent rem oval. It takes VP + ½ cabinet to temporarily remove POTUS, but if POTUS objects, you'd need ⅔ of both House and Senate to make 25th removal permanent.

Impeachment just needs ½ of House.

4 days ago 2 0 1 0

with software development. Now that is something I *do* know a lot about, and Musk was saying some of the dumbest shit imagineable about it.

So I learned to stay the hell away from his cars and his rockets.

2/2

6 days ago 0 0 0 0

I'm reminded of a quip from a software engineer:
Many people say Musk is a genius with cars, and since I know little about cars I assumed they were right.
Many people say he's a genius with rockets, and since I know little about rockets I assumed they were right.
Many people say he's a genius
1/2

6 days ago 0 0 1 0

I'm struck by how much Noem looks like Melania, and how much she did not when she was in Congress. That's commitment to the bit!

6 days ago 1 0 0 0

That makes you a late boomer, not GenX. ;-)

I am told my mother woke me to watch in on TV, but I have no recollection of it as I was an infant.

GenX, and I'd be proud of it if it really mattered.

6 days ago 1 0 0 0
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Yes. Before Scalia died, 4 of 5 NYC boroughs were represented, with only Staten Island not.
Scalia was from Queens, Ginsburg Brooklyn, and Kagan Manhattan.

1 week ago 0 0 0 0
2026 Ezra Stiles Rotisserie Association Auction Fantasy Sports Commissioner, player news, and valuation with no advertising

#MLB #OpeningDay

One day in, and I'm deep in last place because of this:

www.rotovalue.com/cgi-bin/Auct...

Small sample size, of course. And luckily¹ I didn't watch because I don't have Netflix.

¹ Also unluckily, as I was perfectly hedged, and the Yankees fan for 50 years was thrilled!

2 weeks ago 0 0 0 0

The Warren Cromartie cameo is an extra bonus!

2 weeks ago 1 0 0 0
2026 MLB Crystal Ball – RotoValue Blog

#MLB opening day is a good time to polish the RotoValue crystal ball!
blog.rotovalue.com/index.php/20...

Play ball!

2 weeks ago 0 0 0 0

Alas she came close, but missed the double pun bread shop Pita Pain!

2 weeks ago 0 0 0 0

Drutman goes on to add that one is "decidedly overheated today", so he pulls back from going full false equivalence, which is better.

Still, there's a decent argument that the Democratic Party has been too temperate when in power. But it's beside his point: being in power itself causes decline.

2 weeks ago 0 1 0 0

Overall it's a good piece with an interesting solution. But since this is Bluesky I'm compelled to disagree with this both-sidesing: "The problem is that America’s thermostat only has two settings, neither of which is temperate." Wake me when genuine socialists win power in the Democratic party.

2 weeks ago 0 0 1 0
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My point was that given the tilt of the state, Manchin was good for Dems by keeping a worse R out of office. That was not true of Sinema in AZ or Fetterman in PA.

Let the voters decide. That's what primaries are for.

3 weeks ago 0 0 0 0

Grew up in a small town on the Eastern Shore of MD. Not Appalachia, but also not dissimilar.

I'm not policing who can run

3 weeks ago 0 0 1 0

I don't think we could handel that.

3 weeks ago 0 0 0 0

Let me reframe... I hope we'd agree that Mamdani > Manchin > Jim Justice

You don't need to run a Manchin/Fetterman/Sinema to win in AZ or PA, but you may to win WV.

And it's criminal to run one in NYC. Good on them for rejecting Cuomo. Twice!

3 weeks ago 0 0 1 0

Absent an Arnold Amendment, Omar and Mamdani aren't eligible to run for POTUS.

They are well suited for the electorates they face, and are good for US politics overall.

3 weeks ago 0 0 0 0

Not my point at all.
Winning NYC ≠ winning WV.

You don't need WV to win POTUS, but even ⅓ D Senator from there beats 1 R. Would love to see someone like Mamdani win WV, but I doubt we'd see it.

Nationally is a diffrent ballgame, and AOC is viable there.

3 weeks ago 0 0 1 0

Note standard Dems are appealing to many blue collar voters, especially nonwhite ones!

3 weeks ago 0 0 2 0
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But the difference is that Ds can win statewide in PA without winning those areas supposedly only Fetterman could win.

WV has nothing comparable to Philadelphia or Pittsburgh, so to win there you do need more appeal in rural/red areas.

3 weeks ago 0 0 0 0

Appreciate you left Joe Manchin out of this. For all his faults, and they were many from a progressive perspective, it's hard to imagine a better alternative who could plausibly have won WV. Can't say that about PA/AZ with respect to Fetterman and Sinema.

This shows the importance of primaries.

3 weeks ago 0 0 2 0

Huh... and I'd thought Bert Campaneris was the first to do that!

3 weeks ago 0 0 0 0

I wonder who picked Jerome Powell to be Fed chair. Anyone know?

3 weeks ago 0 0 0 0

without naming your job, tell me something you say over and over again at work

"Computers do what you tell them to do, not what you want them to do."

3 weeks ago 0 0 0 0

Nerdy point: in game theory terms 25th is dominated by impeachment for permanent removal. After POTUS objects, you'd need ⅔ of both House and Senate to sustain removal.

Impeachment needs just ½+1 of House (and ⅔ of Senate).

25th can buy you a few weeks until Congress has to vote, though.

4 weeks ago 0 0 0 0

New Jersey welcomes you!

4 weeks ago 0 1 0 0