We're all old enough to recall how silent these shrill opposition noises were when it came to Partygate and PPE fraud
This is turning into a Trumpian challenge on the Labour Gov't so as to seek advantage for GE2029
Let's see how this runs together with the local election results
Posts by Kevin
Talking of context, ๐ฌ๐ง ๐ณ๐ด & ๐ช๐บ all committed to raising defence to 3.5% GDP
But they need to:
- update threat & response theory
- resolve procurement & collaborate
- decouple from ๐บ๐ธ
- agree how to fund... ideally QE or bonds, not cuts
I find your suggestion that all private sector executives are replaceable both charming and naive!
However, when you mention Starbucks, have you considered how they are able to reduce their UK taxes through transfer pricing rules going back to 19th Century?
An excellent piece which I missed at the time...
If we are focusing upon energy inflation then surely our time would be far better spent looking at how to break the link between gas and electricity pricing?
Renewables need to be priced in as well as insulation etc
Labour stood on a platform of growth, ending austerity and renationalising trains etc
Growth needs investment, stability & suitably qualified workforce
Yet there's no NHS workforce plan let alone UK strategy
There was no mention of fulfilling Cameron's pledges, so we've joined the Greens!
๐ฌ๐ง ๐ช๐บ & ๐ณ๐ด would be best advised to open up dialogue with both ๐ฎ๐ณ & ๐จ๐ณ across a number of chapters
We're moving extremely rapidly through this 4th industrial revolution where adult leaders will appreciate calm and sophistication
Perhaps the governance of G20 and UN needs to adapt from post 1945?
There may come a time in the not to distant future when ๐ช๐บ ๐ฌ๐ง & ๐ณ๐ด will need to consider an accelerated decoupling from ๐บ๐ธ plus investment in tech, defence & services etc
For this we require vision, strategic capability and deep pockets, AKA QE
Best we prepare
Note that the Blukip portion has sunk below 40% for the first time in many years AND that we have a five party system baked in now.
All about turn out now plus how Greens handle their extraordinary growth spurt
We know May results will follow this pattern but 2027-29 is very unclear
Let's not forget that he also blamed those claiming benefits as being unaffordable - yet he's the one who skipped the country avoiding ยฃ4BN in tax
๐ฌ๐ง is a G7 economy growing at 1.3% per year - debt:GDP ratio has stabilised and ๐ฌ๐ง Gov't decides priorities, NOT reform rhetoric
Back in 2019 we had a four party system in the polls if not the ballot box as Brexit chaos led to Labour & Tory decline
Today we have five choices, with the Blukip share still on 45%
Your Party landed dead on arrival, but Greens very viable & will attract millions from "don't know" & Labour
The odd number look to be a fair call... but so many doubts around the evens!
It all comes down to GDP growth required NOW as well as clarity post ๐ท๐บ ๐บ๐ฆ conflict and Trump in ๐บ๐ธ
We are in the midst of 4th industrial rev'n plus hybrid war with ๐ท๐บ
The only way forwards is for ๐ณ๐ด ๐ฌ๐ง ๐ช๐บ to work together on this polycrisis
You're going to hit 20% then aim for 25%
Greens will perform spectacularly next May
All great stuff
But then the real challenge begins as you need to find more candidates, beef up your proposition, and deal with the inevitable print media onslaught
Do we wish to have a serious discussion or are all your energies directed towards attacking Streeting & Labour?!
Try looking up the impact of demographics since 2015 AND underfunded Social Care
Simplistic approaches to the NHS employing 1M and servicing a population of 70M don't cut it!
Really?!
Long term waits > 1 year doubled from 2M to 4M under the Tories since 2010
Are we suggesting that too is down to NHS staff, or does Gov't policy & resourcing play its part?
Suggest that we consider the full picture around cutting waiting lists - from local health clinics to Apps, from a workforce plan to employer schemes.
And what about the largest drain on the NHS: social care?
We all need the lists to come down
Waiting lists have been coming down since Labour took office
Perhaps we should look at a broader range of solutions to maintain and accelerate the reduction of lists before talking only about pay?
Let's revisit after May 2026 elections:
- results across the country
- Polanski & Greens next level
- Tories change leader?
- Blue Labour challenged?
The main point is that ๐ฌ๐ง politics has finally shifted from post war two party, broad church set up to a clear three party set up.
Where we had centre left and centre right, we now have technocratic centre, Alt-right & Green / Left
Same as ๐ซ๐ท but FPTP
2026 will confirm trend
Not really!
We're faced with the existential challenge of rebuilding our relationship with ๐ช๐บ, retaining ECHR, ramping up defence spending...
And exploring what life, economy and government looks like in the 2030s, once this 4th industrial revolution really takes off
Or letting Farage win!
"Encourage the pre- conditions for revolution - vote (with) Tory!"
Whatever happened, has happened!
But those behind this fracture of the "broad church" (that has been Labour forever) have always calculated that the SCG were subject to Stockholm syndrome!
2025 sees Polanski convert the Greens into an alternative that may well mature into a major force
Blue Labour have been hiding in plain sight!
But politics is dynamic, so who's to say how Labour MPs and others respond to the results next May?
This isn't about what any one of us feel or believe, but how our spectrum shifts towards that of say ๐ซ๐ท or ๐ฉ๐ฐ
The point is that they've ditched much of their GE2024 coalition through this move, lack of vision and poor delivery!
Corbyn has been asleep so Polanski has marched Greens into the spaces left by Labour shift
U40s have picked up on this but what of those >50?
They really aren't and to pretend that they are is to completely misunderstand the landscape, and the gaps
Labour WAS always a broad church of soft Left and further Left which supported Parliamentary path
Now they've shifted to drop the Left & absorb one nation Tories AKA technocratic centrists...
Means finding enough credible candidates, building local capability AND evolving the national policy / presentation blend
Then there's the fourth estate!
In short, is the Green Party ready to handle immense growing pains?
Badenoch appears to forget who had a landslide victory for 2019-2024 Parliament, and how little the Tories actually achieved
The electorate won't forget and will make their choices known in years to come
๐ฏ when it comes to grass roots organisation
My point is that Greens have travelled from 10% to 15% in 2025, 20% is a small stretch and 25% comes next!
Can we anticipate the provocations and responses as we approach GE2029?
I'm on the cusp of leaving Labour btw!
The landscape will be completely reshaped next May and akin to May 2019
Will Tories or Labour change leadership?
What will Greens learn and how will they develop for 2027?
The GTTO alliance and tech for tactical voting will evolve by GE2029 such that the electorate across the country should be well informed (despite print media)
The landscape will be similar to mid 2019 but the far right will carve out who stands where
Greens will climb to 20%+ soon enough!