EDITOR'S NOTE: "For those of us at the Mississippi Free Press, this is a significant blow. We left Twitter earlier this year for a lot of reasons, and have since made BlueSky our main social media platform (itβs also where we have the most followers)," Ashton Pittman writes.
Posts by Erin Thead
I don't want to get myself β from this site by giving away information to circumvent a "policy" that, in my opinion, is not going to achieve its goal. This site is "bluffing with nuffing." It doesn't have the reach of FB, IG, X, etc.
But search for Proton VPN. Just saying.
#Erin is a textbook case of the explosive intensification rates that pose an increasing problem as the planet's oceans and atmosphere heat up.
Saving grace this time: Erin is on track to avoid making landfall anywhere. Next time: who knows?
yaleclimateconnections.org/2025/08/erin...
What is it about this century? What could it be? β¨οΈπ
From @agnes1972.bsky.social on his X account: "With Erin, the last ten years have now seen 11 category five Atlantic hurricanes. This puts us even further ahead of 2007, which held the previous record of nine. Remarkable."
Aug 16: Images from @NOAA_HurrHunter and the @NOAASatellites Ocean Winds team show an intense eyewall in Hurricane #Erin This photo shows the ocean surface calm in the eye and roaring in the eyewall. For the latest forecast visit hurricanes.gov https://x.com/NHC_Atlantic/status/1956713125828325429
The eye of Hurricane Erin is visible from the San Juan radar. Also lots of lightning in the outer rainbands. Glad the bulk of Erin is staying away from the islands. Hoping for a miss as well regarding Bermuda.
As a public service, people will find the original pdf files of all the U.S. National Climate Assessments, 2001-2023, publicly available at: www.patrickgonzalez.net#us_national_...
They are still up... for now.
Get them and host them. Every private atmospheric scientist's website needs to have these.
repository.library.noaa.gov/view/noaa/61...
repository.library.noaa.gov/view/noaa/19...
repository.library.noaa.gov/view/noaa/19...
repository.library.noaa.gov/view/noaa/19...
Get the real National Climate Assessments now while you can. I'm quite sure these will go away once the bowdlerized ones are ready. #noaa #climatechange #nationalclimateassessment
repository.library.noaa.gov/view/noaa/61...
repository.library.noaa.gov/view/noaa/19...
I am just going to get off this site for a while. I am currently angrier at my fellow meteorologists than I am at anyone else, for keeping the NWS as the subject under the microscope and attacking political accounts for technical inaccuracy. I'll end up saying something I regret if I don't step off.
And another thing. When you insist that everyone did JUST AS GOOD a job as they would have done with the vacancies filled and the measurements fully available, what others will hear is that that was superfluous, unnecessary spending. You are undermining efforts to get this damage reversed.
Y'all.
The talk about probability and predictability is one for conferences and papers. It is NOT WORKING in the public eye. To people who are not knowledgeable about meteorology, it comes across as self-defense-by-obfuscation. I know it's NOT, but that's how it looks to anyone other than us.
I am incredibly frustrated with my fellow meteorologists right now.
If you're explaining, you're losing the narrative.
If you're defending yourselves, you're losing the narrative.
Go on offense. Force the cutters to defend THEIR actions. Make the discussion be about THEM rather than YOU.
Hereβs another helpful timeline, this one from @coweatherman.bsky.social just to reinforce the early alarm and the successive warnings. The National Weather Service by no means βmissedβ this.
Texas officials now are busy trying to blame the National Weather Service. Beyond that misguided reaction, a few important points - a quick π§΅
I took a different approach to telling the forecast in today's newsletter. I may not have the opportunity in every 2-minute TV update, but it's a small thing to add to my articles. I hope others will consider similar strategies to underscore what's at stake.
This column is, unfortunately, accurate.
This is an anti-science agenda, intended to dismantle the scientific enterprise, in order to eliminate its authority in decision-making and give that power to political figures.
Orwell got it right again. The Party wants to be able to declare that 2+2=5.
Atmospheric science has BIPARTISAN support from the American public. The people responsible for that abominable NOAA proposal are a radical minority. They're trying to make their numbers seem much bigger than they are.
Across the Northern Hemisphere tropics, this remains an unusually low-key year. Meanwhile, Trumpβs proposed NOAA budget would destroy the basic infrastructure needed to do weather research. New from @bhensonweather.bsky.social & @drjeffmasters.bsky.social yaleclimateconnections.org/2025/07/two-...
If you want to know all the gory details of hunting a dangerous storm in a faraway place, here's my complete tale of chasing Hurricane ERICK in Mexico. Enjoy! LINK: www.facebook.com/share/p/1CCN...
Yep. This is illegal and unconstitutional on its face. The budget and appropriations are laws. The President "shall take Care that the Laws be faithfully executed", according to the express dictate of the federal constitution. His "priorities" are literally irrelevant.
Before the election, energy analysts said that repealing renewable energy tax credits was an "extreme" and "unlikely" scenario.
Many Democrats said the same, because Republicans would never willingly harm their own districts and constituents, who were benefiting from subsidies.
Here we are.
I also don't think impacts will make a dent in this problem. Helene's impact just set off lunatic conspiracy theories that meteorologists had "controlled" the hurricane to target them.
Fortunately, I don't think these bullheaded unpersuadables are the majority. They just are the ones in power.
This budget would be an axe through meteorology grad school grants via the cooperative institutes. Who'd staff private companies if there are no new grads?
Their attitude toward vaccination is the same, and that's also a public good. They just don't believe the data.
I have come to believe that the goal is not privatization. It sure isn't efficiency. I believe the goal is nothing less than the obliteration of meteorology as a US career.
They indicated in P2025 that they don't believe our field is legit. "The fatal conceit of planning for the unplannable."
My guess is they'll try to force the cuts no matter what Congress budgets. What happens after that, I don't know. If that happens, the next step depends on who challenges the impoundment and what the courts then do.
Sorry to be grim.
I don't believe Congress will approve all or even most of these cuts.
I'm also not convinced that'll matter. The executive branch has made it clear it believes the Impoundment Act is unconstitutional (despite that it's been upheld once) and that it can decide not to spend duly appropriated money.
Got them.
Feels like the Book People preserving texts in Fahrenheit 451.