Blame Games in Cyberspace: How Foreign Cues Shape Public Opinion on Cyber Attribution and Retribution Conflicting narratives about who is responsible for a cyberattack are often thought to create uncertainty about the aggressor’s identity, which in turn could lead to greater restraint in state resp...

Can you really blame us for wanting to share these great papers from our new special issue? Leal explores how conflicting narratives might shape public opinion regarding cyber attacks?
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

Cyber Conflict & Domestic Audience Costs Cyber power is altering the nature of domestic audience costs. By exploiting voters’ captivation with cyber conflict, leaders can now de-escalate crises without having to worry about suffering dome...

In his contribution to this special issue on cyber conflict, Shandler suggests that cyber power is altering the nature of domestic audience costs and creating new flexibility in leader's crisis decision-making www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

Answering the Call: Why Aid Allies in Cyber Conflict? International alliances have incorporated cybersecurity within their collective security mandates, but would these commitments be honored if invoked? Key characteristics of cyber conflict, includin...

Got more questions about cyber conflict? Gomez and Winger answer the call by discussing alliance commitments in the age of cyberwarfare. Check out the whole special issue! www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

Beyond Threats: How Allies and Bureaucratic Competition Shape the Initial Development of Military Cyber Capabilities The politics of how nations design their militaries when they start developing new technologies is a critical question in international relations as it has implications on military effectiveness, c...

Can't get enough of this special issue on cyber conflict? Check out Nadiya Kostyuk's new article on the military design choices being made in the new era of cyber technology www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

What lurks beneath the tip of the iceberg? Exploring the “missingness” problem in cyber events data With growing interest in and attention to cybersecurity, pundits, media outlets, and policymakers are interested in meaningful insights about the nature of cyber conflict. However, the challenges t...

In another OA paper from the special issue on Cyber Conflict,
@JelenaVicic, @Gil_Baram & Erik Gartzke explore the missingness problem in cyber events data: www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

Introduction: Measurement and meaning in the study of cyber conflict This special issue on empirical approaches to cyber conflict aims to “prime the pump” in advancing how researchers measure and interpret cyber conflict dynamics. We present a carefully selected set...

Check out the introductory essay from our special issue on Cyber Conflict from guest editors Gil Baram, Erik Gartzke, and Jelena Vivic www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

Bolts from the blue: How technological novelty impacts crisis decision-making In crisis, technological threats often present as unfamiliar to non-specialists. Today, however, emerging AI capabilities introduce distinct uncertainties for the decision-maker that extend beyond ...

In another great new paper from our special issue on Cyber Warfare, Christopher Whyte investigates how technological novelty influences decision-makers’ reaction to crisis conditions. www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

Observing the unobservable: Wargaming cyber deterrence As the world becomes increasingly reliant on interconnected digital infrastructure, the urgency to understand and manage cyber conflict increases. Policy-makers have long sought to translate concep...

Check out this cool open access paper on Wargaming Cyber Deterrence by Reddie, Goldblum, Armenta, Booth, Lakkaraju, Letchford, Reinhardt, and Schnell. Lots of authors = lots of insights!! www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

Did you present amazing new quantitative research at ISA? We hope you will consider submitting it to Intentional Interactions soon!

Introduction: Measurement and meaning in the study of cyber conflict This special issue on empirical approaches to cyber conflict aims to “prime the pump” in advancing how researchers measure and interpret cyber conflict dynamics. We present a carefully selected set...

Check out the introductory essay for our new special issue on Cyber Warfare, guest edited by @JelenaVicic, @Gil_Baram & Erik Gartzke: www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

Don't forget --- the International Interactions Editorial Board meeting is this Sunday afternoon at 2PM at ISA. Can't wait to see you there.

The indirect effects of structural power: Political diffusion in the global value chain network In the past few years, scholars have focused on how states use Global Value Chains (GVCs) to weaponize economic and political interdependencies. However, the unintended political consequences stemm...

Global Value Chains, structural theory, and cool methods? This paper by Juan Acevedo-Ossa has it all! www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

Check out new OPEN ACCESS research from @chrauh regarding perceptions of the EU as political actor:
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

🤔 The #EU 🇪🇺 aspires to be a global actor 🌍 — but do other states recognize it as such?

My new study in @intlinteractions.bsky.social develops targeted #NLP / #TextAsData tools to analyze 50 years of foreign policy discourse in the annual #UN General Debate (1970–2020).

A thread (1/n)

International recognition of European Union “actorness”: Language-based evidence from United Nations general debate speeches 1970–2020 The European Union is often portrayed as a global actor that is said to wield ‘economic’ or even ‘normative’ power. Such perspectives presume that states in the international system recognize EU ‘a...

➡️ Bottom line: Recognition of EU actorness is hardly global and rather mirrors power and value-based conflicts in the international system.

📖 For more detail & context read the full open-access article here: dx.doi.org/10.1080/0305...

Cool new OPEN ACCESS research on the impact of non-military aid on recipient capabilities by Marco Binetti www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

Leader visits and nuclear pursuit How can nuclear pursuits be effectively reduced? Existing research primarily focuses on traditional policy instruments such as security guarantees and coercion, despite their inherent limitations. ...

In this new paper, Youngsang Lee shows how US presidential visits can slow the pursuit of nuclear proliferation.
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

You’re the one I want: Substitutability, policy preference divergence, and the cost of multilateral sanctions Under what conditions do sanction-sending states choose to form coalitions? Do the same determinants that affect military sanction coalition formation affect how coercive economic coalitions are fo...

Love the musical Grease and Sanctions? Well, if so this new paper by @peiyuwei.bsky.social‬ on substitutability and multilateral sanctions will be the ONE that YOU WANT www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

Over the long horizon: Party institutionalization and antidumping trade remedies International political economy scholarship has documented that non-traditional barriers to international trade have proliferated since the 1970s. Contemporary explanations attribute these trends t...

Sick of all tariffs in the news? Tyler Coleman explores non-tariff barriers in his new paper and asks what impact do domestic politics have on the use of non-tariff barriers?

www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

Check out cool new work by @tobiasrisse.bsky.social on rivalries and arms control!

To punish or to reward? The effect of sanction threats on public opinion How do individuals respond to the threat of economic sanctions? Under what conditions do the target population demand policy concessions, and when do they rally behind their beleaguered leader? We ...

How do individuals respond to the threat of economic sanctions? Using a survey experiment in Turkiye, @efetokdemir.bsky.social, Menevis Cilizoglu, Omer Zarpli explore how targeted publics respond to sanctions threats.
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

Out now @intlinteractions.bsky.social:
In my new article, I find that rivalries with major powers tend to decrease minor powers' support for arms control. Why? See abstract below 👇 or here for the full article: doi.org/10.1080/03050629.2025.2518394

#armscontrol
#conflictsky
#polisky 🗺

@intlinteractions.bsky.social Congrats!!!

Quantifying women’s rights naming and shaming: A novel text-as-data approach This research note introduces a novel methodology for quantifying naming and shaming practices in the context of women’s rights, utilizing a corpus of 10,760 human rights reports from the US State ...

Can we measure naming and shaming? @ghashiakiyani.bsky.social @yuanzhouir.bsky.social & Charles Crabtree show us how in www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

Hegemonic shocks and patterns of secession Studies of secession typically focus on domestic factors that produce independence movements, such as the role of ethnic divides or the concentration of material resources. But motivations for sece...

How do major geopolitical shocks shape state birth? A new article finds that great power shocks (like WWI, WWII, Cold War’s end) spark secessionist “bubbles”—many new bids for independence, few successes. @KyungwonSuh @RyeGriffiths & @SevaUT www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

Is trade the enemy of environment?: Congressional voting on environmental policies after the China shock How does trade competition affect support for environmental protection? On the one hand, import shocks can dampen support for environmental protection, as international trade can lead to a race to ...

How does a sudden increase in imports affect support for environmental policies? There is some evidence that an increase in import competition can lead to more pro-environmental votes in the US. Why? To find out more, check out new work by @rgpark.bsky.social : www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

Introducing the tracking of terrorist organization splintering (totos) dataset What explains why some splinter groups are highly violent, capable, and durable, while others are not? Although existing scholarship provides important insights into the causes and consequences of ...

How do we know when terror splinter groups will survive? 🐕‍🦺TOTOS🐕‍🦺 and Wendland have answers! www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

Credit claims and the survival rates of terrorist organizations This study investigates the relationship between terrorist credit claims and government counterterrorism efforts, focusing on the impact of claims on group survival. Using data from the Extended Da...

Do terrorist groups that actively claim credit for their violence thrive? @ilaydaonder.bsky.social and Nazli Avdan and Aaron Hoffman explore this question in a new paper in II! www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

Women Suicide Terrorism: The Strategic and Tactical Logic of Civilian Killings A growing body of research indicates that women are increasingly involved in suicide attacks. These studies suggest that women, due to their seemingly innocent appearance, can more effectively targ...

Do female suicide terrorists choose different targets? www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

Blame Games in Cyberspace: How Foreign Cues Shape Public Opinion on Cyber Attribution and Retribution Conflicting narratives about who is responsible for a cyberattack are often thought to create uncertainty about the aggressor’s identity, which in turn could lead to greater restraint in state resp...

Do allies and adversaries shape U.S. views on cyber attribution? In a new paper at @intlinteractions.bsky.social, I show that allies’ endorsements boost Americans' trust in attribution and support for retribution, while adversary denials produce limited and inconsistent effects.