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Posts by Ken Rice

You're completely correct that this is a normal expectation in Physics and Astronomy and presumably also in GeoSciences. However, I have also seen people successfully defend theses with fewer and, sometimes zero, publications. Your general point, though, is still a good one.

1 day ago 4 0 1 0

A recommended read by Hiranya Peiris:

"[we] had a quality problem long before LLMs...publish or perish, citation metrics as proxy for impact, volume as proxy for productivity... have been producing incremental, poorly checked, & sometimes wrong papers for decades"🧪🔭⚛️

www.nature.com/articles/s41...

1 day ago 81 24 0 1
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Communicating changes in the intensity of UK heatwaves Communicating how a global warming of ‘just’ 1°C affects people is challenging. The hottest UK summer days have warmed more than 3 times faster than the rate of global warming in the past century, ca...

Communicating changes in the intensity of UK heatwaves

Global warming of ‘just’ 1°C does not necessarily sound like a problem. But in the UK, the hottest summer days are warming much faster than typical summer days, changing our experience of heatwaves

rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....

5 days ago 112 55 7 1
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Global warming due to increasing absorbed solar radiation Global climate models used in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fourth Assessment Report (AR4) are examined for the top-of-atmosphere radiation changes as carbon dioxide and other ...

I'm guessing that Willis hasn't read this. agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....

1 week ago 4 0 3 0
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RealClimate: A reflection on reflection RealClimate: Confirmation bias and a profound lack of curiosity mark the latest ABC (Anything But Carbon) contrapalooza in DC this week and a decade-old albedo error trips them up. I occasionally dip ...

By me. A decade-old error in a paper trips up the contrarians.

RealClimate: A reflection on reflection www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...

1 week ago 37 14 2 1

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If this is correct, then the claim that the issues in STFC are mostly to do with increased costs, inflation, exchange rates, and being overly ambitious would appear to not be true!

1 week ago 13 3 1 0
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IIRC, I may have said something like this at the time.

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RCP 8.5 Is Fine, Actually - Center for Progressive Reform While the high levels of fossil fuel emissions mapped in the RCP 8.5 scenario are unlikely, it remains an important scenario for modeling future climate impacts, particularly at local scales.

The climate scenario RCP 8.5 is unfairly understood as "misleading," "controversial," or deceptive. This is unfortunate, write @madisoncondon.bsky.social and @vsrikrish.bsky.social — even if its predicted emissions are unlikely, it's incredibly useful for all kinds of climate modeling

2 weeks ago 46 17 1 3
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Fact-checking Matt Ridley’s “Scientific Freedom Lecture” at NIH (Part I) Matt Ridley, global warming skeptic and co-author with Alina Chan of a book promoting a lab origin of SARS-CoV-2, was invited by Jay Bhattacharya, the Director of the National Institutes of Health (NI...

In March, Matt Ridley gave the inaugural "Scientific Freedom Lecture" at NIH, on a lab leak origin of COVID-19.

The talk was so full of misrepresentations, omissions, falsehoods and lies that I will need several blog posts to debunk it. Here's Part I:

pandemonium.hypotheses.org/995

🧪 #covidorigin

2 weeks ago 175 88 5 14
RealClimate: Spencer’s Shenanigans: Part II RealClimate: We previously highlighted Roy Spencer's poor practices in comparing models with observations, but we've now dug down a little deeper, and it's not pretty. A few weeks ago, the email excha...

Another lesson on how not to compare models with observations.

www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...

2 weeks ago 25 10 2 2
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Everyone but Trump Understands What He’s Done Allied leaders know that any positive gesture they make will count for nothing.

Trump has insulted and tariffed his European allies, persuaded Denmark to prepare for a US invasion and, by pressuring Ukraine and not Russia, encouraged Putin to keep fighting. All of which he has forgotten.
www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/0...

2 weeks ago 4205 1443 141 114

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This is one of the most fascinating and under-appreciated figures of the recent IPCC AR6 report (Figure 6.16). It shows the effects of a single year of emissions after 10 and 100 years, and really illustrates the difference between stock and flow pollutants: www.ipcc.ch/report/a...

3 weeks ago 127 57 4 2
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Cuts to UK Astronomy? It’s all about the base(line). Responding to questions from the House of Commons Science, Innovation and Technology Committee, Lord Patrick Vallance (Science Minister) and Sir… ... Cuts to UK Astronomy? It’s all about the base(line). Responding to questions from the House of Commons Science, Innovation and Technology Committee, Lord Patrick Vallance (Science Minister) and Sir I...

Cuts to UK Astronomy? It's all about the base(line).

A short post on LinkedIn highlighting that the effective cuts to UK Astronomy funding are not some far off possibility - they have already started.

www.linkedin.com/posts/profji...

3 weeks ago 29 13 2 2
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Introducing Climate Trunk A visual guide to making sense of climate and energy. Climate Trunk launches on 22 April.

It launches 22 April and I can't wait.

For more, I introduce it here: www.linkedin.com/pulse/introd...

If it sounds useful, you can sign up: climatetrunk.com

Inspired by @katharinehayhoe.com @hausfath.bsky.social
@drkatemarvel.bsky.social @carbonbrief.org @ketanjoshi.co @ourworldindata.org ++++

2 weeks ago 3 1 1 0
Climate Trunk project by John Lang

Climate Trunk project by John Lang

Climate and energy are hard to get your head around, unless you're in the climate Bluesky community.

Over the last year, I’ve been building something to help everyone else: @climatetrunk.bsky.social 🌳

One visual a week, for a year. Probably two years now, given I've already drafted more than 52.

2 weeks ago 10 7 1 0
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Using a 20-year period for comparing methane to CO2 is a terrible idea Short-term thinking makes for bad climate policy

Informative post on The Climate Brink by Zeke Zeke Hausfather on the differences between CO2 and CH4 in warming the climate and the scourge of GWPs and CO2e in evaluating climate policy.

3 weeks ago 39 17 3 1

As I think someone on the Select committee pointed out, the amount isn't even all that large. The total UKRI budget this year is something like £9B. If their intention really wasn't to significantly damage the PPAN research community, they could clearly do something.

3 weeks ago 2 0 0 0

Haven't you worked out yet that it's ALWAYS the scientists' fault!

3 weeks ago 3 0 0 0

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3 weeks ago 13 1 0 0
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Miscellanea: The War in Iran This post is a set of my observations on the current war in Iran and my thoughts on the broader strategic implications. I am not, of course, an expert on the region nor do I have access to any spec…

Well, I am not sure what my analysis here is worth, but here is my 7,500 word primal scream of a military historian's take on the War in Iran.

My best summary: this war is dumb as hell.

acoup.blog/2026/03/25/m...

3 weeks ago 1591 519 70 115

If you really feel that "it is not right that other Councils (and disciplinary areas), EPSRC most notably, are called upon to make cuts towards the end of the financial year to meet overruns from STFC." then ponder the impact on EPSRC if STFC balanced its books by cutting funding to DIAMOND or ISIS.

4 weeks ago 12 2 0 0
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A Kerfuffle … UK research funding (and in defence of Sir Ian Chapman)

Why do people who defend these "cuts" not recognise that a key issue being highlighted is PPAN bearing the brunt of cost overruns in non-PPAN facilities. profserious.substack.com/p/a-kerfuffl...

4 weeks ago 6 0 1 0
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The Carbon Brief Quiz 2026 - Carbon Brief Around 300 scientists, civil servants, journalists and climate experts took part in the 11th annual Carbon Brief quiz on Wednesday 18 March 2026.

www.carbonbrief.org/the-carbon-b...

1 month ago 3 0 0 0
Screenshot of the Skeptical Science Team participating in this year's Carbon Brief Quiz: Doug, Bob, Gavin, Jim, Ken, Dana & Bärbel

Screenshot of the Skeptical Science Team participating in this year's Carbon Brief Quiz: Doug, Bob, Gavin, Jim, Ken, Dana & Bärbel

Our team is having fun at the #CBQuiz 2026 organized by @carbonbrief.org! And the questions are tricky yet again - to nobody's surprise, of course!
@kenrice.bsky.social @baerbelw.bsky.social @jim-hunt.bsky.social @dananuccitelli.bsky.social

1 month ago 22 5 1 0
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Hopeful news about the STFC Crisis I've just got time this evening to pass on news that the Chair of the Parliamentary Select Committee looking at he current STFC debacle (see this account), Chi Onwurah, has responded to the events in extremely frank terms. Here is an excerpt: The full response - which is definitely well worth reading - can be found here: documents…

Hopeful news about the STFC Crisis

I've just got time this evening to pass on news that the Chair of the Parliamentary Select Committee looking at he current STFC debacle (see this account), Chi Onwurah, has responded to the events in extremely frank terms. Here is an excerpt: The full response -…

1 month ago 19 8 1 0