I spoke with @alexjn.bsky.social @motherjones.com about the Trump admin's "casual relationship with truth." Maybe I need to learn to be more discrete?? 🤔
www.motherjones.com/politics/202...
Posts by Jeff Colgan
Very helpful explainer by the great @javierblas.bsky.social about the surprisingly tricky concept of "the price of oil" 🛢️
This might not have started as an oil war but it sure looks like one now 🛢️
By this I mean that the Iranians have realized that if Trump can make outlandish market-moving claims with no evidence, they can too. And given how savvy they are about evading sanctions, it would not surprise me if some regime insiders aren't getting in on the insider trading action.
😳
a phrase that has been coming to mind a lot lately: reality always bats last
This might not have started as an oil war but it sure looks like one now 🛢️
#Petro-Aggression
www.ft.com/content/0f41... US oil bosses warn Donald Trump to block Iran’s Strait of Hormuz toll
Congrats Josh!
Donald Trump continues to deliver as the greatest 🇨🇦 Liberal since Wilfrid Laurier
The impact of the Iran War on Americans' extra fuel costs - from gasoline and diesel alone - is now over $20 billion. That's more than what 4 years of US aid to Africa under PEPFAR cost. Different choices are possible.
iranwarcost.watson.brown.edu
Coming soon to a legislature near you
iranwarcost.watson.brown.edu
😳
"The Chinese ambassador to the country, Hua Xin, was quick to make the energy-security argument.
“The sun cannot be blocked,” he said on social media."
www.wsj.com/business/ene...
I talked to @grist.org about how diesel fuel prices are quietly costing the USA billions, thanks to its war on Iran. Based on our new Iran War Energy Cost Tracker at
iranwarcost.watson.brown.edu
grist.org/business/the...
Sen Foreign Relations Committee - Dems tweet about the extra cost of gasoline and diesel due to the war in Iran
Nice to see the U.S. Senate Foreign Relations Committee already using the Iran War Energy Cost Tracker @climatesollab.bsky.social @watsonschoolbrown.bsky.social
iranwarcost.watson.brown.edu
"Putting any industry above the law — especially one responsible for creating many of the greenhouse gas emissions that have helped fuel climate-related destruction of homes, businesses and whole communities — would be beyond dangerous." - Dave Jones www.nytimes.com/2026/04/13/o...
Closing in on $19 billion today. Both Iran and USA choking Hormuz? Probably not good. 🛢️
Curious what others think but my sense is that the core issue of negotiation is what toll ($/ship) Iran will be able to charge for Hormuz without getting bombed. The other issues on the table are non-starters for one side or the other (or, like frozen assets, relatively low stakes). Thoughts?
Absolutely vile: Trump just said on Fox that the threat to obliterate Iranian civilization was a good thing, because "it brought them to the table."
We have to take this on frontally and directly. It's a lie, and the underlying idea it's premised on is even worse:
newrepublic.com/article/2087...
Oh yeah? YEAH? Well, well, if our allies can't have oil, then neither can yours! 🛢️
www.nytimes.com/live/2026/04...
I was surprised to get the last word in this piece.
The topic is crucial.Reflects a lot of reporting on seven states.
But I do find it all fatalistic.
Stand up and fight, people!We need to get more creative and show some determination.Years of work at stake
. www.nytimes.com/2026/04/11/c...
Good thread on Iranian mines. TLDR: Hormuz will be mostly closed for months.
Implication: the energy & food crisis will get worse. Shut-in oil wells do not come back on like a light switch. Permanent damage.
The Iran war has already cost American households $17 billion at the pump. This doesn't count the billions the government has spent fighting the war, which we'll have to pay for eventually as well.
Kudos to Jeff and team! I used this as nudge to plot the EU trend.
Took data from the DG-Energy EU Weekly Oil Bulletin (weekly national average retail prices for gasoline for EU27+UK from 2010s), followed the counterfactual logic w/ Oil Bulletin data itself (no free spot data!) and voila.
Painful.
Exclusive: The Iran war has already cost Americans $17 billion at the pump, draining demand out of the economy and sending prices soaring more than $1.40/gallon in some states, per a new Brown University analysis heatmap.news/energy/iran-...
I spoke with @robinsonmeyer.bsky.social for his great story @heatmap.news this morning about the staggering fuel costs of the Iran war coming directly from US households
heatmap.news/energy/iran-...
New: the Iran war's price increases on just two products, gasoline and diesel, has already cost American households $130 each (on avg), a total of $17 billion -- and it's rising fast.
We have an Iran War Energy Cost Tracker @climatesollab.bsky.social. Check it out:
iranwarcost.watson.brown.edu