« Les choix d’alliance autour du RN pour le second tour des municipales constitueront un indicateur précieux de la solidité du cordon sanitaire » TRIBUNE. Malgré quelques percées, le Rassemblement national ne semble pas en mesure de remporter un grand nombre de municipalités. Mais les enseignements du scrutin ne viennent pas seulement des urnes...

#municipales2026
#danslesmédias
Tribune de @damienbol.bsky.social @cevipof.bsky.social dans @lemonde.fr du jour
www.lemonde.fr/idees/articl...
@scpo-research.bsky.social

Comment en finir avec la démocratie des cheveux gris?

A l'approche des municipales, notre tribune dans @liberation.fr propose 4 leviers pour réduire l'abstention, notamment des jeunes. 👇👇

Focus @caeeco.bsky.social associé: cae-eco.fr/les-absents-...

Avec Jean Beuve et Etienne Fize.

Assistant Professor in Middle East Politics - Durham - Indeed.com Durham University

📢 We are hiring at IMEIS, Durham University

The School of Government and International Affairs is recruiting an Assistant Professor in Middle East Politics (with a focus on the Arab states).

🔗 uk.indeed.com/viewjob?jk=b...

For academic enquiries: Professor Bahar Baser – bahar.baser@durham.ac.uk

Ha ha ha patience pays off

Fantastic work at APSR. At some point we’ll have to collectively acknowledge that Yamil is about as close as academia gets to a rockstar

Conditionally accepted at the APSR (w/ @scottclifford.bsky.social & @patrickpliu.bsky.social):

Why does political information so often change beliefs but NOT attitudes? We highlight the role of belief relevance, or the extent to which beliefs bear on attitudes.

One of my favourite events in the conference season: young scholars sharing their superexciting research with us. Please, do apply and visit us at @kingsqpe.bsky.social

This is spot on

La défiance envers les politiques en France approche un point de non-retour, selon le baromètre Cevipof ANALYSE. A l’issue d’un an et demi d’absence de majorité à l’Assemblée, le sentiment que la démocratie est devenue inefficace se répand, montre la 17ᵉ vague du baromètre de la confiance politique, réa...

#BaromètreConfiance
@luc-rouban.bsky.social @damienbol.bsky.social et Bruno Cautrès proposent leur synthèse des résultats de la vague 17 du Baromètre de la confiance politique CEVIPOF dans @lemonde.fr
Demande de protection et recherche d'une démocratie qui fonctionne.
www.lemonde.fr/politique/ar...

Has someone studied this? It seems eminently feasible!

I wonder whether there is a study estimating the causal effect of grade scales on strategic choice made by students like extra curricular activities

Agree but this ceiling effect only occurs in the final stage of grade inflation. In UK (and other countries like France), there has been grade inflation, but we’re still far from the ceiling. Today, 20% of students get a First (70-80%) but they can still work harder to get a better grade

Yeah but the font is terrible ;)

❗ Help needed ❗ Please take our 5-minute survey about interpreting research graphs 📈 And please help us share this post with lots of people 🤗

Take the survey here: supsy.eu.qualtrics.com/jfe/form/SV_...

Thank you!!

BJPolS abstract of an academic article discussing how democratic institutions prioritize citizen preferences regarding economic and physical security, with a focus on varied democratic features across thirty countries.

NEW -

Elections Without Constraints? The Appeal of Electoral Autocracy Across the World - https://cup.org/49auQPf

- @anjaneundorf.bsky.social, @sirianned.bsky.social, Kristian Vrede Skaaning Frederiksen & @aykutozturk.bsky.social

#OpenAccess

Why do citizens who say they support democracy tolerate leaders who dismantle it? Delighted to share my paper “Framing Democracy: How Elite Discourse Shapes Citizens' Understandings of Democracy and Enables Backsliding” is forthcoming in World Politics...(1/5, link at the end)

Not exactly a Xmas merrymaking post, but I wrote something on the changing environment for international academics in the Netherlands and how it has changed over the last 10 years: open.substack.com/pub/alexandr...

🌟 PHD FELLOWSHIP ALERT! 🌟

I’m hiring 1 PhD fellow for my ERC project ECONENGAGE (@ Gothenburg 🇸🇪)! Starting 09/26! Great PhD community + int'l & supportive environment + FUN city. 💰for conferences + workshops! Lots of mentoring & career development opportunities! Deadline Jan 29th. Please apply!

🚨 Postdoc in Comparative Politics/Public Opinion (2 years)

We’re hiring a 100% Postdoc at the University of Greifswald.

✨ What makes this job special: Two full years to focus on research (no teaching, no admin overload) embedded into an International Research Training Group

📣📣📣 GREAT, time-sensitive opportunity for senior/mid-career scholars to join us in Madrid at UC3M´s social sciences department (UC3M-ATRAE Program 2026) on an attractive pay+research funds package 📣📣📣

This does NOT happen everyday.

THREAD below if this is of interest 1/n

Super thread. Pour ceux qui veulent une quantification du vote pour les élections de 2024, on a écrit un papier là dessus pour les RFSP avec @jfdaoust.bsky.social shs.cairn.info/revue-revue-...

Freeze Corleone 667 - Freeze Raël YouTube video by Mangemort Squad

Oui La Rage, probablement dans le top. Dans les trucs récents, probablement ceci malgré tout youtu.be/oJ5PfRQB93o?...

X Men - Retour Aux Pyramides YouTube video by FULL CLIP

It has to be French. This is often considered as the best 90s’ rap song in France youtu.be/s8mGJbvfw24?...

This paper is personal. I wrote it on my own (no RA, no fund), and it grew out of my own experience as a teenager in Belgium in the 1990s. I also had the chance to cite my PhD supervisor, André-Paul Frognier, who isn’t in great health and was truly pivotal for me and my career.

End/

Implications:
- Elections do more than picking a winner, they make citizens.

- A reason why the youth is not be super on board with democracy is because they haven't had a chance to experience it fully yet.

- Some governmental instability can be good to renew democratic mood.

6/

Coefficient estimates of regressions estimating the effect of the number of turnovers to which one has been exposed over their lifetime, depending on type of political institutions.

The effect is as strong in presidential, parliamentary, proportional and non-proportional countries. But it's stronger in liberal democracies.

It's also stronger for those who have never experienced anything else than democracy, that is, those who might take democracy for granted.

5/

Coefficient estimates of regressions estimating the effect of the number of turnovers to which one has been exposed over their lifetime, and the number of elections not leading to a turnover, on their support for democracy.

Finding: Cohort analysis shows that being exposed to an extra elections increases support for democracy, but being exposed to an election leading to a turnover even more so.

The effect doesn't fade away and is particularly strong after a long period of incumbency (like after 20 years)

4/

Histogram showing number of elections and turnovers experienced by survey respondents in the dataset.

Data: I merged a range of international survey data (N=350,000) and trace the elections to which respondents have been exposed in their country since they were young. Descriptive statistics are interesting I guess

3/

The argument: I test whether elections experienced by people over their lifetime can boost their support for democracy in the long run. And crucially: elections leading to government turnovers, because they showcase what democracy is about.

2/

Title and abstract of the accepted paper.

Over the moon 😍. My paper "Renewing Democracy:
How Exposure to Electoral Turnovers Reinforces Citizens’ Democratic Support" is accepted in World Politics. LINK: osf.io/preprints/os....

First paper fully conceived since my second child was born 4 years ago. For those who know, big milestone.

🧵
1/