I’m economically Bayesian but socially frequentist
Posts by André Castro Bilbrough
Ok so hear me out. Now that Gold Standard Science is becoming institutionalized with a second EO, here's our opportunity to set alpha to 1 for each and everything hypothesis test. Guaranteed 100% reproducibility, communicates uncertainty, falsifies every null hypothesis. Embodies the Gold Standard!
A bbc Instagram post picturing a very old man drinking custard from a Bird’s Custard jug with the caption “That's my secret to a long life: custard, custard, custard... You can't beat it. I have it every day and I want it every day. Leslie Lemon 106 years old”
This could fully pass for something on Clickhole, but it’s real, and I love it. Even down to his name.
No one can stop you from rating the likert scale
Advanced analytics meets public value.
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You. It’s gonna be you
💯The US fascist regime is wilfully destroying science. Europe must resist this and immunise itself against a tide of pseudoscience soon coming its way from the US.
Check out this incredible stack exchange answer by the author of R package MatchIt on why/when matching is preferable to regression for causal inference:
stats.stackexchange.com/questions/54...
in all fairness this is better than philosophy, where you can measure whether a sub field has existed for more than like 6 years by whether it has its own sub field specific debate between views labelled externalism and internalism
equally common is the experience of coming across something and saying, oh yea, my old friend, X, i know how this works, unexpected place to find this.
and then after digging, it turns out to be some completely unrelated thing, which just happens to be also called X for some reason
-- David Hume, A Treatise of Human Nature, 1739
Hangovers are the worst. More as we have it
Same
This is an insightful piece by Tim Bayne. It leads me to reflect on the contrast between Intentionality Dennett and Consciousness Dennett. To me, the ideas often seem like those of two different people... 🧵 (1/6) aeon.co/essays/as-re...
Winnie the Pooh T-shirt/tuxedo meme: T-shirt - "Guessing" Tuxedo - "Priors"
Please consult your doctor if fuzzy estimands persist for more than 24 hours
One thing I find depressing / unintentionally funny about the replication crisis in psychology is there’s all this high-level drama about retractions & fraud, then you look at the original study & it’s like… “Thinking about God made undergrads (N=28) wash their hands 0.8 seconds longer (p=0.04)”.
I wish I was better at statistics.
conference presentations on models.
frequentists: my research problem was x, so i built this model. this was useful because it allowed us to do y.
bayesian: this is my model, he’s a BITCH and i LOVE him. let me tell you the story of how i fixed all the STUPID SHIT he kept trying to do
Lifting to carry so much laundry it strikes fear into the hearts of all the neighbors.
Time for some facts