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Posts by André Castro Bilbrough

I’m economically Bayesian but socially frequentist

6 months ago 24 3 1 1

Ok so hear me out. Now that Gold Standard Science is becoming institutionalized with a second EO, here's our opportunity to set alpha to 1 for each and everything hypothesis test. Guaranteed 100% reproducibility, communicates uncertainty, falsifies every null hypothesis. Embodies the Gold Standard!

8 months ago 27 5 2 1
A bbc Instagram post picturing a very old man drinking custard from a Bird’s Custard jug with the caption “That's my secret to a long life: custard, custard, custard... You can't beat it. I have it every day and I want it every day.
Leslie Lemon
106 years old”

A bbc Instagram post picturing a very old man drinking custard from a Bird’s Custard jug with the caption “That's my secret to a long life: custard, custard, custard... You can't beat it. I have it every day and I want it every day. Leslie Lemon 106 years old”

This could fully pass for something on Clickhole, but it’s real, and I love it. Even down to his name.

9 months ago 3078 484 79 101
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No one can stop you from rating the likert scale

1 year ago 111 23 4 3
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Transforming Hospital Planning with an Open-Source Demand and Capacity Model​ ​​We are proud to announce the open-sourcing of a demand and capacity model, developed with the New Hospitals Programme, to transform NHS hospital planning with transparency, collaboration, and effici...

Advanced analytics meets public value.
Our revolutionary NHP open-source demand model equips NHS analysts and planners with the tools to forecast demand, shift care to communities, and make evidence-driven decisions.
Built in the NHS, for the NHS.

www.strategyunitwm.nhs.uk/news/transfo...

11 months ago 5 5 0 0

You. It’s gonna be you

1 year ago 114 18 4 0

💯The US fascist regime is wilfully destroying science. Europe must resist this and immunise itself against a tide of pseudoscience soon coming its way from the US.

1 year ago 1 1 0 0
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Why do we do matching for causal inference vs regressing on confounders? I'm new to the area of causal inference. From what I understand, one of the main concerns that causal inference tries to address is the effect of confounders! For the sake of reference, let's denot...

Check out this incredible stack exchange answer by the author of R package MatchIt on why/when matching is preferable to regression for causal inference:

stats.stackexchange.com/questions/54...

1 year ago 35 11 2 2

in all fairness this is better than philosophy, where you can measure whether a sub field has existed for more than like 6 years by whether it has its own sub field specific debate between views labelled externalism and internalism

1 year ago 2 0 0 0

equally common is the experience of coming across something and saying, oh yea, my old friend, X, i know how this works, unexpected place to find this.

and then after digging, it turns out to be some completely unrelated thing, which just happens to be also called X for some reason

1 year ago 0 0 1 0

-- David Hume, A Treatise of Human Nature, 1739

1 year ago 17 1 1 0

Hangovers are the worst. More as we have it

1 year ago 37 1 6 0
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Same

1 year ago 102 6 23 2
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‘As real as it ever gets’: Dennett’s conception of the mind | Aeon Essays Often metaphorical and allusive, the philosopher’s work will long be remembered for how it grappled with everyday thought

This is an insightful piece by Tim Bayne. It leads me to reflect on the contrast between Intentionality Dennett and Consciousness Dennett. To me, the ideas often seem like those of two different people... 🧵 (1/6) aeon.co/essays/as-re...

1 year ago 67 20 2 1
Winnie the Pooh T-shirt/tuxedo meme:
T-shirt - "Guessing"
Tuxedo - "Priors"

Winnie the Pooh T-shirt/tuxedo meme: T-shirt - "Guessing" Tuxedo - "Priors"

1 year ago 31 5 2 1

Please consult your doctor if fuzzy estimands persist for more than 24 hours

1 year ago 7 2 0 0
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#EconSky

1 year ago 76 18 1 0
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One thing I find depressing / unintentionally funny about the replication crisis in psychology is there’s all this high-level drama about retractions & fraud, then you look at the original study & it’s like… “Thinking about God made undergrads (N=28) wash their hands 0.8 seconds longer (p=0.04)”.

1 year ago 142 35 4 2

I wish I was better at statistics.

1 year ago 32 2 6 2

conference presentations on models.

frequentists: my research problem was x, so i built this model. this was useful because it allowed us to do y.

bayesian: this is my model, he’s a BITCH and i LOVE him. let me tell you the story of how i fixed all the STUPID SHIT he kept trying to do

1 year ago 7 0 0 0

Lifting to carry so much laundry it strikes fear into the hearts of all the neighbors.

1 year ago 29 3 1 0
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Time for some facts

1 year ago 75 31 5 4