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Posts by Michael Roberts

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Opinion | It Was One of the Cold War’s Greatest Crimes. No One Has Paid a Price.

www.nytimes.com/2026/03/26/o...

3 weeks ago 0 0 0 0

Maybe with higher prices Trump can get them to drill baby drill.

1 month ago 1 0 0 0
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Attack of the Zombie Tariffs A brain is a terrible thing to have eaten

SCOTUS handed Trump an out on tariffs. He doubled down anyway, using Trade Act §122. Problem: §122 is flat-rate—so he loses the ability to shake down firms/countries with carve-outs and punishments. Zombie tariffs, zombie politics, awesome stupidity.

open.substack.com/pub/paulkrug...

1 month ago 2 1 0 0
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The Price of Admission to Epstein’s World: Silence

Soak in the entitlement, the elitism, the open embrace of eugenics. They're so special, aren't they?

www.nytimes.com/2026/02/17/w...

2 months ago 3 2 0 0

While this is only correlative evidence here – ownership is not randomly assigned, has strong geographic patterns and is overwhelmingly dominated by IOUs – I see no reason why we ought to default toward a preference for IOUs. Quite the opposite.

And maybe cooperatives deserve a closer look.

2 months ago 0 0 0 0

High residential rates square with a known IOU profit strategy: attracting price-sensitive large industrial customers via artificially low prices. By shifting the cost burden to residents, utilities expand their rate base and juice profits.

2 months ago 1 0 1 0

What's most striking are the especially high rates for residential customers of IOUs. The other surprise is that cooperatives tend to have the lowest prices in all sectors.

It's surprising b/c cooperative tend to be small and rural, lack economies of scale, and have more line loss

2 months ago 2 0 1 0

This graph comes from EIA data form 826M. It has only reported utility ownership since 2014, but I backdated this using Utility IDs where possible and otherwise inferring ownership by utility name or explicit internet searches where ambiguous. It took some work.

2 months ago 0 0 1 0
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I had no strong prior about this when I dove into energy as a mid-career academic -- all three seem like imperfect solutions. But I've come to perceive a tacit but powerful preference among elite energy economists for IOUs.

Is that preference warranted? Here's some correlative evidence:

2 months ago 2 0 1 0
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What's the best ownership structure for network monopolies like utilities? (a🧵)

The three most, prevalent:

(1) investor owned utilities,regulated by state public utility commissions;

(2) municipalities; and

(3) cooperatives, customer owned and regulated with a lighter touch.

2 months ago 3 0 1 0
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An excellent chart with a depressing message.
H/T @hannahritchie.bsky.social

substackcdn.com/image/fetch/...

3 months ago 3 0 0 0

Oof. The Fed doesn’t control the federal deficit. At all.

Always striking how even very smart, influential people get basic things about science and economics wrong.

3 months ago 2 0 0 0
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Biggest US Power Auction Set to Deepen Affordability Concerns The results due late Wednesday will confirm what PJM Interconnection LLC — the nation’s largest grid operator, serving millions of Americans from Chicago to Washington, DC — will pay power generators ...

finance.yahoo.com/news/biggest...

4 months ago 2 0 0 0

The Obscure Power Sector Dictionary

Capacity market: a way to protect the fossil fuel industry from competition while transferring data center electricity costs to residential and smaller commercial customers.

Energy only market: a fair, efficient, often vilified alternative to capacity markets

4 months ago 1 0 1 0

Let's all agree to use Calibri font for all documents next three years.

4 months ago 1 0 0 0

Proposition:

The quality of research papers is inversely related to the frequency of acronyms.

4 months ago 0 0 0 0
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Why the A.I. Boom Is Unlike the Dot-Com Boom

"The clearest sign that we are not actually in a bubble is the fact that everyone is talking about a bubble.”

I heard this a lot during the .com & real estate bubbles, too.

And the profit model in a highly competitive environment?

🦗🦗🦗🦗🦗🦗🦗🦗🦗🦗🦗🦗🦗🦗🦗🦗🦗🦗🦗🦗🦗

www.nytimes.com/2025/12/09/t...

4 months ago 3 0 0 0
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A *lot* of folks in our communities say they feel like the air is better. Some people reply saying that their feeling is psychosomatic, but I’m not sure that’s the case.

4 months ago 251 25 5 0

Anyone know why this Excess CAPE is so different from mine? For example, it says 1.65% today while mine is 0.59%.

The CAPE is ~40 today and 10-year real rate is 1.91%.
1/40 - 0.0191 =0.0059

🤷

en.macromicro.me/charts/27100...

4 months ago 1 0 0 0
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Here's my reconstruction of the "Excess CAPE yield". It looks low in historical context. Meanwhile, the Shiller CAPE P/E--a better predictor of future returns--is its highest ever except for the peak of the .com bubble.

It doesn't help that POTUS is a corrupt communist extracting rents f/NVIDIA.

4 months ago 2 0 0 1

The WSJ doth try too hard to explain why this isn't a bubble.
Yes, AI may change society and economy a lot.
But it also looks *very* competitive. And likely more competitive in the future. So, hard to see how profits could be that large. Moreover, experts gains will likely be modest going forward.

4 months ago 1 0 1 0

The best Thanksgiving cartoon I’ve ever seen. (Even if that wasn’t the intent)

4 months ago 2 0 0 0

📢 Just accepted in #JAERE 📢 is now posted at @aereorg.bsky.social!
📍 Follow @aereorg.bsky.social to stay updated on all things REEP and JAERE.
#EconSky 📈📉

4 months ago 2 1 0 0
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Opinion | Nobody Should Go to Jail for a Harmless Meme

Scary stuff. But interesting to take stock of how our institutions, including SCOTUS, have failed to live up to founding principles in the past. We corrected course then; hopefully we will this time, too. www.nytimes.com/2025/11/26/o...

4 months ago 2 1 0 0
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"We're pro-affordability, but we're going to raise tariffs on you. We're pro-affordability, but we're going to undermine the Fed, which is going to potentially cause inflation. We're pro-affordability, but... we're going to rip the American health insurance system up."

4 months ago 485 161 16 5
Total population living in extreme poverty by world region, 1990 to 2040
Extreme poverty is defined as living below the International Poverty Line of $3 per day. This data is adjusted for inflation and
differences in living costs between countries. Projections are from the World Bank. From 2026–2030 they are based on
growth forecasts from the World Bank and IMF. From 2031, they are based on observed 2015–2024 growth rates.

Data source: Lakner et al. (2024) (updated using World Bank PIP in September 2025) – Learn more about this data

Note: This data is expressed in international-$ at 2021 prices. It relates to income (measured after taxes and benefits) or to consumption,
per capita.

OurWorldinData.org/poverty | CC BY

https://ourworldindata.org/end-progress-extreme-poverty

Total population living in extreme poverty by world region, 1990 to 2040 Extreme poverty is defined as living below the International Poverty Line of $3 per day. This data is adjusted for inflation and differences in living costs between countries. Projections are from the World Bank. From 2026–2030 they are based on growth forecasts from the World Bank and IMF. From 2031, they are based on observed 2015–2024 growth rates. Data source: Lakner et al. (2024) (updated using World Bank PIP in September 2025) – Learn more about this data Note: This data is expressed in international-$ at 2021 prices. It relates to income (measured after taxes and benefits) or to consumption, per capita. OurWorldinData.org/poverty | CC BY https://ourworldindata.org/end-progress-extreme-poverty

"The end of progress against extreme poverty?"

We have to work so that current trends are not good predictors of the future.

Thanks: @maxroser.bsky.social @ourworldindata.org

ourworldindata.org/end-progress...

4 months ago 16 5 2 0
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DOGE Was a Harbinger of Trump’s Assault on Decency and Privacy Democrats will have to repair the damage

paulkrugman.substack.com/p/doge-was-a...

4 months ago 0 0 0 0

'DOGE’s biggest “achievement” was shutting down the U.S. Agency for International Development. And the dismantling of USAID has left a legacy of death. According to one recent study, closing the agency “has already caused the deaths of six hundred thousand people, two-thirds of them children.” '

4 months ago 2 1 1 0
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Global solar installations surge 64% in first half of 2025 | Ember

Global solar growth is up 64% in the first half of 2025 compared with 2024. Seems like we're at peak emissions in the electricity sector, with new solar+wind > demand growth.

Trumpies will slow it a little in the US, but that hardly matters globally.

ember-energy.org/latest-updat...

4 months ago 4 3 0 0
Two largest causes of death in the US are heart disease and cancer, but the media focuses on homicide and terrorism.

Two largest causes of death in the US are heart disease and cancer, but the media focuses on homicide and terrorism.

Actual causes of death in the US and media coverage of same.

And then we wonder why people have such a skewed understanding of the world.

@ourworldindata.org is a treasure. Thanks, @hannahritchie.bsky.social and colleagues.

ourworldindata.org/does-the-new...

5 months ago 253 122 10 9