NATO leaders are about to meet in The Hague amidst a rapidly changing regional security environment. As new models for cooperation take shape, NATO & EU (&OSCE) roles may shift. New @crisisgroup.org commentary by @lisamusiol.bsky.social, Marta Mucznik, & yours truly unpacks the evolving dynamics.
Posts by Ivan Briscoe
NEW Q&A | U.S. Troops to Los Angeles: A Dangerous Escalation
As residents in Los Angeles protest a crackdown on undocumented migrants, Donald Trump has sent in military personnel. @bcfinucane.bsky.social explains why this order is an ominous sign.
www.crisisgroup.org/united-state...
Mexico's judicial election results are trickling in. So far we know Supreme Court votes. Full results, including all judges, will be tallied only until next week. Noticing two things:
(1) Ruling party, MORENA, is poised to control the Supreme Court with most of the future justices with party ties.
New Q&A from @crisisgroup.org on the implications of the Trump administration's invocation of the Alien Enemies Act to send Venezuelan migrants to a prison in El Salvador.
www.crisisgroup.org/global-unite...
We tracked how fentanyl and cocaine move through a fragmented criminal supply chain, from production to consumption.
Follow our new @crisisgroup.org visual explainer on how this trafficking happens, fueling violence across the length of the supply chain. 👇
www.crisisgroup.org/visual-expla...
"Labour Together said it hopes to channel “[Javier] Milei’s energy but with a radical centre-left purpose” with project chainsaw".
Curious turn-up for a president who calls socialism "a disease of the soul"
www.theguardian.com/politics/202...
The art of deal making is not exclusive to one person!
President Claudia Sheinbaum of 🇲🇽💫👍🏽💪🏽
www.nytimes.com/2025/03/06/u...
Russia launched its full-scale invasion of Ukraine three years ago today. In this short @crisisgroup.org explainer video, I talk about what the war has meant for European security, & how it is now complicated by the Trump presidency 1/2
www.youtube.com/watch?v=1lrH...
My latest in @justsecurity.org, examining the legal and policy implications of possible US military action in Mexico.
www.justsecurity.org/107850/us-mi...
5 large tents and several smaller ones on an empty lot.
Aerial view of the tent facility that #Mexico's government has set up in anticipation of mass deportations to Ciudad Juárez, across from El Paso. From *Border Report*: www.borderreport.com/immigration/...
Is the Trump administration searching for an “easy” war to give the American man a sense of purpose?
Fascinating convo btw James Pogue and @ezrakleinbot.bsky.social: www.nytimes.com/2025/01/28/o...
Befuddled analysts seeking guidance as to the historical geopolitics of the Panama Canal & the rise of Monroe Doctrine 4.0: here are a few highly recommended core texts.
NEW STATEMENT | Priorities after Assad’s Fall
At last, Syria is free of the despised Assad regime. The long-suffering Syrian people deserve respite and a chance to rebuild the country on their own terms, with help not interference from outside.
www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...
Supporters of former Bolivian President Evo Morales block a road linking Cochabamba with La Paz, near the village of Khora, 20 km from Cochabamba, Bolivia, on October 28, 2024. Former Bolivian president Evo Morales is being investigated for rape, human trafficking and human smuggling over his alleged sexual relationship with a 15-year-old member of his political youth guard in 2015. Supporters of Morales have protested by blocking major roads throughout the country for two weeks. Morales said gunmen tried to kill him Sunday in a hail of bullets, an attack he blamed on the current president. AIZAR RALDES / AFP
A standoff between President Luis Arce and former President Evo Morales has plunged Bolivia into turmoil, aggravating economic grievances and fuelling social unrest.
🧵 to explain what’s happening
In case rerunning the Pancho Villa expedition (ie war with Mexican cartels) wasn’t retro enough, there’s also the possibility of a reboot of the crusades.