Former NC Congressman Madison Cawthorn, who is now running for an open Florida congressional seat, says on podcast that 90% of American churchgoers aren't going to heaven. "Only about 10% of people in churches are going to heaven. I genuinely think that." #ncpol
I watched a 79-minute Madison Cawthorn interview so you wouldn’t have to. Here’s what you need to know—> #ncpol
Berger concedes defeat. #ncpol
How Berger can still overturn apparent defeat if he doesn't net two votes in Guilford today:
OPT 1-Get the NCSBE to change its mind and order a full hand recount
OPT 2-Have election protest in Guilford County unearth greater issues
OPT 3-Get court system to block certification
And even after all that, Berger's four election protests, which have been partially met with cold water already in GOP-controlled election boards, cumulatively add up to 13 votes (not the 23 needed to take out Page's lead).
Acute #ncpol readers may have noticed a shift in how I'm discussing the Page-Berger race. I've labeled Page as the "apparent winner." Why? Machine recount changed nothing, Berger still trails Page by 23, and NCSBE doesn't look receptive to Berger's push for a full hand recount.
Former Lt. Gov. Mark Robinson's conversation (NOT INTERVIEW) on Thursday represented less of a personal change or growth story and more of a familiar history of defending himself at all costs. #ncpol
Read more--> www.theassemblync.com/news/politic...
NEWS: Robinson's former campaign manager, Matt Hurley, is behind the Robinson "interview" that's posting tomorrow. He founded Real Truth Media earlier this year, according to Florida Secretary of State filings. That's the site running the Robinson convo. #ncpol
What will the NCSBE do? It has some discretionary authority, but granting this request would leapfrog the process the board has already outlined. Hand recounts are supposed to happen after machine recounts, and the sample of ballots selected is random (not done as selectively as Berger wants) #ncpol
What this race now boils down to: Will the NCSBE grant approval for a hand recount of 217 #SD26 voters who likely chose not to vote in the GOP primary? We'll find out at 10am tomorrow. And if the NCSBE denies Berger's request, will a court step in?
Topline: Berger's in deep math trouble. If you grant all his election protests and assume everyone voted for Page, Berger nets 13 votes. 2024 SupCo recount netted Riggs six votes in Rockingham+Guilford. So recount + protests very unlikely to net Berger 23.
www.theassemblync.com/news/politic...
Senate leader Phil Berger has filed three election protests, per campaign. They should be posting shortly to NCSBE site here--> dl.ncsbe.gov?prefix=Legal...
The NCSBE will meet at 10 a.m. tomorrow to discuss the Berger recount request and whether to exercise discretion to do a partial hand recount to review the 220 ballots Berger is requesting. Adoption of permanent rules for noncitizen list maintenance is also on the agenda. #ncpol
Of NC's 100 counties, there was only one county in 2024 SupCo race where a machine recount produced a net swing of more than 23 votes: Randolph County. This stemmed from a miscounting of absentee ballots on Election Night. #ncpol
How might a machine recount pan out? For perspective, in the 2024 NC SupCo general election race (much higher turnout), Guilford County saw a 5-vote swing in favor of Riggs over Griffin. Rockingham Co. saw a 1-vote swing in favor of Riggs. Berger presently trails by 23. #ncpol
But broadly speaking, an overvote is generally when a voter circles both candidates' names and an undervote is when someone doesn't vote in the race at all. #ncpol
In his recount request, Berger raised concerns over 220 ballots, including 3 "overvotes" and 217 "undervotes." The deadline for an election protest is 5pm today.
When asked for clarity on what wrongdoing Berger was alleging, campaign deferred back to letter and the NCSBE. #ncpol
#BREAKING: Senate leader Phil Berger has just requested a recount through the State Board of Elections. Story coming shortly. #ncpol
In NC’s most consequential primary, GOP challenger Sam Page likely has more votes than Senate leader Phil Berger at this time. Berger will need a strong turnout on Election Day, especially in Guilford County, to make up the difference. #ncpol
andersonalerts.substack.com/p/phil-berge...
Republicans are looking to win the 1st Congressional District seat for the first time since 1883. Three top contenders have emerged in a primary that’s gotten personal. Hanig, Buck and Buckhout discuss private conversations they had in December. #ncpol
www.theassemblync.com/news/politic...
Let's be clear: Whatever fringe legal argument or extrapolation one tries to make, the math is clear: Michele Morrow lost the 2024 general election. #ncpol
This year’s list was so long we had to break it up into two parts. So for the true #ncpol nerds, here’s Part 2 on Races 11 to 26—> www.theassemblync.com/news/politic...
PRIMARY POWER RANKINGS: My list and explanations for the top 26 primaries to watch in North Carolina this year—> #ncpol
www.theassemblync.com/news/politic...
More than 70,000 North Carolinians remain on the state’s Registration Repair list. How that could impact their ability to vote in the 2026 midterms—> #ncpol
www.theassemblync.com/news/politic...
Went on @wfae.bsky.social this morning to highlight the NCDP's decision to withhold party resources from four Democratic legislative candidates. What remains to be seen: the impact it'll have in the primaries. #ncpol
www.wfae.org/politics/202...
So many tidbits to be proud of in this one: #ncpol
On the naughty list: Reps. Carla Cunningham, Nasif Majeed, Shelly Willingham & ex-Rep. Michael Wray.
On the warning list: Rep. Dante Pittman
On the safe list: Rep. Garland Pierce and Charles Smith, Sen. Paul Lowe, former state Rep. James Gailliard & former state Sen. Don Davis.
JUST IN: The North Carolina Democratic Party won't share its voter-turnout tools with four state legislative candidates who have a history of overriding gubernatorial vetoes. #ncpol
READ MORE--> www.theassemblync.com/news/politic...
Will Trump pardon Greg Lindberg? The White House is keeping its cards close to chest. But one notable development has occurred: Lindberg has lobbyist Ches McDowell working on his behalf. McDowell is the brother of Congressman Addison McDowell and a hunting buddy of Don Jr. #ncpol
