A Middle Powers Club Would Make the World More Dangerous Mark Carney’s tour of the Indo-Pacific this week is a rousing show of defiance, but it may have unintended effects.

Mark Carney’s tour of the Indo-Pacific this week is a rousing show of defiance, but it may have unintended effects. foreignpolicy.com/2026/03/03/m...

Tracking Trump’s Trade Deals | Council on Foreign Relations The president has set out to rewrite the rules of trade, one deal at a time.

Check out our updated tracker:

-What the IEEPA tariffs going away means for the deals
-Indonesia framework
-Beef quota implementation for Argentina

www.cfr.org/articles/tra...

tapping the sign

Tracking Trump’s Trade Deals | Council on Foreign Relations The president has set out to rewrite the rules of trade, one deal at a time.

“All the deals”— 18 in total— check them out here:

www.cfr.org/articles/tra...

Trump Pegs New Tariffs to a Payments Crisis That Experts Doubt Exists With his move to impose new global tariffs, US President Donald Trump isn’t just trying to repair a trade policy dismantled by a Supreme Court rebuke. He’s also declaring the world’s largest economy i...

We should be talking more about the fact the president of the world’s largest economy just declared it’s facing a payments crisis.

Once, that would have caused turmoil in financial markets. Now it’s just another reason for tariffs.

My latest for @bloomberg.com:

www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

Thank you, Richard. The president will discover what Americans think in November.

Depressingly comprehensive look at his post-SCOTUS options. But:
“…a plurality of Americans think that the president should not be allowed to impose tariffs without congressional approval, and support some guardrails on the president’s tariff authority.”

How Trump’s Tariffs Could Survive the Supreme Court Ruling | Council on Foreign Relations The Supreme Court has ruled against Trump’s use of tariffs, but the president has other methods and authorities available to him that could keep his trade agenda alive.

The Supreme Court ruled that Trump’s IEEPA tariffs are unconstitutional. The president was quick to respond. Here’s what that means:

www.cfr.org/articles/how...

What Americans Really Think About Trade and Tariffs | Council on Foreign Relations Trade is seen as mutually beneficial, but Americans’ views on tariffs are largely shaped by partisanship.

Out today--> CFR-Morning Consult survey on what Americans really think about trade and tariffs:

-Americans understand what tariffs are, and their costs
-They prefer cooperation over confrontation
-They support some guardrails on executive tariff action

www.cfr.org/articles/wha...

👨‍🎓Alex Kiwara Irungu had little experience in international trade law when he entered the John H. Jackson Moot Court Competition. What helped him level the playing field?

The free trade law e-casebook.

Read Alex’s account and learn how the trade law e-casebook supported his journey (link below).

CFR Poll Shows Americans Across Party Lines Tie Tariffs to Affordability   | Council on Foreign Relations Lowering tariffs could be an effective way for the Trump administration to address voters’ cost-of-living concerns, even if actual price trends reflect a more complex set of drivers.

"American households would feel better about the cost of living if tariffs were lowered as part of the affordability policy agenda," write Rebecca Patterson, Allison J. Smith, and Ishaan Thakker about the findings from a new poll from CFR.

Thank you, Holger!

Now that’s a headline. 🤡

@financialtimes.com
www.ft.com/content/c39d...

Tariffs announced with fanfare and might,
Allies confused—is it left turn or right?
Consequences mount as the prices all soar,
Oops, never mind—let's try something more!

#TradeValentines

Opinion | How a supplier of nuts and bolts could curb Trump’s tariff overreach A new lawsuit reveals how businesses are forced to navigate an opaque and arbitrary system.

"An Illinois supplier of nuts, bolts and screws could be all that keeps President Donald Trump's national security tariffs from escalating into a torrent of government overreach," write Scott Lincicome and CFR expert @inumanak.bsky.social for the Washington Post.

Line graph that shows a blue line of # protests since Trump's 2nd inauguration surpassed, showing these to have exceeded 42k by the end of Jan 2026. A green line counts # of protests during the same time period in Trump's first term and just exceeds 10k.

Overall, we have tallied 4x more protests through Jan 31, 2026 than we had through Jan 31, 2018

Opinion | How a supplier of nuts and bolts could curb Trump’s tariff overreach A new lawsuit reveals how businesses are forced to navigate an opaque and arbitrary system.

A new lawsuit reveals how businesses are forced to navigate an opaque and arbitrary system, Scott Lincicome and @inumanak.bsky.social write.

Opinion | Trump’s ‘national security’ tariffs are a big government mess A new lawsuit reveals how businesses are forced to navigate an opaque and arbitrary system.

I'm also in @postopinions.bsky.social today with
@inumanak.bsky.social, talking about Trump's other tariffs - the ever-growing "national security" ones - and how a new lawsuit shows they've morphed into a costly bureaucratic nightmare for US companies: wapo.st/3MjucaH (🎁)

Opinion | Trump’s ‘national security’ tariffs are a big government mess A new lawsuit reveals how businesses are forced to navigate an opaque and arbitrary system.

In Trump’s first term, @scottlincicome.bsky.social and I detailed the many ways Section 232 was being used and abused. It hasn’t stopped.

With a new case pending, it’s another reminder that this law needs serious reform.
www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...

Tracking Trump’s Trade Deals | Council on Foreign Relations The president has set out to rewrite the rules of trade, one deal at a time.

Another update to our trade deal tracker this afternoon to account for the unannounced rollbacks of India's commitments (see update under status for India):
www.cfr.org/articles/tra...

Trump’s Tariffs Are an Unconstitutional Power Grab | Council on Foreign Relations Declaring a national emergency to exact concessions is a ploy to seize authority. Originally published at Foreign Policy

Around this time last year, I explained why the use of IEEPA was an attempt by the president to expand executive authority on trade. Today, Congress reminded him of Art. 1, Sec. 8.

The tariffs won't go away, but at least we know who supports them.

www.cfr.org/articles/tru...

Is Immigration Good for Health? The Effect of Immigration on Older Adult Mortality in the United States Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...

The home healthcare workforce is disproportionately comprised of immigrants, and it's certainly not because they take jobs US-born folks want. As a result, "a 25% increase in the steady state flow of immigrants to the US would result in 5,000 fewer deaths nationwide."

"The failed vote comes as House Democrats are preparing to force a vote to terminate Trump’s use of emergency powers to impose tariffs on Canada."

Tracking Trump's Trade Deals | Council on Foreign Relations The president has set out to rewrite the rules of trade, one deal at a time.

President Donald Trump has set out to rewrite the rules of trade one deal at a time, say economic expert @inumanak.bsky.social and Allison Smith.

Explore CFR's new tracker, which breaks down the content of the deals to date:

Tracking Trump's Trade Deals | Council on Foreign Relations The president has set out to rewrite the rules of trade, one deal at a time.

Trump’s flurry of trade deals — 15 and counting — reflect his ambition to rewrite the rules of global trade. A new @cfr.org tracker by @inumanak.bsky.social and Allison Smith breaks down what's in each of the trade agreements. Check it out here. on.cfr.org/4qfOKyv

Tracking Trump's Trade Deals | Council on Foreign Relations The president has set out to rewrite the rules of trade, one deal at a time.

Want to know what's in all of Trump's trade deals? We combed through all of them, so you don't have to. Our tracker will be updated as more texts are released.

Check it out here on @cfr.org:

www.cfr.org/articles/tra...

Completely agree, and I don't think there's any chance he will change his approach. Whoever comes next will need to contend with the broken state of U.S. partnerships and alliances he leaves behind. I do worry that it may be impossible to rebuild some of those.

This is true for trade and for many other issues. One of the few consistent things about Trump is that he doesn’t see himself as bound by the deals he makes.

He is fundamentally untrustworthy, everyone knows it, and he is our most important representative to the world.

The Global Trading System Faces a Historic Change | Council on Foreign Relations While U.S. trade policy has disrupted global trade, it presents an opportunity for the rest of the world to regroup and reform the architecture of the rules-based trade system to meet modern challenge...

And as I wrote more recently:

"U.S. trading partners should not be convinced that any deals they reach with Trump will end the chaos."

www.cfr.org/articles/glo...

Back in July, I stated that Trump's tariff threats undermined the value of signing a trade "deal" with the United States. Events keep confirming this observation.