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Posts by Ken Schultz

I don’t know of any. Usually the expected value of information is positive (or non-zero). But maybe you could come up with a situation where refusing to receive a message signals resolve.

1 day ago 1 0 0 0
On the left , lighted trees. On the right, several pavilions glow gold. All reflected in water.

On the left , lighted trees. On the right, several pavilions glow gold. All reflected in water.

This place is crazy spectacular at night.

1 day ago 8 1 0 0
An island of colorfully lit trees with its reflection in the water.

An island of colorfully lit trees with its reflection in the water.

Wolji pond in Gyeongju, South Korea

1 day ago 8 0 1 0

Yes, particularly since nothing Yale does individually will move trust as measured in polls. If that becomes the yardstick, they are setting themselves up for failure.

2 days ago 0 0 0 0

Although I think the Yale report raises some important issues, my main take away was disappointment that a university would provide such a shallow and empirically unsound analysis.

2 days ago 59 8 1 1
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Confidence in Institutions Now I am going to read you a list of institutions in American society. Please tell me how much confidence you, yourself, have in each one -- a great deal, quite a lot, some, or very little?

There’s also a broader context here of declining trust in ALL institutions. Glancing at the data here, higher education is doing better than most.

news.gallup.com/poll/1597/co...

4 days ago 19 0 0 2
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Bet there isn’t an immersive VR experience on the north side of the DMZ. Capitalism ftw

5 days ago 8 1 1 0

Yep. Talk and conference at Korea University.

6 days ago 1 0 0 0

Talk and conference at Korea University. DMZ tour planned for tomorrow!

6 days ago 2 0 1 0
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The crazy route my flight just took from Warsaw to Seoul.

6 days ago 12 0 3 0

A small park in Zurich

1 week ago 1 0 1 0
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Israel is losing America’s youth | INSS A Pew Research Center survey conducted at the end of March and published last week indicates that a majority of the American public—including Republicans under the age of 50—view Israel unfavorably or...

Remember the @pewresearch.org data on the decline in Israel's standing in the US published last week? We asked them for the crosstabs which they graciously shared with us, and we're publishing for the 1st time.

Bottom line: total collapse of Israel's standing among young Americans across the board.

1 week ago 672 252 20 52
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The Hungarian parliament building, soon under new management.

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The lake glows gold as sun beams break through clouds. The are mountains all around and a town on green rolling hills below.

The lake glows gold as sun beams break through clouds. The are mountains all around and a town on green rolling hills below.

Magical view of Lake Lucerne from Stoos 📷

1 week ago 5 1 0 0
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Cat statue wishing it were a real cat.

1 week ago 11 0 1 0

I hope they patched the places that weren’t hit!

1 week ago 1 0 0 0
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The strong do what they will. The weak try to bullshit their way out of it.

1 week ago 5 0 1 0

Real fall of the Roman empire vibes here

1 week ago 10 1 0 0
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Trump Quietly Scraps His Own Playbook on China The White House walks back the aggressive approach of the first administration, in a dramatic reversal.

Competition between the United States and China is a defining feature of contemporary international politics, but not of US foreign policy.

www.wsj.com/world/china/...

1 week ago 2 0 0 0
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I knew it was bad but really didn’t appreciate it was quite this bad

as.ft.com/r/db911dd6-f...

1 week ago 6831 2520 229 209

Oh, I get that. I still think there is value to maintaining US de jure membership in NATO, even if Trump leaves de facto. If the law prevents Trump from formal withdrawal or allows the next president to declare such a withdrawal null, then it is helpful on the margin.

1 week ago 3 0 0 0

That seems right while Trump is in power, but when he leaves the scene, don't you think there is a better chance of resuscitating NATO if he only leaves de facto, not de jure?

1 week ago 3 0 1 0
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What’s killing NATO isn’t the European refusals to access to US bases, but Trump’s unilateral decision to redefining NATO as a US force-projection tool rather than a collective defense arrangement.

That’s the constitutional coup against the alliance.

Europe didn’t break NATO, Trump did.

1 week ago 341 155 7 4

Instead of criticizing young people for protesting too much or too little or for being wrong or for being right for the wrong reason or before it was popular, older generations should be apologizing profusely for the world we’re bequeathing them and working our butts off to make it better.

1 week ago 16 2 0 0

I can’t believe this needs to be said: Trump’s genocidal threat *weakened* his bargaining position. It boxed him into a corner from which he desperately needed to find a way out, thus ushering in the what’s probably the least favorable “cease fire” deal in U.S. history.

1 week ago 247 61 7 3

The unifying theme here is an aversion to learning.

1 week ago 1 0 1 0
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New Deadline Looms for U.S. and Iran as Truce Wavers

1600 words on US decision making in the aftermath of the ceasefire and not one of them is "Rubio"

www.nytimes.com/2026/04/08/u...

1 week ago 4 0 0 0
The influential talk radio host Mark Levin, who has Mr. Trump’s ear, has been highly critical of the cease-fire. The U.S. official said that Mr. Trump could sour on the agreement if those voices were not offset by prominent war critics like the former Fox News host Tucker Carlson.

Mr. Trump could also be triggered by Iran’s boastful domestic messaging, which is consistent with the kind of posturing routine in Middle East diplomacy, but which might provoke a U.S. president highly attuned to appearances.

The influential talk radio host Mark Levin, who has Mr. Trump’s ear, has been highly critical of the cease-fire. The U.S. official said that Mr. Trump could sour on the agreement if those voices were not offset by prominent war critics like the former Fox News host Tucker Carlson. Mr. Trump could also be triggered by Iran’s boastful domestic messaging, which is consistent with the kind of posturing routine in Middle East diplomacy, but which might provoke a U.S. president highly attuned to appearances.

Can't say I find this characterization of the administration's decision making process very confidence inspiring.

1 week ago 3 0 1 0

Pivot to ecclesia

1 week ago 1 0 0 0

I see we’ve reached the “how many divisions does the pope have”
stage of megalomania. 🙄

1 week ago 5 0 0 1