Its basic message is that security threats do not arrive in neat categories. They overlap, reinforce one another, and target the internal resilience of democratic societies.
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It is broad in scope, detailed in examples, and notably more explicit than many similar annual reports about the operational links between propaganda, intelligence work, cyber activity, sabotage, and social destabilization.
The latest annual review from Estonia’s Internal Security Service, KAPO, is worth reading closely, not just because Estonia sits on the front line of pressure from Russia, but because the report is unusually clear about how modern hostile influence actually works.
NAFO Forum - What Estonia’s latest KAPO report tells us about modern influence operations nafoforum.org/magazine/wha...
The speech is not really about isolated lies online.
It is about the conditions under which democratic judgment takes place, and how those conditions are being deliberately degraded.
not because it says disinformation is bad, which everybody already knows, but because it shows how the European Union is starting to understand the problem in more concrete and strategic terms.
Kaja Kallas’s keynote at the 2026 Conference on Countering Foreign Information Manipulation and Interference is worth reading closely,
NAFO Forum - What Kaja Kallas’s speech tells us about the next phase of information warfare nafoforum.org/magazine/wha...
NAFO Forum - The Kremlin’s Useful Chaos: Troop Watch Data from the 1992-1994 Red Army Withdrawal from the Baltic Countries nafoforum.org/magazine/the...
For years, some of us kept insisting that propaganda and influence operations were not side issues but a real security problem for democratic societies.
Four years into this war, that argument is no longer fringe.
The harder question now is whether our response has matured as fast as the threat.
This creates an invisible and dangerous gap.
On one side sit institutions producing serious, painstaking research about how modern influence works.
On the other side are ordinary citizens living inside its effects without language to recognize them.
Between the two lies silence.
Yet the forces they describe shape political decisions, public moods, and sometimes the path toward conflict itself.
Most people will never read a 300-page government research report.
They will never encounter phrases like “active measures,” “hybrid influence,” or “reflexive control.” These words belong to analysts, not citizens.
A false claim appears online. It spreads quickly.
Journalists debunk it. Platforms remove it. Policymakers promise new safeguards.
Then the cycle repeats, often with a different narrative but the same sense of exhaustion.
Why influence is no longer about content - and why our defenses keep missing the system
For years, public debate about disinformation has followed a familiar pattern.
Yet almost immediately, attention shifted away from what the initiative claimed it would do and toward something more basic: how it was structured, who convened it, and where authority within it appeared to sit.
At this year’s World Economic Forum in Davos, a new structure was unveiled under the name “Board of Peace.”
It arrived with ceremony and with the kind of language that tends to accompany moments of global uncertainty.
The more useful question today is not why a particular story exists, but which operational system keeps producing similar stories, who pays for that system, which infrastructure allows it to function, and where it can be disrupted.
That reflex made sense when misinformation was mostly accidental or marginal. It breaks down in an environment shaped by foreign information manipulation and interference, where falsehoods do not appear randomly but are produced continuously by organised systems.
The machinery behind the message
When a false story appears online, the instinctive reaction is to ask whether it is true and who posted it.
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