Most organisations make their assumptions explicit only under pressure. By then it's too late.
New From → To: 90+ Singapore practitioners used the 10F forecasts to interrogate theirs. Plus a podcast, a signal, and work from the network.
10fconsortium.substack.com/p/closing-th...
Earlier this year, I co-wrote this forecast on the international downward spiral of global migration with the @10fconsortium.bsky.social. Dilley is the heir of a corrupted system and also potentially only the tip of the iceberg.
www.10fconsortium.org/forecast-ind...
The information environment isn’t becoming more legible. It’s fragmenting into tiers — and the tier most organisations, governments, and communities depend on is the one degrading fastest.
10fconsortium.substack.com/p/operating-...
This weekend we’re writing about how information opacity challenges democracies. Subscribe to receive it in your inbox on Sunday. 10fconsortium.substack.com
You can also find our more about our new 10F Local Convening Kit, which allows anyone to pull a few forecasts, and run workshops with their team or organisation independently. Read the issue and download the Kit.
Latest issue of From → To just dropped. This week, we look at howturmoil in the global economy is accelerating a shift toward alternative forms and pathways for money. 10fconsortium.substack.com/p/from-soft-...
The download counter keeps turning on our 10F Forecasts released last month.
Let us know how the Forecasts are landing, which are close to your world, and how you are using them.
www.linkedin.com/posts/10f-co...
This week's Substack newsletter written by Prof Ariella Helfgott covers 10F Consortium's F08: From Energy Hegemony to Power Plurality
open.substack.com/pub/10fconso...
It brings some much needed clarity to the global moment we are in right now.
@eroston.bsky.social @tracyalloway.bsky.social
In the next issue of From → To we dive into F08: From Energy Hegemony to Power Plurality. It feels timely. www.10fconsortium.org/forecast-ind...
Situationships call for situation-ships. cc @10fconsortium.bsky.social
The war-driven energy crunch might not have the same impact if there was a global shift toward renewables, but we're stuck in between two regimes—petrostates and electrostates. This week's newsletter looks at the costs of straddling two systems.
10fteam.substack.com
The idea of a left-right spectrum is outdated, but media persists with it. in F02: From Poltical Spectrum to Ideological Fog, we analyze the shft from stable policy platforms to a shifting grab-bag of positions, and what that means. www.10fconsortium.org/forecast-ind...
www.wsj.com/world/europe...
Europe’s move to decarbonize is fragmenting.
www.ft.com/content/a6be...
F05: From Collective Climate Ambition to Fragmented Adaptation
www.10fconsortium.org/forecast-ind...
10fteam.substack.com/p/the-end-of... by @10fconsortium.bsky.social
Switzerland is voting on whether to constitutionally protect physical cash.
When tangibility becomes a feature, not a limitation — that’s an F09 signal. www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
An explainer about the AREAS Framework and how we use it to map global transformations, avoiding the usual proscribed categories. From @linasrivastava.bsky.social and @10fconsortium.bsky.social
Subscribe today for ongoing analysis and sensemaking.
open.substack.com/pub/10fteam/...
One of the things we wrote about in @10fconsortium.bsky.social is what we call "strategic situationships"— deliberately under-defined partnerships that maintain ambiguity about depth, duration and exclusivity. This ambiguity is not slippage but strategy. Or, this right here:
Kraken just became one of the first crypto firms to gain access to Fed payment infrastructure — the core rails that underpin dollar-denominated settlement.
www.reuters.com/legal/govern...
This is F09 — From Dollar Dominance to Money Unbundled — in real time.
www.10fconsortium.org/forecast-ind...
Our latest From → To is out. This issue focuses on the AREAS Framework 10F developed as a lens to understand positional power in the current global transition. Like the forecasts, AREAS is open access. open.substack.com/pub/10fteam/...
In the current global order, norm busting has become a feature, not a bug.
www.10fconsortium.org/one-game-to-...
F08: From Energy Hegemony to Power Plurality traces the trajectories of the major energy blocs, including the US's petrostate entrechment. www.10fconsortium.org/forecast-ind...
www.ft.com/content/4d25...
This echoes our discussion in F10: From Technology Convergence to Strategic Solidarity: www.10fconsortium.org/forecast-ind...
www.wsj.com/podcasts/wha...
The next issue of From→To is out. Read and subscribe. 🛋️
10fteam.substack.com/p/putting-fo...
I have more news to share: Last year, I joined the @10fconsortium.bsky.social, a collective of foresight practitioners and domain experts from 15 countries.
We've just released a set of open-access forecasts mapping 10 global transformations. Learn more and download here: www.10fconsortium.org
"It's not simply multipolarity replacing unipolarity. Powerful actors are intentionally dissolving the shared frameworks they once upheld — and the dissolution is spreading like contagion."
www.10fconsortium.org/one-game-to-...
Issue 1 of our Substack newsletter just went out. We start by introducing thesis, forecasts, and the AREAS framework. In coming weeks, we’ll explore the forecasts, the network, and our approach from different angles. Come through. open.substack.com/pub/10fteam/...
The first issue of the 10F Substack comes out tomorrow. Add it to your Sunday reading. 10fteam.substack.com
Good foresight isn’t academic; it’s collective imagination—urgent optimism to navigate chaos today. IFTF’s Jake Dunagan joined 20+ experts from around the world to co-create forecasts that map current global fragmentation’s effects the next decade. www.10fconsortium.org @10fconsortium.bsky.social
Tag yourself.
10 Forecasts went live this morning CET. Early access emails in your inbox. Download at 10fconsortium.org