Merry Christmas to all who celebrate!
Thanks to my son for the compact tree.

How to mislead with statistics A (mis)-users guide

A brief (mis)-users guide for anyone who wants to manipulate others and spread dangerous nonsense, even while appealing to numbers from a well-documented, solid dataset like the ONS' age-standardised mortality rates by vaccination status.

open.substack.com/pub/paulmain...

They conveniently omit that ONS clearly noted confounding factors
eg see note 9 in www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopula...

Excellent explanation. To this I will add the strategy of rubbishing the dataset because it doesn’t fit the narrative. eg taking the non-Covid cause of death figures to argue that the entire dataset is wrong because it also shows lower non-Covid death rates among the vaccinated.

I hope kiddo recovers quickly and at least has a glorious tale about how this came about.

What a beautiful gesture
www.jewishnews.co.uk/exclusive-th...

just as well you are differentiated by the “following” sign!

These two don’t know the clocks have gone back and want their dinner now.

This evening my son asked if I thought his glass was half empty or half full. I suggested it depends on being an optimist or a pessimist. He countered with it’s half full if you’re pouring into the glass and half empty if you’re drinking from the glass. So proud! he’s thinking in 1st derivatives!

so who’s the boss in your house - the cat or the dog?

and here is some more fluff

🥳🇿🇦🏉

like you John likes puns too. Given your background, perhaps you two can discuss the law of large numbers?

oops seems I like puns too.

I actually had to look up the difference between insurance and assurance. I mostly use the word insurance but according to Aviva
insurance = limited term life cover
assurance = whole of life cover

now lets get on to reinsurance (Monday morning for me that is)

and not a debate that will end well between sleep-deprived parents!

on the one hand playing dolly-dress up is one of the joys of the baby stage.

on the other hand the simplest babygrow that can be whipped off quickly and left to soak in the stain remover is best in the inevitable poonami situation

Thanks - I made it! nice to see you all here.