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Posts by Marion Messmer

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The ASHRU Fund ASHRU Fund

The Wexner Foundation's spent decades investing in Jewish leaders. What To Do since Julie K. Brown's reporting + now The Files has been a whole (no)thing.

So some of us from the grassroots created a fund for Wex alum + the J community + beyond to support survivors of sexual violence + trafficking:

1 day ago 70 19 2 1

😂

4 days ago 0 0 0 0

Any bets how many of us will actually make it to the NPT RevCon? What are the odds on attending in the first vs fourth week?

4 days ago 1 0 0 0
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KLM schrapt tientallen vluchten binnen Europa vanwege oplopende kerosinekosten De luchtvaartmaatschappij schrapt de komende maand 80 retourvluchten door de oplopende kerosineprijzen.

KLM cancels dozens of flights in response to high jet fuel prices - starting late April.

Today, the last oil tankers which started their journeys before the start of the war reach their destinations.

The world may look rather different in just a couple of weeks.

nos.nl/artikel/2610...

5 days ago 51 28 1 5
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Our evaluation of Claude Mythos Preview’s cyber capabilities | AISI Work We conducted cyber evaluations of Anthropic’s Claude Mythos Preview and found continued improvement in capture-the-flag (CTF) challenges and significant improvement on multi-step cyber-attack simulati...

This paper represents a small but deeply impressive and genuinely important achievement by the much maligned British state in what is probably the most important global issue of our era.

Hear me out ( 🧵) 1/

www.aisi.gov.uk/blog/our-eva...

1 week ago 230 137 4 27

“Fidesz lost power so democratic backsliding isn’t really that much of a thing” is the worst, most complacent take possible. The minimalist definition of democracy as a system in which parties lose elections is a great place to start, but that’s all it is.

1 week ago 509 82 9 7

I don't know if it is still true, but the old literature on the ending of wars found that starting a war and then losing was really bad for a leader's career especially in democracies. If Trump can stay in power, that might just provide a smidge more evidence that the US ain't a democracy.

1 week ago 31 12 1 1

You're welcome! Also, don't think this is still midtown but I love these donuts: maps.app.goo.gl/ygEBW7EWnmY3...

1 week ago 2 0 0 0
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I am in Midtown a lot for work, here are some of my favourite coffee shops:
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10 1000 Coffee maps.app.goo.gl/CJGvSQ3VbX2N...
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1 week ago 2 0 1 0
Still, Alex Wellerstein, a historian who studies nuclear conflicts, said that even if Mr. Trump does not carry out the extent of his threat, the president’s violent rhetoric damages his credibility as a negotiator and his country’s standing in the world.

Still, Alex Wellerstein, a historian who studies nuclear conflicts, said that even if Mr. Trump does not carry out the extent of his threat, the president’s violent rhetoric damages his credibility as a negotiator and his country’s standing in the world.

This is pretty much the mildest thing I said about the current situation... perhaps for the best, though... every time I talk to a reporter I come away feeling totally unhinged, because I'm being asked "normal" questions about totally insane things.

www.nytimes.com/2026/04/07/u...

2 weeks ago 80 23 2 0

It was the US that decided to limit the North Atlantic treaty to *defensive* obligations in *Europe and North America* because we didn't want to be drawn into imperial wars! The reasoning below could just as well be Anthony Eden shouting at Eisenhower in 1956.

2 weeks ago 294 82 4 1
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This is absolutely right, but I suspect another factor explaining Washington's current anger is a failure among people with the knowledge levels and worldview typical of this administration to understand the huge benefits of NATO to the US. So NATO just looks like welfare for an ungrateful Europe.🧵

2 weeks ago 186 61 8 3
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Uranium fever: Why finding Iran’s HEU requires espionage, not remote sensing - Warsight In practice, finding Iran’s stockpile of highly enriched uranium would require the traditional tools of espionage and intercepting communications.

Uranium is actually hard to detect from a distance.

By me. My 4th contribution to @warsight.bsky.social

warsight.com/2026/04/01/u...

2 weeks ago 102 23 1 0
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⏰ Iran Webinar, tomorrow, 10:00 - 11:30 am BST

Join @theeln.bsky.social and @una-uk.bsky.social in a discussion on the implications for global security with Baroness Ashton, @janekinninmont.bsky.social, @olivermeier.bsky.social and @nathalietocci.bsky.social

www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/iran-one-m...

2 weeks ago 3 3 0 0
The Europeans behaved like jackals. Their behavior was a total disgrace. They did everything to egg on the Arabs. They gave us no support when we needed it. They proclaimed loudly that the Russians had double-crossed us in the declaration of principles we had signed6—forgetting that the declaration of principles we had signed followed similar declarations of principles each one of them had signed with the Soviet Union. And none of them seemed prepared to invoke their own declarations of principles. They were ready enough for us to give up détente on the grounds of what had been done to us by the Russians. Nor were they willing to have any joint moves in the United Nations. And when this is over, as it will be in a few days, it is absolutely imperative for us—George and Win—to assess just where we are going in our relationship with the European allies—what exactly it means to talk about the indissolubility of our interests with respect to defense and the total indivisibility of our interests in every other respect that may come up.

The Europeans behaved like jackals. Their behavior was a total disgrace. They did everything to egg on the Arabs. They gave us no support when we needed it. They proclaimed loudly that the Russians had double-crossed us in the declaration of principles we had signed6—forgetting that the declaration of principles we had signed followed similar declarations of principles each one of them had signed with the Soviet Union. And none of them seemed prepared to invoke their own declarations of principles. They were ready enough for us to give up détente on the grounds of what had been done to us by the Russians. Nor were they willing to have any joint moves in the United Nations. And when this is over, as it will be in a few days, it is absolutely imperative for us—George and Win—to assess just where we are going in our relationship with the European allies—what exactly it means to talk about the indissolubility of our interests with respect to defense and the total indivisibility of our interests in every other respect that may come up.

Henry Kissinger during the 1973 Yom Kippur War.

"The Europeans behaved like jackals.... They gave us no support when we needed it.... [we need] to assess... what exactly it means to talk about the indissolubility of our interests with respect to defense." history.state.gov/historicaldo...

2 weeks ago 22 4 4 2

Remember to be wary, as today is the only day of the year that incorrect or misleading information is posted on the internet.

2 weeks ago 338 108 6 1

If Iran doesn't get to go to the World Cup, Italy would be able to take their spot as the highest-ranked, non-qualified team.

So that's some silver lining for Italians to look forward to once the oil rationing and bread lines start.

3 weeks ago 13 4 1 2

Important Point. The FCDO has historians working for them and they have produced excellent work, eg printed collections of important primary source about certain issues. I do hope this work will continue, but worry in a political climate that is
a) anti-intellectual
b) critical of the Civil Service

3 weeks ago 18 8 1 0
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Some of you are asking why this is:
1. More nuclear powers.
2. Fewer controls, domestic or international
3. The collapse of "rigid bipolarity" means the superpowers cannot police friends/allies
4. Fewer conflicts, but more involving states that have not learned the old Cold War "rules of the road"

3 weeks ago 686 116 29 9
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Intern with Lawfare! Lawfare is now accepting Summer 2026 internship applications.

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3 weeks ago 24 11 0 1
Satellite view of a tunnel entrance with a blue truck, several smaller vehicles, and surrounding sandy terrain.

Satellite view of a tunnel entrance with a blue truck, several smaller vehicles, and surrounding sandy terrain.

Here's why I believe Iran could have transferred to Isfahan up to 540 kilograms—possibly all—of its highly-enriched uranium inventory before the June strikes last year. 👇

#Iran #nuclearweapons #uranium #OSINT #nukesky

3 weeks ago 67 36 5 4

In the aid sector, we usually separate humanitarian (short term, immediate needs in war, conflict, disaster), from development (longer term, systemic progress across a range of areas)

For two years now, we’ve been saying there are no pure development contexts anymore. Everywhere is conflict

3 weeks ago 15 8 1 0

just this week:

-- OpenAI killed Sora
-- Disney subsequently cancelled its investment in OpenAI
-- Wikipedia is now banning LLM-generated content

...tell me again how this is all "inevitable" and you have to "get on board or get left behind"?

3 weeks ago 11426 4276 120 90

Aw with the exception of the longing for ham, he looks so happy!

4 weeks ago 3 0 0 0

So, um... this is bad. Really bad. I looked at the letters that were translated by the AI, and the very first one I found was almost entirely hallucination. Thread:

4 weeks ago 3953 2022 38 102
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"The Islamic Republic is not only ready and willing to continue to fight for what it sees as an existential war— but that it is prepared for a longer fight."

Sanam Vakil (@chmenap.bsky.social) on the latest developments in the US-Israeli war on Iran, via BBC News⤵️

4 weeks ago 17 8 1 2
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Reform and Farage are losing support. There are two key r... The party’s polling average has fallen 5 percentage points since August and its leader is no longer the preferred choice for PM. It may be proving harder than Nigel Farage thought to keep two kinds of...

I'm in the Observer today looking at why Reform is doing worse in the polls, despite an almost perfect set of circumstances for them.

observer.co.uk/news/politic...

4 weeks ago 319 58 19 10
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"Our interests in Europe and the UK are the same. Our values in Europe and the UK are the same. We need a UK voice in Europe. We really miss you guys."

President Alexander Stubb of Finland offers his view on Brexit.

Watch the event ➡️ bit.ly/4lGe54k

1 month ago 138 49 5 3
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#NewIllustrationOfTheDay by South Korean illustrator Park Jihee from her wordless picturebook The Polar Bear Day, in the vein of Raymond Briggs’s The Bear, about a child who befriends a polar bear. Made with collage and paint on recycled cardboard. Floris Books 19 March. @florisbooks.bsky.social

1 month ago 40 7 2 2
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Rightwing narrative fuelling false belief UK public oppose net zero, study finds Reform, Tory and some media rhetoric runs contrary to poll showing far more voters for net zero than against it

Reform’s loud opposition to net zero is driven by “the success of populist messages around Brexit plus significant financial backing from the fossil fuel industry and climate sceptics”

Not science. Not national interest. Not public opinion. Just personal greed.
www.theguardian.com/environment/...

1 month ago 1214 507 51 18