Bucks' actual lottery odds factoring in Pelicans/Hawks pick swap:
1 - 0%
2 - 0.5%
3 - 1.1%
4 - 2.1%
5 - 0%
6 - 0%
7 - 0%
8 - 5.4%
9 - 5.6%
10 - 61.7%
11 - 21.5%
12 - 1.7%
13 - <0.1%
14 - <0.1%
As always, all these numbers factor in the swap rights that New Orleans dealt to Atlanta. These are the chances the Bucks will pick at any given spot in June based on May 10th's lottery drawing.
Once again, for those mad they finished ahead of Chicago, here are what their odds would have been (including the NO-DAL tiebreaker) if they cleared the Bulls for 9th. They'd have had a 5.3% chance of a top-4 pick instead of the 3.7% they got finishing 10th.
While New Orleans won a tiebreaker with Dallas for the 7th-best lottery odds, Milwaukee's chance of getting a top-4 pick only rose about half a percent. BUT their chance of drafting before 10th (their lottery position) rose 3.2%. They now have an 11% chance of picking 8th or 9th.
For what it's worth, this is what the Bucks' odds would have been had they finished ninth over the Bulls. Odds of moving into top 4 were still under 6% at best, and a decent chance they'd end up 10th anyway:
The Bucks finished 10th in the lottery odds, but the Pelicans finished tied with the Mavs for 7th. A random tiebreaker will occur to determine who is 7th and who is 8th. Based on those outcomes, here are the chances for the Bucks to pick at any given lottery spot:
I’m positive there will be. I don’t know if I’ve ever seen a two-way conversion that hasn’t had one in the second year.
Unfollowed
Doc just said he believes Giannis hyperextended his knee coming down from his third quarter dunk over Jay Huff.
Doc: Giannis in, Portis in, Turner in, Dieng out
As of right now, here are the true lottery odds for the Bucks (10th in the lotto standings), factoring in Pelicans swap for picks 1–14, plus listed odds in parentheses:
I’ve never seen a ratio like this for an article from such a prestigious source.
With the Mavs' loss tonight, the Pelicans are now a half game behind them for 7th in the lottery standings. If the Bulls win tonight, the now 27-37 Bucks would be a half game ahead of Chicago for 9th.
With the swap factored in, here are the odds of where the Bucks could draft:
Have his players like him and buy into his system
But it did keep happening
@ericbalkman.bsky.social
Really honored to be on Hear District with Bucks legend Marques Johnson and his son Kris this week: youtu.be/lDVZpyUQX5g
I should post this over here too.
Giannis was at a sports collectibles convention on Saturday. Discussing how he had to shorten his autograph because he wanted to have a 15–20 year career. Then, someone shouts: "all in Milwaukee!"
Giannis, with a wink and smile: "all in Milwaukee, baby."
If Milwaukee wants to use their entire $14.1 MLE plus sign Rollins and Sims on new contracts at anything above one-year vet minimums, they'll need to cut payroll. $18.8m in space beneath their hard cap right now: $14.1m plus two vet mins at $2.3m would be just $130k clear of it.
Ahead of free agency beginning on Monday, Bucks big man and unrestricted free agent Bobby Portis was scheduled to speak to media this afternoon in Milwaukee at the USA Fencing Summer Nationals, which start tomorrow at the Baird Center. However, he was a late cancellation.
The Bucks have a $7.2m trade exception this offseason, so they can acquire someone making up to that much without sending out a player in return. Here's how that works, plus some candidates, including an old friend:
www.brewhoop.com/2025/6/26/24...
Is the Democratic Party one of the ones that should be torn down?
You don’t have to merely gently nudge, but you also don’t have to launch full-throated attacks on the Democratic Party and create a discourse that drives more people away from the more helpful politicians in this country. Find a middle ground.
Accountability and criticism can be accomplished while not tearing them down. It’s called constructive criticism.
I never said you have to praise them. You can hold the Dems accountable without being part of a movement that discredits the Dems because they’re not woke enough, and actively harms them like my people did in Michigan.
You brought up perfection, that’s what you expect. You only criticize. You’re only negative. That doesn’t help at anything at all. Lobbing insults at people doesn’t get them to change, it just entrenches them further.
But your criticisms do nothing but harm the reputation of the only major party in this country who is actually on the side of the oppressed.
There you go again, blaming a brown person for how they’re treating other brown people. Same thing you tried to do to me earlier.
Yes because arguing and criticizing someone always gets them to change their mind. Not diplomacy. You fire bullets instead of going to the negotiating table. It’s a warlike mentality.
