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Posts by auonsson

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Swedish Air Force says it intercepted two Russian Tu-22M3 intermediate-range (not “strategic”) bombers over the Baltic today. One photo shows a nuclear-capable Kh-32 air-to-surface missile under the belly of one of the bombers.

15 hours ago 133 52 6 4

which basemap is this?

15 hours ago 5 0 1 0
AIS transponders

Ja, men vet inte säkert hur och i vilket land =)

Vissa länder hotar med höga böter och beslag, vet inte hur det ser ut i SE/DE/LT. Eller om det är Cyperns ansvar kanske (flaggstat).

www.imo.org/en/ourwork/s...

18 hours ago 1 0 1 0

Frånvaron av AIS är bekräftad med olika källor, inklusive offline.

18 hours ago 25 0 1 0

Trots avsaknad av AIS verkar NILS DACKE gå enligt tidtabell, baserat på bolagets egen web-rapportering.

Igår Klaipėda till Trelleborg, idag till Rostock och inatt tillbaka till Trelleborg.

Elektroniskt osynlig genom några av världens tätast trafikerade farleder. Hoppas deras radar funkar iaf.

18 hours ago 38 0 3 0
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TT-Lines färja NILS DACKE är troligen någonstans mellan Trelleborg och Rostock just nu men har inte sänt AIS (lagkrav) sedan 17 april. Så varken vi eller båtar runtom vet.

Bolagets har haft problem med säkerhet, underhåll och arbetsmiljö och en annan TT-Line färja kolliderade nyligen i Trellborg

18 hours ago 50 8 2 0
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False flagged DESERT KITE... Not afraid of the Swedes (so far)

21 hours ago 41 7 3 0
Video

Take a wild guess which data points are natural and which are made in a lab. Again, incomplete data and proof of concept. Aesthetics in progress.

1 day ago 29 1 1 0

Yes, it is complicated and filled with decisions and judgement calls.

1 day ago 2 0 0 0
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#Sparta & General Skobelev #GeneralSkobelev outbound #BalticSea

#Russia #Navy escort nearby?

@spectrecrouton.bsky.social
@mrfrantarelli.bsky.social
@auonsson.bsky.social
@pa.nton.cx

2 days ago 29 8 2 1

no, i am making it. It has no name =)

Shenanigan-detector 3000 TURBO, Baltic edt.

Maybe.

2 days ago 8 0 0 0

The less dangerous and ethical version: if you are lost, find power lines and follow them and you will eventually not be lost.

2 days ago 3 0 1 0
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False flagged DESERT KITE, started transit of the Baltic

2 days ago 62 8 1 0

Well we have quite a few tracks by now of anchor drag incidents (which is my first haystack needle) that could be used.

And I aim for an alert, not a certainty. The certain comes with manual inspection and crossmatching to data from a variety of sources, eg news about issues in media or on sites.

2 days ago 3 0 1 0

Have not decided yet! But system so far works only on behavior. And will be local to me only.

I can filter pretty good for already known qualities/identities on the commercial services.

Handling a public service is too much for me. Follow @pa.nton.cx for those!

2 days ago 3 0 0 0

Just wait til i animate!

2 days ago 11 0 0 0

You are awesome. Keep going.

2 days ago 20 1 0 0
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bsky.app/profile/auon...

2 days ago 46 2 0 0
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evolving.

(incomplete data, no conclusions.)

2 days ago 97 6 7 1

Yes, see elsewhere in thread!

2 days ago 2 0 0 0

If you are sure it is the same machine one can imagine the flight club at some point listed the plane somewhere as a SAR asset, or maybe they sometimes use it like that on a volunteer level?

3 days ago 2 0 1 0

positions, yes, certainly. I am not too sure of the data quality though. From previous projects I know it to be poor.

I will not be making a 'deter SE submarines" tool =)

3 days ago 0 0 1 0

Trend is over, Sweden is safe to shadow tankers again?

Last 24h 4 of 5 Russia-affiliated tankers passed Bornholm to the north, putting them closer to Swedish authorities and for some even inside Swedish territory.

3 days ago 50 1 3 0

This is just a proof of concept and the ferry did not pull a cable. Something else caused them to slow down.

3 days ago 66 0 1 0
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Very pleasing. I have the frame for an automated AIS anomaly detection system.

Now I just need to work out a method to ⏫ true positives and ⏬ false positives. And the negatives too, yes.

3 days ago 138 8 4 0

The video stutter .... (=

3 days ago 1 0 1 0

The pattern of Russia-affiliated tankers avoiding hostile south Baltic Swedish waters have strengthened.

No outbound tankers has passed north of Bornholm since Sat and today inbound tankers started showing the same pattern.

This is brand new behavior, at least since Jan 1 2026.

4 days ago 301 75 8 3

Privatspanare!

3 days ago 1 0 1 0

Except for the stuttering :-] next time!

3 days ago 5 0 2 0

Ah, right. Holy smokes the transparent world we are quickly moving towards.

4 days ago 1 0 1 0