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Posts by Vali Nasr

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Can Saudi Arabia Keep Hedging? The Iran war has altered the Gulf’s balance of power—and the kingdom’s calculus.

In this piece Maria Fantappie and I explain Saudi Arabia's deliberate wait-and-see approach to the war, and how that could lay the foundation for Iran-Saudi relations and a new post-war regional security arrangement www.foreignaffairs.com/middle-east/...

2 hours ago 2 1 0 0
"Gulf of Trust" Between Iran & U.S. as End of Ceasefire Nears, Peace Talks Uncertain
"Gulf of Trust" Between Iran & U.S. as End of Ceasefire Nears, Peace Talks Uncertain YouTube video by Democracy Now!

My interview with Democracy Now on the Gulf of Distrust separating US and Iran ahead of talks youtu.be/Y0j0AQqhri0?...

11 hours ago 7 4 0 0
Vali Nasr: Iran at War: Revolution and Resistance|对话伊朗研究权威:战争中的伊朗: 革命与抵抗
Vali Nasr: Iran at War: Revolution and Resistance|对话伊朗研究权威:战争中的伊朗: 革命与抵抗 YouTube video by 晓宇去现场

. @valinasr.bsky.social on Iran's strategic approach to the war:
www.youtube.com/watch?v=sZA8...

2 days ago 4 3 2 1
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America and Iran’s Long Road to Peace A grand bargain is out of reach, but a comprehensive deal is possible.

As US and Iran prepare for the next round of negotiations this is an important examination of how the two sides can resolve outstanding differences and find a path to future de-escalation and even resolution of their decades-long conflict. www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...

4 days ago 6 1 2 1
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Who Is Leading Iran? Donald Trump wants a friendly successor to the Ayatollah in Iran, but as of now, the power vacuum has been filled by hard-line members of the Revolutionary Guard.

I told New Yorker Iran is today led by a leadership who didn’t believe that Khamenei’s restraint actually protected Iran. They think Khamenei was wrong, and that his stance invited the current aggression that they are facing. They’re more willing to take risks.

4 days ago 19 16 2 3
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Who Is Leading Iran? Donald Trump wants a friendly successor to the Ayatollah in Iran, but as of now, the power vacuum has been filled by hard-line members of the Revolutionary Guard.

I told New Yorker Iran is today led by a leadership who didn’t believe that Khamenei’s restraint actually protected Iran. They think Khamenei was wrong, and that his stance invited the current aggression that they are facing. They’re more willing to take risks.

4 days ago 19 16 2 3
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What the Iran War Means for the “Axis of Resistance” The Iran war is a crucible for Shiite identity and politics.

important take by Hamidreza Azizi on the implications of Iran war for Shia politics and future of Axis of Resistance www.foreignaffairs.com/iran/what-ir...

5 days ago 4 2 0 0
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How Iran, Suffering Under Sanctions, Diversified Its Economy

Important article on reasons for Iran’s resilience www.nytimes.com/2026/04/13/b...

1 week ago 7 4 0 0
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Iran nuclear stand-off hardens after two decades of failed deals Direct talks this weekend trod a familiar path of tortuous and frustrating diplomacy between Washington and Tehran

I told Financial Times that Iranians have never said they will not negotiate over their nuclear program like they’ve said we'll never negotiate over missiles. Nuclear program has always been up for negotiation. www.ft.com/content/ac5a...

1 week ago 13 7 0 0

Islamabad talks did not get to a deal over trust. Iran wants to make sure a deal will implemented and US will not walk away from it after Iran hands over its enriched Uranium and opens the Strait. U.S. wants both right away Iran wants first war to be definitively over and guarantees around the deal

1 week ago 24 12 3 1
Iran Looks to Project Unity With Large Delegation to Peace Talks

told New York Times the size & composition of Iran’s delegation shows “that they have not come to stonewall,” but with full authority and seriousness to reach a deal with US. They might have advanced in talks further than publicly known during back-channel messaging.” www.nytimes.com/2026/04/11/w...

1 week ago 21 12 0 0
Video

The “US's stature as a singular outside superpower that can impose security for the region, particularly provide a security shield to its allies, has been shattered," @valinasr.bsky.social tells DAWN's @omidmemarian.bsky.social.

The full interview on the war with Iran: dawnmena.org/a-war-launch...

1 week ago 5 6 0 0
How the war on Iran revived the Axis of Resistance Netanyahu boasted that Israel had dismantled the Tehran-aligned network 'brick by brick', but the coordinated response across Lebanon, Iraq and Yemen tells a different story

Interesting take by Mohammad Atai’s, arguing the war has made reviving Axis of Resistance a priority for Iran www.middleeasteye.net/opinion/how-...

1 week ago 5 3 0 0
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China Pressed Iran Toward Cease-fire, Iranian Officials Say

That it took China to compel Iran to accept ceasefire means China will also be a key part of the next phase and a potential final deal. And that Iran was far from having been bullied by Trump’s rhetoric into the ceasefire www.nytimes.com/2026/04/08/w...

1 week ago 41 17 1 1
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China Pressed Iran Toward Cease-fire, Iranian Officials Say

That it took China to compel Iran to accept ceasefire means China will also be a key part of the next phase and a potential final deal. And that Iran was far from having been bullied by Trump’s rhetoric into the ceasefire www.nytimes.com/2026/04/08/w...

1 week ago 41 17 1 1
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Israel Strikes Iran’s Largest Petrochemical Complex

Israel's systematic bombing of Iran's key industrial infrastructure, steel works, petrochemicals, pharmaceuticals... is designed to destroy Iran's economy, prevent post-war reconstruction, setting the country on the path to becoming a failed state www.nytimes.com/2026/04/04/w...

2 weeks ago 21 20 4 0
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Israel Strikes Iran’s Largest Petrochemical Complex

Israel's systematic bombing of Iran's key industrial infrastructure, steel works, petrochemicals, pharmaceuticals... is designed to destroy Iran's economy, prevent post-war reconstruction, setting the country on the path to becoming a failed state www.nytimes.com/2026/04/04/w...

2 weeks ago 21 20 4 0
Root Causes of US-Iran War - Vali Nasr
Root Causes of US-Iran War - Vali Nasr YouTube video by Mossavar-Rahmani Center Princeton University

My talk at Princeton University on reasons for Iran’s resilience and root causes of the war youtu.be/YW75VV3JsH8?...

2 weeks ago 15 11 0 0
Root Causes of US-Iran War - Vali Nasr
Root Causes of US-Iran War - Vali Nasr YouTube video by Mossavar-Rahmani Center Princeton University

My talk at Princeton University on reasons for Iran’s resilience and root causes of the war youtu.be/YW75VV3JsH8?...

2 weeks ago 15 11 0 0
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Opinion | Trump Has No Idea How to Clean Up His Own Mess

I told Michelle Goldberg of NYT: “this is no longer a war on the Islamic republic or its missiles or its nuclear facility. This is a war on the country. This is about turning Iran into a failed state.” www.nytimes.com/2026/04/02/o...

2 weeks ago 16 9 0 0
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Control Over Strait of Hormuz Will Determine Who Wins the War Iran is seeking permanent leverage over the Middle East with new rules for the strategic waterway.

I talked to Wall Stree Journal about why the Strait of Hormuz matters so much to the endgame of this war “To the Iranians, the Strait of Hormuz now perhaps matters more than the nuclear program. The nuclear program didn’t provide them with any deterrence,” the Strait can
www.wsj.com/world/middle...

2 weeks ago 19 11 0 2
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European Diesel Futures Hit $200 as Iran War Limits Fuel Supply Europe’s diesel futures rose to the highest level since 2022, as the Iran war hits supply of the fuel that powers the global economy.

The speech didn’t hit the mark: Europe’s diesel futures benchmark hits $200 the highest level since 2022 www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

2 weeks ago 8 5 0 1
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Waiting for the War to End in Tehran For Iranians under fire, surges of patriotism and criticism of the government.

For Iranians under fire, surges of patriotism and criticism of the government. foreignpolicy.com/2026/04/01/i...

2 weeks ago 5 2 0 0
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Trump’s Fateful Choice The military is waiting for the president’s go-ahead for high-risk ground operations in Iran.

Great take on the inside debate over invasion of Iran www.theatlantic.com/national-sec...

2 weeks ago 6 7 0 0
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Trump’s Fateful Choice The military is waiting for the president’s go-ahead for high-risk ground operations in Iran.

Great take on the inside debate over invasion of Iran www.theatlantic.com/national-sec...

2 weeks ago 6 7 0 0
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Opinion | Trump, Don’t Make Churchill’s Deadly Mistake

Asli Aydintasbas has an excellent essay, drawing on Britain's experience trying to force the Dardanelles during WWI to warn of the dangers of US plans to forcibly open the Strait of Hormuz. www.nytimes.com/2026/03/31/o...

2 weeks ago 7 3 0 1
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Opinion | Is It 1914 in America?

Yonatan Touval on the failure of imagination that has been driving Iran war: Is It 1914 in America? www.nytimes.com/2026/03/29/o...

3 weeks ago 5 4 1 1
What does Iran want? Prof. Vali Nasr
What does Iran want? Prof. Vali Nasr YouTube video by Money & Macro Talks

As the war is poised to escalate, my conversation with Money Macro on what does Iran want youtu.be/AcOipZsj0oE?...

3 weeks ago 9 6 0 0
What does Iran want? Prof. Vali Nasr
What does Iran want? Prof. Vali Nasr YouTube video by Money & Macro Talks

As the war is poised to escalate, my conversation with Money Macro on what does Iran want youtu.be/AcOipZsj0oE?...

3 weeks ago 9 6 0 0
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Can America and Iran Reach a Cease-Fire? Both sides want to dictate the terms—but neither truly can.

Ellie Geranmayeh’s piece does a good job analyzing what it takes to get to a ceasefire. www.foreignaffairs.com/can-america-...

3 weeks ago 4 4 0 1