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Posts by Sam Alvis

Elec prices are set by gas 70% of the time. If you build more renewables it happens less and less often (we’d expect <15% come 2031). If you slow down building you prolong the time legacy renewables extract rents. But that also isn’t the case for CfDs which get paid the set price regardless!

18 hours ago 1 0 0 0
New electric cars now cheaper than petrol on average for the first time says Autotrader

Tipping point?

"New electric cars now cost £42,620 on average, compared with £43,405 for petrol models."

plc.autotrader.co.uk/news-views/p...

1 day ago 151 32 20 5

This is a very good set of essays but I’m so triggered by calling it the affordability crisis. That’s what Mamdami called it, it’s not what a single member of the British public would refer to. A classic of American politics meaning we talk past voters.

fabians.org.uk/wp-content/u...

1 day ago 1 0 0 0

It is I would say a broad definition of benefit... It's a benefit that there isn't a cost?

2 days ago 0 1 0 0

Bingo! Took me a good long while of staring at numbers this morning to work this out.

2 days ago 3 0 1 0

AI rose in salience more than any other issue for US voters last year, with backlash from creatives, X-risk activists, parents, workers, environmentalists and more

We expect pressure to build in 2026 as AI gets even more capable, and @ippr.org we argue governments need to urgently spread the upside

2 days ago 0 2 0 0
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Ah a new Man-azine

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Victoria has made public transport free – NSW hasn’t. Has there been any difference in uptake? Public transport access, travel time and familiarity with the network all play a role in how many people switch away from driving.

I hadn't clocked that the NSW vs Vic fuel crisis response would be a great natural experiment to determine the effect of free public transit on usage levels, but it is. So far, the results are very much in line with the previous literature (ie it does sod all to drive modal shift from cars)

4 days ago 23 10 3 5

The IMF’s latest outlook paints a bleak picture and underlines a hard truth: the UK’s economy is still at the mercy of global crises.

Our dependence on volatile fossil fuels leaves households and businesses exposed to yet another wave of energy price shocks.

4 days ago 2 2 1 0

The FIFA 2003 soundtrack

5 days ago 1 0 0 0
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Amazing!

6 days ago 1 0 0 0

So great! Used to go every year when I was a kid and went back a couple years ago. The walk to Saundersfoot is really nice and manageable and if you have time Barfundle beach is so gorgeous.

6 days ago 2 0 2 0
Tony Blair’s ideas for net zero are expensive and unpopular The former PM’s clumsy climate intervention exposes the new political contest over the environment

Wrote this a year ago for @prospectmagazine.co.uk when Blair took another swipe at the Labour government

www.prospectmagazine.co.uk/politics/698...

1 week ago 2 4 0 0
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How Energy Politics Really Works, with Sam Alvis (IPPR) Spotify video

Playing from 0:00
open.spotify.com/episode/1Slz... @samalvis.bsky.social is a great guest - glad to discover this podcast

1 week ago 1 1 1 0

Thanks Ben, very kind

1 week ago 1 0 0 0
Tony Blair urges Ed Miliband: Don’t be ideological on net zero — drill Britain should produce more clean energy while accelerating domestic oil and gas production to reduce exposure to global markets, the former PM’s think tank says

Why is Tony Blair so afraid of progress and modernity?

www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/...

“I hear people say we have to stop and debate decarbonisation. You might as well debate whether autumn should follow summer”

1 week ago 2 1 1 1
Tony Blair’s ideas for net zero are expensive and unpopular The former PM’s clumsy climate intervention exposes the new political contest over the environment

Wrote this a year ago for @prospectmagazine.co.uk when Blair took another swipe at the Labour government

www.prospectmagazine.co.uk/politics/698...

1 week ago 2 4 0 0
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Tony Blair urges Ed Miliband: Don’t be ideological on net zero — drill Britain should produce more clean energy while accelerating domestic oil and gas production to reduce exposure to global markets, the former PM’s think tank says

Why is Tony Blair so afraid of progress and modernity?

www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/...

“I hear people say we have to stop and debate decarbonisation. You might as well debate whether autumn should follow summer”

1 week ago 2 1 1 1

The logical extension of this is mad - not a migrant? No views on migration please. Not on benefits? No views on benefits level I'm afraid.

1 week ago 5 0 1 0
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Exclusive: Five EU countries call for windfall tax on energy companies Such a ​measure could fund relief for consumers in the face of high energy prices, they said.

Over the weekend 5 european ministers called for coordinated action on windfall taxes. With the UK reconnecting with the EU, working together on this and throughout the crisis will have clear benefits - and be the tangible legs behind Labour's comms on profiteering

www.reuters.com/sustainabili...

1 week ago 6 2 1 0

I wouldn't stop at coordinating on taxes
- coordinated purchases of LNG to avoid bidding against each other - particularly as the EU refills its storage over summer
- bulk purchase solar (lower costs, greater power) for rapid deployment now
- Securing clean energy inputs (everyone wants them now!)

1 week ago 0 0 0 0
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EE#2.1 Costs, Carney and Petrol Profits Pulling in profiteers is the right start

New post where I get into some of the critiques of Labour's rhetoric around profits in an energy crisis, and what to do next. electionenergy.substack.com/p/ee21-costs...

1 week ago 0 0 1 0
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Exclusive: Five EU countries call for windfall tax on energy companies Such a ​measure could fund relief for consumers in the face of high energy prices, they said.

Over the weekend 5 european ministers called for coordinated action on windfall taxes. With the UK reconnecting with the EU, working together on this and throughout the crisis will have clear benefits - and be the tangible legs behind Labour's comms on profiteering

www.reuters.com/sustainabili...

1 week ago 6 2 1 0
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Jim Tankersly writing on behalf of his family - pictured

1 week ago 1 0 0 0
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Gas turbine prices soar 195% as market faces supply-demand crisis The global leader in commercial intelligence for the energy, metals and mining industries, providing objective analysis and advice on assets, companies and markets.

200% more expensive and a 7 year wait - get your new gas turbines here.

At least 1/3 of uk gas turbines are over 40 years old. If you want to keep gas on the system these are the costs that come with your ‘cheap gas’

www.woodmac.com/press-releas...

2 weeks ago 19 6 3 3
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Easter weekend reading on the government's response to the energy shock so far

2 weeks ago 1 1 0 0

Easter weekend reading on the government's response to the energy shock so far

2 weeks ago 1 1 0 0
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Gas turbine prices soar 195% as market faces supply-demand crisis The global leader in commercial intelligence for the energy, metals and mining industries, providing objective analysis and advice on assets, companies and markets.

200% more expensive and a 7 year wait - get your new gas turbines here.

At least 1/3 of uk gas turbines are over 40 years old. If you want to keep gas on the system these are the costs that come with your ‘cheap gas’

www.woodmac.com/press-releas...

2 weeks ago 19 6 3 3
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2 weeks ago 6 1 0 0

Did you read the piece? That’s the whole discussion..

It’s all performative and that’s fine. It also sends a signal to not profiteer

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